WIFO-Konjunkturtest
Part of the Joint Harmonised EU Programme
of Business and Consumer Surveys
WIFO-Konjunkturtest
Part of the Joint Harmonised EU Programme
of Business and Consumer Surveys
WIFO-Konjunkturampel (economic traffic light)
The results of the WIFO-Konjunkturtest for July show a slight improvement in businesses’ economic assessments. However, business sentiment remains largely sceptical due to price effects and uncertainties surrounding the war in Iran. The WIFO-Konjunkturklimaindex stood at –3.8 points (seasonally adjusted), 1.3 points above the June figure. Assessments of the current situation improved slightly (+0.7 points) but remained sceptical at –3.1 points. Economic expectations improved somewhat more strongly (+1.8 points), but at –4.4 points also remained below the zero line. In manufacturing and services, the indices remained largely sceptical; in the retail sector, the indices rose more sharply; and in the construction industry, assessments of the current situation improved whilst construction price expectations declined.
Economic Sentiment and Employment Expectations improve markedly in both the EU and the euro area
In July 2026, the Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) continued to recover in both the EU and the euro area, rising by +1.5 points in both areas, to 97.2 points in the EU and 96.9 points in the euro area. In addition, the Employment Expectations Indicator (EEI) improved considerably compared to June in both areas (EU: +3.3 points to 97.7 points, euro area: +3.5 points to 97.2 points).
Credit Conditions of Austrian Companies
The credit questions of the WIFO-Konjunkturtest (business cycle survey) allow us to present the assessments and experiences of companies with regard to bank lending. The credit questions are asked quarterly in February, May, August and November.
In May 2026, companies' assessments of banks' willingness to lend – defined as the balance of the proportion of companies that describe banks' lending as accommodative (positive values) and the proportion of companies that describe banks' lending as restrictive (negative values) – improved slightly compared with the previous quarter (+0.8 points) and remained in negative territory at –13.9 points. Differences are evident across company sizes: the credit barrier is higher for smaller companies (fewer than 50 employees) (–16.3 points) than for medium-sized companies (50 to 250 employees: –7.9 points) and large companies (more than 250 employees: –14.4 points).
The survey results show a slight decline in credit demand overall (excluding the retail sector), with a figure of 19.5% (long-term average: 20.8%), representing a decrease of 0.6 percentage points compared with the previous quarter. In the manufacturing sector, demand for credit remained above average (22.1% of companies reported a need for credit), whilst in the retail sector (12.8%) it fell significantly; demand for credit in the service sectors (18.5% of companies) and in the construction industry (19.4%) was average. By company size (excluding retail), 18.9% of smaller companies (fewer than 50 employees) recently reported a need for credit, as did 21.8% of medium-sized companies (50 to 250 employees) and 18.8% of larger companies (more than 250 employees).
Of the companies with credit needs (excluding retail), around 31.5% had to make concessions regarding the amount or the terms (17.5% reported worse terms, 6.7% a lower amount and 7.3% both worse terms and a lower amount than expected). This figure is below the average for the past five years (33.7%). Around 37.8% of companies requiring credit were able to obtain it as expected (5-year average: 37.9%). At 31.7%, the proportion of companies requiring credit that did not receive a loan or had not applied for one was above average (5-year average: 28.4%; around 6.2% of all companies surveyed) because the loan application was rejected by the bank (7.1%), the terms were unacceptable (12.1%) or they had not attempted to secure a loan because they felt it was futile (12.5%).
Credit Constraints and Credit Needs
Recent issues: WIFO-Konjunkturtest
Quarterly results of the WIFO-Konjunkturtests
Special issues: WIFO-Konjunkturtest
Recent issues: WIFO-Investitionsbefragung
Contact
For general enquiries, please contact konjunkturtest@wifo.ac.at.