WIFO-Konjunkturtest
Part of the Joint Harmonised EU Programme
of Business and Consumer Surveys
WIFO-Konjunkturtest
Part of the Joint Harmonised EU Programme
of Business and Consumer Surveys
WIFO-Konjunkturampel (economic traffic light)
The results of the WIFO-Konjunkturtest (business cycle survey) conducted in December show a continuation of the slow stabilisation of business confidence. The WIFO economic climate index stood at 0.2 points (seasonally adjusted), 1.2 points above the November figure. Assessments of the current situation rose compared with the previous month (+1.0 points) and, at –0.4 points, remained only just in the sceptical range. Economic expectations also improved (+0.9 points) and stood at 0.6 points above zero. The improvement is mainly due to the brightening of economic assessments in the service sectors (current situation and expectations). In industry, economic sentiment remains subdued despite an improvement in the expectations index, while it deteriorated in construction.
Economic Sentiment Broadly Stable in the EU, Slightly Down in the Euro Area; Employment Expectations Down in Both Regions
In December 2025, the Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) remained broadly stable in the EU (–0.1 points to 96.8 points), while declining slightly in the euro area (–0.4 points to 96.7 points). The Employment Expectations Indicator (EEI) dropped compared to November (EU: –0.9 points to 97.9 points, euro area: –0.9 points to 96.8 points). Both indicators continue to score below their long-term average of 100 points.
Credit Conditions of Austrian Companies
The credit questions of the WIFO-Konjunkturtest (business cycle survey) allow us to present the assessments and experiences of companies with regard to bank lending. The credit questions are asked quarterly in February, May, August and November.
In November 2025, companies' assessments of banks' willingness to lend – defined as the balance of the proportion of companies that describe banks' lending as accommodative (positive values) and the proportion of companies that describe bank lending as restrictive (negative values) – improved slightly compared with the previous quarter (+2.1 points), but remained in negative territory at –11.2 points. There are differences depending on company size: the credit hurdle is higher for smaller companies (fewer than 50 employees) (–14.6 points) than for medium-sized companies (50 to 250 employees: –4.6 points) and large companies (more than 250 employees: –8.7 points).
The survey results show a slight decline in credit demand (–1.1 percentage points compared with the previous quarter) with a value of 20.2% (long-term average: 20.8%) in aggregate (excluding retail). In manufacturing, credit demand remained above average (22.1% of companies reported credit demand), while in retail (20.5%) it fell slightly. Credit demand in the service sectors (19.4% of companies) and in construction (17.7%) was average or slightly below average. By company size (excluding retail), 18.9% of smaller companies (fewer than 50 employees) reported a need for credit, compared with 24.6% of medium-sized companies and 21.9% of larger companies (more than 250 employees).
Of the companies with credit needs (excluding retail), around 31.6% had to make concessions on the amount or terms (16.6% reported worse terms, 7.0% lower amounts and 8.0% worse terms and lower amounts than expected). This figure is slightly below the average for the past five years (32.6%). Around 42.1% of companies requiring credit were able to obtain it as expected (5-year average: 39.6%). At 26.7%, the proportion of companies requiring credit that did not receive credit or did not apply for it was slightly below average (5-year average: 27.8%; around 5.4% of all companies surveyed) was slightly below average because their loan application was rejected by the bank (5.5%), the terms were unacceptable (10.2%) or they had not attempted to obtain a loan because they had no chance of success (11.1%).
Credit Constraints and Credit Needs
Recent issues: WIFO-Konjunkturtest
Quarterly results of the WIFO-Konjunkturtests
Special issues: WIFO-Konjunkturtest
Recent issues: WIFO-Investitionsbefragung
Contact
For general enquiries, please contact konjunkturtest@wifo.ac.at.