WIFO-Konjunkturtest
Part of the Joint Harmonised EU Programme
of Business and Consumer Surveys
WIFO-Konjunkturtest
Part of the Joint Harmonised EU Programme
of Business and Consumer Surveys

WIFO-Konjunkturampel (economic traffic light)
The results of the WIFO-Konjunkturtest (business cycle survey) for September show a continuation of the sideways movement in overall economic assessments. The WIFO Business Climate Index stood at –2.5 points (seasonally adjusted), the same value as in August. Business assessments deteriorated slightly compared with the previous month (–0.5 points) and remained in sceptical territory at –3.4 points. Economic expectations improved slightly (+0.5 points) but remained just within sceptical territory at –1.3 points. In industry – as in construction – economic sentiment remained subdued and assessments of the situation deteriorated slightly, while the indices for services (expectations) and retail (situation) improved slightly.
Economic Sentiment Slightly up in the EU and the Euro Area; Employment Expectations Down in Both Regions
In September 2025, the Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) ticked up in the EU (+0.6 points to 95.5 points) and the euro area (+0.2 points to 95.5 points). The Employment Expectations Indicator (EEI) dipped compared to August (EU: –0.9 points to 97.1 points, euro area: –1.3 to 96.4 points). Both indicators continue to score below their long-term average of 100 points.
Credit Conditions of Austrian Companies
The credit questions of the WIFO-Konjunkturtest (business cycle survey) allow us to present the assessments and experiences of companies with regard to bank lending. The credit questions are asked quarterly in February, May, August and November.
In August 2025, companies' assessments of banks' willingness to lend – defined as the balance of the proportion of companies that describe banks' lending as accommodating (positive values) and the proportion of companies that describe banks' lending as restrictive (negative values) – remained almost unchanged compared to the previous quarter (–0.2 points) and stayed in negative territory at –12.5 points. There are differences according to company size: the credit hurdle is higher for smaller companies (less than 50 employees) (–16.8 points) than for medium-sized companies (50 to 250 employees: –2.5 points) and large companies (more than 250 employees: –7.3 points).
At 21.0% (long-term average: 20.8%), the survey results show little change in demand for credit in the aggregate (excluding retail) (+0.5 percentage points compared to the previous quarter). Demand for credit remained above average in the manufacturing sector (21.8% of companies reported a need for credit) and rose in the retail sector (22.5%), while demand for credit in the services sector (20.7% of companies) and the construction industry (19.0%) was average or slightly below average. In terms of company size (excluding retail), 21.2% of smaller companies (less than 50 employees) recently reported a need for credit, 22.3% of medium-sized companies and 20.0% of larger companies (more than 250 employees).
Of the companies with credit requirements (excluding retail), around 28.8% had to cut back on the amount or conditions (14.5% reported worse conditions, 5.9% lower amount and 8.4% worse conditions and lower amount than expected). This figure is below the average of the past five years (32.2%). Around 41.8% of companies with a need for credit were able to obtain it as expected (5-year average: 40.5%). At 29.6%, the proportion of companies with credit requirements that did not receive a loan or did not apply for one was also above average (5-year average: 27.3%; around 6.2% of all companies surveyed) because the loan application was rejected by the bank (4.6%), the conditions were unacceptable (10.5%) or they did not attempt to obtain a loan due to lack of opportunity (14.4%).
Credit Constraints and Credit Needs
Recent issues: WIFO-Konjunkturtest
Quarterly results of the WIFO-Konjunkturtests
Special issues: WIFO-Konjunkturtest
Recent issues: WIFO-Investitionsbefragung
Contact
For general enquiries, please contact konjunkturtest@wifo.ac.at.