Privater Konsum wird dank Steuerentlastung und Nachlassen der Inflation zur Wachstumsstütze. Mittelfristige Prognose der österreichischen
Wirtschaft bis 2012 (Tax Cuts and Easing Inflation Strengthening Support to Growth from Private Consumption. Medium-term Projections for the Austrian
Economy from 2008 to 2012)
Das Bruttoinlandsprodukt wird in Österreich von 2008 bis 2012 real um durchschnittlich 2,3% pro Jahr expandieren. Der Wachstumsvorsprung
gegenüber dem Euro-Raum bleibt damit erhalten. Im Jahr 2010 wird die Steuerreform dem privaten Konsum positive Impulse geben.
Ab 2010 ist mit einer Beschleunigung des mittelfristigen Wachstums im Euro-Raum zu rechnen; davon wird die österreichische
Wirtschaft dank ihrer hohen Wettbewerbsfähigkeit profitieren.
Keywords:Mittelfristige Prognose Österreich
Forschungsbereich:Makroökonomie und öffentliche Finanzen
Sprache:Deutsch
Tax Cuts and Easing Inflation Strengthening Support to Growth from Private Consumption. Medium-term Projections for the Austrian
Economy from 2008 to 2012
With a projected annual rate of 2.3 percent the Austrian economy will grow less than expected so far. Real GDP growth will
lag slightly behind the mark of 2.4 percent observed between 2002 and 2007. The present downturn of the US business cycle
will continue to weigh on activity in the euro area in the second half of 2008 and throughout 2009. This downward trend will
be partially offset by growth opportunities in the new EU countries, where Austrian exporters have acquired a strong market
position. We expect a recovery for the euro area starting from 2010, from which Austrian exporting firms should be able to
take full advantage given their high degree of competitiveness.
Between 2008 and 2012, real GDP in Austria will grow at an annual average rate of 2.3 percent. From 2010 onwards, the Austrian
economy is expected to benefit from tax cuts and an economic recovery in the euro area.