29.09.2026
13:00-14:00
Large Dynamic Market Entry with Peer Effects
WIFO Research Seminar
Veranstalter: Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (WIFO)
Sprache: Englisch
WIFO, Helene-Lieser-Saal oder via Microsoft-Teams
Egger and his colleague propose a dynamic network probit model of market entry with firm-market fixed effects. The model accommodates own state dependence, contemporaneous network interactions, and flexible lagged peer effects.
They develop a fixed-effect marginal composite-likelihood estimator with an analytical correction for incidental-parameter bias. Simulations show substantially lower bias than the uncorrected estimator. An application to 2,218 Chinese firms across 178 destinations during 2001-2013 reveals strong persistence, positive contemporaneous complementarities among firms with similar export portfolios, and a negative lagged peer effect. Peer entry and continuation reduce participation, peer exit raises it, and peer export growth mitigates the negative continuation effect.
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