Die gegenwärtige Krise hat primär eine extreme, auf riskanten Transaktionen beruhende Expansion der europäischen Banken, sekundär
Strukturprobleme der Länder an der europäischen Peripherie zur Ursache. Die Budget- und Schuldenprobleme entstanden erst in
deren Folge. Zur Überwindung der Krise sind vorrangig Strukturmaßnahmen erforderlich, auf den Finanzmärkten wie in den peripheren
Ländern. Forciert restriktive Fiskalpolitik verhindert angesichts der gegenwärtigen Rezession Wachstum und damit indirekt
ihren eigenen Erfolg.
Keywords:Finanzkrise Wirtschaftskrise Strategien
Forschungsbereich:Makroökonomie und öffentliche Finanzen
Sprache:Deutsch
The Sovereign Debt Crisis as the Crisis of the European Financial System
European banks have accumulated important risks through excessive rescheduling of debt maturities, purchase of US derivatives
and loans extended to companies and households of the European periphery. Aggressive lending in the – already before structurally
weak – periphery countries fuelled excess demand that would have collapsed sooner or later even in the absence of a global
financial market crisis. The artificial boom ended in a deep recession when over-indebtedness, together with the world-wide
confidence crisis, led to a belated increase in interest rate spreads and the breakdown of financing. Economic policy, like
the largely neo-classical inspired observers, underestimated the demand overshooting in the periphery countries in the run-up
to the crisis, followed by far too optimistic expectations of recovery thereafter. Hence, the repeated disappointment of investors,
along with the institutional lag (or even lack) of policy decisions, exacerbated and protracted the crisis. The over-reliance
on fiscal retrenchment to counter the crisis is largely based on obsolete perceptions of the strength and effects of multipliers.
A path of moderate consolidation, confined to the crisis countries, putting greater emphasis on temporary tax increases with
smaller multiplier effects, would arguably have depressed economic activity to a lesser extent.