Bis zum Frühjahr hob sich die österreichische Wirtschaft – im Sog der westdeutschen Hochkonjunktur – erfreulich von der internationalen
Flaute ab. Während andere Staaten (z. B. auch die Schweiz) bereits von der Konjunkturabschwächung erfaßt worden waren, verbuchte
Österreichs Wirtschaft hohe Wachstumsraten. Jetzt kann sich Österreich offenbar nicht mehr ganz von den internationalen Tendenzen
abschotten. Die wichtigsten Konjunkturindikatoren deuten auf eine Abschwächung, nicht aber auf eine Rezession hin.
Forschungsbereich:Makroökonomie und öffentliche Finanzen
Sprache:Deutsch
Austria's Economy in the Wake of the International Recession
The slowdown in the world economy has begun to affect the Austrian economy. According to the latest business survey conducted
by the WIFO in August the business outlook is again worse than in previous surveys. The level of inventories is now judged
too high and the number of firms indicating spare capacity is on the increase. Overall, the business climate corresponds to
that of the year 1988; the optimism of the last two years has vanished. This gloomy outlook is confirmed by the data on manufacturing.
Output and new orders were slightly lower than in the first quarter of 1991; the leading indicators are also pointing downward.
In the present phase of the cycle, only the construction sector and tourism posted high gains. In April and May, the value
of construction exceeded last year's level by some 15 percent, but even in this sector the business climate has deteriorated.
The summer season in the tourism sector was quite favorable, as many Austrians spent their vacations in Austrian resorts,
but the number of overnight stays was well below the previous record. The results in the labour market are mixed. With the
labour supply still on the increase, dependent employment continued to expand. At the same time, the number of unemployed
rose, though at a reduced rate. Productivity stagnated in the first half of the year. Compensation per employee advanced by
about 3½ percent in real terms. Inflation remained relatively stable in recent months, thanks to low import prices. It was
only due to the high prices of agricultural seasonal products that inflation exceeded the mark of 3.5 percent in June and
August.