WIFO-Monatsberichte (monthly reports)

Monthly analysis of current economic developments in Austria and the major OECD countries – Quarterly economic forecast – Some 70 articles per year with background information (tables and diagrams) and a short English abstract – Supplemented each month by a full set of tables listing approximately 300 macroeconomic indicators

Online full-text issues available since 1927 (free access for WIFO sponsors and members) – One-year subscription € 270, single issue € 27.50, download of individual articles € 16

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Schleppende Konjunkturerholung: Arbeitslosigkeit droht sich zu verfestigen (Sluggish Economic Recovery: Unemployment Threatens to Solidify)
WIFO-Monatsberichte, 2020, 93(9), pp.639-646
Online since: 28.09.2020 0:00
 
Der Konjunktureinbruch erfasste in der EU im II. Quartal alle Nachfragekomponenten; im Vereinigten Königreich, in Frankreich und Italien war der private Konsum überdurchschnittlich stark betroffen. In Österreich lag die Wirtschaftsleistung im II. Quartal um ein Achtel unter dem Vorjahresniveau, die Einbußen waren damit geringer als im EU-Durchschnitt. Der Tourismus litt weniger als in Italien oder Spanien; die Nächtigungsentwicklung der deutschen und inländischen Gäste dämpfte den Nachfragerückgang im Juli. Erst gut ein Drittel der krisenbedingten Arbeitslosigkeit wurde bisher abgebaut. Daher nahm die Langzeitbeschäftigungslosigkeit zuletzt weiter zu.
JEL-Codes:E32, E66
Keywords:Konjunkturbericht, Konjunkturprognose
Research group:Macroeconomics and European Economic Policy
Language:German

Sluggish Economic Recovery: Unemployment Threatens to Solidify
In the EU, all components of demand were impacted by the economic downturn in the second quarter; in the UK, France and Italy, private consumption was affected to an above-average extent. In Austria, economic output in the second quarter was one eighth down compared to the previous year's level, the decline thus being less pronounced than the EU average. Tourism suffered less than in Italy or Spain; the development of overnight stays by German and domestic visitors cushioned the drop in demand in July. Only a good third of the unemployment caused by the crisis has so far been recuperated. As a result, long-term inoccupation has continued to rise recently.

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