Empirica – Journal of European Economics

Sponsored by the Austrian Economic Association and the Austrian Institute of Economic Research

Empirica publishes empirical and theoretical work on all economic aspects of European Integration. The topics may range from all challenges concerning the deepening of the European Union (Single Market, Lisbon Agenda, EMU) to enlargement and the external relations of the EU (globalisation).

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Manuchehr Irandoust
Government spending and revenues in Sweden 1722–2011: evidence from hidden cointegration
Empirica, 2018, 45(3), pp.543-557, http://www.springer.com/10663
This study examines the long-run causal relationship between government revenues and spending of the Swedish economy over the period 1722–2011. The results based on hidden cointegration technique and a modified version of the Granger non-causality test, show that there exists a long-run and asymmetric relationship between government spending and government revenues. Our estimation results can be summarised into three main empirical findings. First, the government follows a hard budget constraint and soft budget constraint strategies in the case of negative and positive shocks, respectively. Second, negative shocks to the fiscal budget are removed fairly quickly compared to positive shocks. Third, bi-directional causality between revenues and expenditures offers support in favour of the fiscal synchronisation hypothesis. The policy implication is that budget deficit's reduction could be achieved through government spending cut, accompanied by contemporaneous tax controls.
JEL-Codes:H2 H5 E62
Keywords:Government spending, Government revenue, Hidden cointegration, Fiscal policy, Asymmetry
Research group:Macroeconomics and Public Finance
Language:English

Managing Editor

Univ.-Prof. MMag. Dr. Harald Oberhofer

Function: Senior Economist, Editor-in-Chief Empirica
Research groups: Industrial, Innovation and International Economics