MultiREG – ein multiregionales, multisektorales Prognose- und Analysemodell für Österreich (MultiREG – A Multiregional Econometric Input Output Model for Austria)
MultiREG ist ein empirisches Modell zur sektoral und regional differenzierten Darstellung der Wirkungen von Politikmaßnahmen
und zur Prognose der Wirtschaftsentwicklung in den neun Bundesländern. Das Modell setzt sich aus Aufkommens- und Verwendungstabellen
für die Bundesländer, aus interregionalen und internationalen Handelsverflechtungen sowie aus ökonometrisch geschätzten Verhaltensgleichungen
für die Intermediär- und Endnachfrage zusammen.
Keywords:Multiregional multisektoral Input-Output-Tabelle I-O-Tabelle Modell
Forschungsbereich:Regionalökonomie und räumliche Analyse
Sprache:Deutsch
MultiREG – A Multiregional Econometric Input Output Model for Austria
MultiREG is a multiregional input-output model that extends previous work on single-region models for Austria both in its
geographic scope and its theoretical foundations. In a first version the model was completed in late 2004 and has already
been used in long-term economic projections as well as in regional impact analysis. MultiREG is based on make and use tables
for the nine Austrian regions (Bundesländer), distinguishing between 57 activities and commodities (2-digit NACE codes), which
in the model itself are aggregated to 32 groups. These tables, as well as a matrix of interregional trade relations (for which
a dedicated survey among Austrian firms was conducted), are derived for the year 2000. A block of econometric equations, which
were estimated on regional time series of key variables (e.g., sectoral output, value added, investment, or employment), introduces
strong dynamic elements into the static input-output framework. This block comprises private consumption and investment as
well as cost functions which were derived in a General Leontief cost function framework. Additional dynamic adjustment is
introduced by implementing time-varying input coefficients into the model. For the time being, foreign exports and imports
are treated as exogenous (in the long-term projection exercise, exports were forecast in a panel regression framework, using
assumptions about the economic development of Austria's 50 major trading partners).