{"id":89006,"date":"2024-01-22T09:31:55","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T08:31:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/89006\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T00:31:35","modified_gmt":"2024-11-06T23:31:35","slug":"zinssaetze-als-vorauseilende-indikatoren-der-konjunkturentwicklung","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/89006\/","title":{"rendered":"Interest Rates as Leading Business Cycle Indicators"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-89006","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"The spread between long-term and short-term interest rates is an excellent leading indicator of business-cycle fluctuations in Austria and Germany. A negative spread signals a slowdown in future growth; a positive spread indicates improved growth prospects. 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