{"id":89006,"date":"2024-01-22T09:31:55","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T08:31:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/89006\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T00:31:35","modified_gmt":"2024-11-06T23:31:35","slug":"zinssaetze-als-vorauseilende-indikatoren-der-konjunkturentwicklung","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/89006\/","title":{"rendered":"Interest Rates as Leading Business Cycle Indicators"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-89006","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"The spread between long-term and short-term interest rates is an excellent leading indicator of business-cycle fluctuations in Austria and Germany. A negative spread signals a slowdown in future growth; a positive spread indicates improved growth prospects. This finding may serve to substantially improve the quality of macroeconomic forecasts.","onlinedate":"1992-05-01 02:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"19920501","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[\"Zinss\u00e4tze als vorauseilende Indikatoren der Konjunkturentwicklung; Interest Rates as Leading Business Cycle Indicators\"]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":280111,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"65","monthly_report_pages":"286-290","monthly_report_pages_sort":"286","issue":"5","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":null,"types":[44312],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[11555],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":11555,\"personName\":\"Albert Jaeger\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\">Jaeger, A. (1992). <span>Zinss\u00e4tze als vorauseilende Indikatoren der Konjunkturentwicklung<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>65<\\\/em>(5), 286-290. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/1191\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/1191<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\">Jaeger A. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Zinss\u00e4tze als vorauseilende Indikatoren der Konjunkturentwicklung<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 1992 May;65(5):286-290.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{0bcefa06d1bf42b6a42323950cd905a3,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Zinss{\\\\\\\"a}tze als vorauseilende Indikatoren der Konjunkturentwicklung\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Die L{\\\\\\\"u}cke zwischen lang- und kurzfristigen Zinss{\\\\\\\"a}tzen ist ein ausgezeichneter vorauseilender Indikator der Wirtschaftsentwicklung in {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich und Deutschland. Eine negative Zinsl{\\\\\\\"u}cke signalisiert eine k{\\\\\\\"u}nftige Konjunkturabschw{\\\\\\\"a}chung, w{\\\\\\\"a}hrend eine positive Zinsl{\\\\\\\"u}cke auf einen erwarteten Konjunkturaufschwung hindeutet. Dieser Zusammenhang zwischen verz{\\\\\\\"o}gerter Zinsl{\\\\\\\"u}cke und Konjunktur kann f{\\\\\\\"u}r eine deutliche Verbesserung der Qualit{\\\\\\\"a}t gesamtwirtschaftlicher Prognosen genutzt werden.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Zinss{\\\\\\\"a}tze als vorauseilende Indikatoren der Konjunkturentwicklung; Interest Rates as Leading Business Cycle Indicators, Zinss{\\\\\\\"a}tze als vorauseilende Indikatoren der Konjunkturentwicklung; Interest Rates as Leading Business Cycle Indicators\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Albert Jaeger\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"1992\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = may,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"65\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"286--290\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Zinss\u00e4tze als vorauseilende Indikatoren der Konjunkturentwicklung<\\\/p><p>AU  - Jaeger, Albert<\\\/p><p>PY  - 1992\\\/5<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 1992\\\/5<\\\/p><p>N2  - Die L\u00fccke zwischen lang- und kurzfristigen Zinss\u00e4tzen ist ein ausgezeichneter vorauseilender Indikator der Wirtschaftsentwicklung in \u00d6sterreich und Deutschland. Eine negative Zinsl\u00fccke signalisiert eine k\u00fcnftige Konjunkturabschw\u00e4chung, w\u00e4hrend eine positive Zinsl\u00fccke auf einen erwarteten Konjunkturaufschwung hindeutet. Dieser Zusammenhang zwischen verz\u00f6gerter Zinsl\u00fccke und Konjunktur kann f\u00fcr eine deutliche Verbesserung der Qualit\u00e4t gesamtwirtschaftlicher Prognosen genutzt werden.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Die L\u00fccke zwischen lang- und kurzfristigen Zinss\u00e4tzen ist ein ausgezeichneter vorauseilender Indikator der Wirtschaftsentwicklung in \u00d6sterreich und Deutschland. Eine negative Zinsl\u00fccke signalisiert eine k\u00fcnftige Konjunkturabschw\u00e4chung, w\u00e4hrend eine positive Zinsl\u00fccke auf einen erwarteten Konjunkturaufschwung hindeutet. Dieser Zusammenhang zwischen verz\u00f6gerter Zinsl\u00fccke und Konjunktur kann f\u00fcr eine deutliche Verbesserung der Qualit\u00e4t gesamtwirtschaftlicher Prognosen genutzt werden.<\\\/p><p>KW  - Zinss\u00e4tze als vorauseilende Indikatoren der Konjunkturentwicklung; Interest Rates as Leading Business Cycle Indicators<\\\/p><p>KW  - Zinss\u00e4tze als vorauseilende Indikatoren der Konjunkturentwicklung; Interest Rates as Leading Business Cycle Indicators<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 65<\\\/p><p>SP  - 286<\\\/p><p>EP  - 290<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Interest Rates as Leading Business Cycle Indicators - 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