{"id":88526,"date":"2024-01-22T09:28:07","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T08:28:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/88526\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T00:26:10","modified_gmt":"2024-11-06T23:26:10","slug":"unsicherheit-ueber-das-ende-der-weltrezession","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/88526\/","title":{"rendered":"Uncertainty About the End of the International Recession"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-88526","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"The cyclical downturn of the world economy has been sharper than expected. After the timely end of the Gulf war confidence and final demand have not strengthened enough as to stop the cumulative decline. A number of countries (e. g., U. S., U. K., Finland, Sweden) are currently in deep recession, in others special stimulating factors (effect of German unification) are becoming weaker. Forecasts for OECD area GDP in 1991 have to be revised downwards by 1 percentage point, those for inflation even by 1\u00bd percentage points. A likely GDP growth rate of 1 percent in 1991 should mark the cyclical trough for the OECD area. The rebound of activity expected for the second half of the year should gain momentum in 1992.","onlinedate":"1991-06-01 02:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"19910601","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":279602,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"64","monthly_report_pages":"319-329","monthly_report_pages_sort":"319","issue":"6","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":null,"types":[44312],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[3917],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3917,\"personName\":\"Fritz Breuss\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>Breuss, F.<\\\/span> (1991). <span>Unsicherheit \u00fcber das Ende der Weltrezession<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>64<\\\/em>(6), 319-329. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/1124\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/1124<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>Breuss F<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Unsicherheit \u00fcber das Ende der Weltrezession<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 1991 Jun;64(6):319-329.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{0884639dc9be4b61baad7671c5ab622e,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Unsicherheit {\\\\\\\"u}ber das Ende der Weltrezession\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Die Weltkonjunktur flaute st{\\\\\\\"a}rker ab als erwartet. Vertrauen und Preise festigten sich nach dem raschen Ende des Golfkrieges nicht ausreichend, um den kumulierten Abw{\\\\\\\"a}rtstrend aufzuhalten. Eine Reihe von L{\\\\\\\"a}ndern (z. B. USA, Gro{\\\\ss}britannien, Finnland, Schweden) erlebt derzeit eine tiefe Rezession, in anderen l{\\\\\\\"a}uft die Sonderkonjunktur (Wiedervereinigungseffekt in Deutschland) langsam aus. Insgesamt m{\\\\\\\"u}ssen die Prognosen f{\\\\\\\"u}r das reale BIP 1991 um rund 1 Prozentpunkt und f{\\\\\\\"u}r die Inflation sogar um 1\u00bd Prozentpunkte nach unten revidiert werden. In der OECD insgesamt d{\\\\\\\"u}rfte 1991 mit einem Wirtschaftswachstum von 1\\\\% der Konjunkturtiefpunkt erreicht werden. Der f{\\\\\\\"u}r die zweite Jahresh{\\\\\\\"a}lfte erwartete Aufschwung sollte sich 1992 verst{\\\\\\\"a}rken.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Unsicherheit {\\\\\\\"u}ber das Ende der Weltrezession; Uncertainty About the End of the International Recession\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Fritz Breuss\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"1991\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = jun,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"64\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"319--329\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Unsicherheit \u00fcber das Ende der Weltrezession<\\\/p><p>AU  - Breuss, Fritz<\\\/p><p>PY  - 1991\\\/6<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 1991\\\/6<\\\/p><p>N2  - Die Weltkonjunktur flaute st\u00e4rker ab als erwartet. Vertrauen und Preise festigten sich nach dem raschen Ende des Golfkrieges nicht ausreichend, um den kumulierten Abw\u00e4rtstrend aufzuhalten. Eine Reihe von L\u00e4ndern (z. B. USA, Gro\u00dfbritannien, Finnland, Schweden) erlebt derzeit eine tiefe Rezession, in anderen l\u00e4uft die Sonderkonjunktur (Wiedervereinigungseffekt in Deutschland) langsam aus. Insgesamt m\u00fcssen die Prognosen f\u00fcr das reale BIP 1991 um rund 1 Prozentpunkt und f\u00fcr die Inflation sogar um 1\u00bd Prozentpunkte nach unten revidiert werden. In der OECD insgesamt d\u00fcrfte 1991 mit einem Wirtschaftswachstum von 1% der Konjunkturtiefpunkt erreicht werden. Der f\u00fcr die zweite Jahresh\u00e4lfte erwartete Aufschwung sollte sich 1992 verst\u00e4rken.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Die Weltkonjunktur flaute st\u00e4rker ab als erwartet. Vertrauen und Preise festigten sich nach dem raschen Ende des Golfkrieges nicht ausreichend, um den kumulierten Abw\u00e4rtstrend aufzuhalten. Eine Reihe von L\u00e4ndern (z. B. USA, Gro\u00dfbritannien, Finnland, Schweden) erlebt derzeit eine tiefe Rezession, in anderen l\u00e4uft die Sonderkonjunktur (Wiedervereinigungseffekt in Deutschland) langsam aus. Insgesamt m\u00fcssen die Prognosen f\u00fcr das reale BIP 1991 um rund 1 Prozentpunkt und f\u00fcr die Inflation sogar um 1\u00bd Prozentpunkte nach unten revidiert werden. In der OECD insgesamt d\u00fcrfte 1991 mit einem Wirtschaftswachstum von 1% der Konjunkturtiefpunkt erreicht werden. Der f\u00fcr die zweite Jahresh\u00e4lfte erwartete Aufschwung sollte sich 1992 verst\u00e4rken.<\\\/p><p>KW  - Unsicherheit \u00fcber das Ende der Weltrezession; Uncertainty About the End of the International Recession<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 64<\\\/p><p>SP  - 319<\\\/p><p>EP  - 329<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Uncertainty About the End of the International Recession - WIFO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/88526\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Uncertainty About the End of the International Recession\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/88526\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"WIFO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-11-06T23:26:10+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@WIFOat\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/88526\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/88526\\\/\",\"name\":\"Uncertainty About the End of the International Recession - 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