{"id":88315,"date":"2024-01-22T09:25:33","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T08:25:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/88315\/"},"modified":"2024-11-18T13:53:55","modified_gmt":"2024-11-18T12:53:55","slug":"zinsdifferentiale-und-wechselkurserwartungen-auf-dem-geld-und-kapitalmarkt","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/88315\/","title":{"rendered":"Interest Rate Differentials and Foreign Exchange Expectations on the Money and Capital Market"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-88315","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"In the past, Austrian monetary authorities have kept fluctuations in the schilling-mark relation within narrow limits. Under certain assumptions, the \"credibility\" of this foreign exchange rate policy can be measured by using data on nominal interest rate differentials between Austria and West Germany. The analysis of the yield of instruments with a maturity of from one month to ten years allows the evaluation of the \"credibility\" of foreign exchange rate expectations over these time horizons. The empirical results show that credibility has increased since 1988 on the money market, and since 1989 on the long-term market. According to the data, real interest rates in Austria and Germany have not converged. The components of the real interest rate gap indicate that the capital and goods markets in both countries are not completely integrated.","onlinedate":"1990-10-01 01:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"19901001","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[\"Zinsdifferentiale und Wechselkurserwartungen auf dem Geld- und Kapitalmarkt; Interest Rate Differentials and Foreign Exchange Expectations on the Money and Capital Market\"]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":416938,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"63","monthly_report_pages":"573-579","monthly_report_pages_sort":"573","issue":"10","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":null,"types":[44312],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[4063],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":4063,\"personName\":\"Peter Brandner\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>Brandner, P.<\\\/span> (1990). <span>Zinsdifferentiale und Wechselkurserwartungen auf dem Geld- und Kapitalmarkt<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>63<\\\/em>(10), 573-579. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/1091\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/1091<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>Brandner P<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Zinsdifferentiale und Wechselkurserwartungen auf dem Geld- und Kapitalmarkt<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 1990 Oct;63(10):573-579.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{282fc2f093f8431fa85cf72d86ddb875,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Zinsdifferentiale und Wechselkurserwartungen auf dem Geld- und Kapitalmarkt\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Die W{\\\\\\\"a}hrungsbeh{\\\\\\\"o}rden lassen den Schilling-DM-Kurs nur sehr wenig schwanken. Die {\\\"}Credibility{\\\"} dieser Wechselkurspolitik auf den Finanzm{\\\\\\\"a}rkten kann unter gewissen Annahmen anhand von nominellen Zinsdifferenzen zwischen {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich und Deutschland gemessen werden. Die Analyse von Zinss{\\\\\\\"a}tzen bzw. Renditen mit Fristigkeiten von einem Monat bis zu zehn Jahren kann {\\\"}Glaubw{\\\\\\\"u}rdigkeit{\\\"} bzw. Wechselkurserwartungen {\\\\\\\"u}ber diese Zeithorizonte anzeigen. Sie hat auf dem Geldmarkt seit 1988, auf dem Rentenmarkt seit 1989 zugenommen. Die untersuchten Daten zeigen keine Realzinskonvergenz zwischen {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich und Deutschland; Komponenten des Realzinsdifferentials weisen auf nicht vollst{\\\\\\\"a}ndig integrierte Kapital- und G{\\\\\\\"u}term{\\\\\\\"a}rkte hin.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Zinsdifferentiale und Wechselkurserwartungen auf dem Geld- und Kapitalmarkt; Interest Rate Differentials and Foreign Exchange Expectations on the Money and Capital Market, Zinsdifferentiale und Wechselkurserwartungen auf dem Geld- und Kapitalmarkt; Interest Rate Differentials and Foreign Exchange Expectations on the Money and Capital Market\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Peter Brandner\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"1990\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = oct,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"63\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"573--579\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Zinsdifferentiale und Wechselkurserwartungen auf dem Geld- und Kapitalmarkt<\\\/p><p>AU  - Brandner, Peter<\\\/p><p>PY  - 1990\\\/10<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 1990\\\/10<\\\/p><p>N2  - Die W\u00e4hrungsbeh\u00f6rden lassen den Schilling-DM-Kurs nur sehr wenig schwanken. Die \\\"Credibility\\\" dieser Wechselkurspolitik auf den Finanzm\u00e4rkten kann unter gewissen Annahmen anhand von nominellen Zinsdifferenzen zwischen \u00d6sterreich und Deutschland gemessen werden. Die Analyse von Zinss\u00e4tzen bzw. Renditen mit Fristigkeiten von einem Monat bis zu zehn Jahren kann \\\"Glaubw\u00fcrdigkeit\\\" bzw. Wechselkurserwartungen \u00fcber diese Zeithorizonte anzeigen. Sie hat auf dem Geldmarkt seit 1988, auf dem Rentenmarkt seit 1989 zugenommen. Die untersuchten Daten zeigen keine Realzinskonvergenz zwischen \u00d6sterreich und Deutschland; Komponenten des Realzinsdifferentials weisen auf nicht vollst\u00e4ndig integrierte Kapital- und G\u00fcterm\u00e4rkte hin.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Die W\u00e4hrungsbeh\u00f6rden lassen den Schilling-DM-Kurs nur sehr wenig schwanken. Die \\\"Credibility\\\" dieser Wechselkurspolitik auf den Finanzm\u00e4rkten kann unter gewissen Annahmen anhand von nominellen Zinsdifferenzen zwischen \u00d6sterreich und Deutschland gemessen werden. Die Analyse von Zinss\u00e4tzen bzw. Renditen mit Fristigkeiten von einem Monat bis zu zehn Jahren kann \\\"Glaubw\u00fcrdigkeit\\\" bzw. Wechselkurserwartungen \u00fcber diese Zeithorizonte anzeigen. Sie hat auf dem Geldmarkt seit 1988, auf dem Rentenmarkt seit 1989 zugenommen. Die untersuchten Daten zeigen keine Realzinskonvergenz zwischen \u00d6sterreich und Deutschland; Komponenten des Realzinsdifferentials weisen auf nicht vollst\u00e4ndig integrierte Kapital- und G\u00fcterm\u00e4rkte hin.<\\\/p><p>KW  - Zinsdifferentiale und Wechselkurserwartungen auf dem Geld- und Kapitalmarkt; Interest Rate Differentials and Foreign Exchange Expectations on the Money and Capital Market<\\\/p><p>KW  - Zinsdifferentiale und Wechselkurserwartungen auf dem Geld- und Kapitalmarkt; Interest Rate Differentials and Foreign Exchange Expectations on the Money and Capital Market<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 63<\\\/p><p>SP  - 573<\\\/p><p>EP  - 579<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - 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