{"id":85749,"date":"2024-01-22T09:05:31","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T08:05:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/85749\/"},"modified":"2024-11-06T23:56:24","modified_gmt":"2024-11-06T22:56:24","slug":"zukunftstrends-im-internationalen-tourismus-die-freizeit-und-informationsgesellschaft-an-der-schwelle-des-21-jahrhunderts","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/85749\/","title":{"rendered":"Future Trends in International Tourism"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-85749","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"Projections for the global tourism industry up to 2010 envisage annual growth rates of about 3 percent (at constant prices and exchange rates) both for expenditures made in the course of foreign travel (\"tourism imports\") and for revenues from international tourist travel (\"tourism exports\"). International tourist travel by Europeans will grow at a slightly higher rate (+3.5 percent p.a.) than global tourism. European export revenues, on the other hand, will rise at a slower pace than the average of 20 countries (+2.8 percent p.a.). Within Europe, EMU members will have relatively lower import growth rates (+3.3 percent) while, at +2.9 percent, their annual export growth rate is higher than the European average. The forecasts point to some flattening of the long-term growth curve even though international tourism, in spite of some weakening, can still expect to achieve a long-term growth rate that is markedly higher on average than the overall economic growth rate. The trend is based on the assumption that tourist travel will gradually lose its status as a luxury commodity and that some degree of saturation will set in, which will dampen long-term growth of tourism expenditures. In addition, the growing pressure felt by people to provide for private health and pension insurance coverage, together with purchasing power problems resulting from insecurities in terms of jobs and financing will boost demand for cheaper or more cost-effective offers, which in turn will reduce average expenditure per overnight stay. The long-term export forecast for Austria is +2.8 percent p.a. in real terms. Compared to the European trend, this will enable Austria to maintain its market share. The benefits to be reaped from economic and monetary union and the initiatives taken towards structural improvements are the main factors driving the development. With regard to foreign travel by Austrians, the growth rate will settle at about 2.5 percent p.a. in real terms.","onlinedate":"1999-02-25 12:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"19990201","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[\"Zukunftstrends im internationalen Tourismus. Die Freizeit- und Informationsgesellschaft an der Schwelle des 21. Jahrhunderts; Future Trends in International Tourism\"]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":276830,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"72","monthly_report_pages":"135-144","monthly_report_pages_sort":"135","issue":"2","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"1999-02-25 12:00:00","types":[44312],"research_groups":[3481],"collaboration":"","persons":[3983],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3983,\"personName\":\"Egon Smeral\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>Smeral, E.<\\\/span> (1999). <span>Zukunftstrends im internationalen Tourismus. Die Freizeit- und Informationsgesellschaft an der Schwelle des 21. Jahrhunderts<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>72<\\\/em>(2), 135-144. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/648\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/648<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>Smeral E<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Zukunftstrends im internationalen Tourismus. Die Freizeit- und Informationsgesellschaft an der Schwelle des 21. Jahrhunderts<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 1999 Feb;72(2):135-144.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{e7bf71fb1b8e49238281960aacbf9f79,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Zukunftstrends im internationalen Tourismus. Die Freizeit- und Informationsgesellschaft an der Schwelle des 21. Jahrhunderts\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"F{\\\\\\\"u}r den Welttourismus wird bis zum Jahr 2010 eine j{\\\\\\\"a}hrliche Expansion um rund 3\\\\% prognostiziert (zu konstanten Preisen und Wechselkursen). Das Auslandsreisevolumen der Europ{\\\\\\\"a}er wird pro Jahr etwas st{\\\\\\\"a}rker wachsen (+3,5\\\\%). Dagegen werden die Einnahmen Europas aus Tourismusexporten bis zum Jahr 2010 mit j{\\\\\\\"a}hrlich +2,8\\\\% unterdurchschnittlich zunehmen. Innerhalb Europas weisen die EWU-Teilnehmerstaaten mit +3,3\\\\% eine relativ geringe Steigerung der Tourismusimporte auf, die j{\\\\\\\"a}hrlichen Exportzuwachsraten {\\\\\\\"u}bersteigen mit +2,9\\\\% aber den europ{\\\\\\\"a}ischen Durchschnitt. Trotz der erwarteten Abschw{\\\\\\\"a}chung gegen{\\\\\\\"u}ber der langfristigen Entwicklung liegen die Wachstumsraten des internationalen Reiseverkehrs im Durchschnitt weiterhin deutlich {\\\\\\\"u}ber dem gesamtwirtschaftlichen Wachstum.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Zukunftstrends im internationalen Tourismus. Die Freizeit- und Informationsgesellschaft an der Schwelle des 21. Jahrhunderts; Future Trends in International Tourism, Zukunftstrends im internationalen Tourismus. Die Freizeit- und Informationsgesellschaft an der Schwelle des 21. Jahrhunderts; Future Trends in International Tourism\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Egon Smeral\\\",<\\\/div><div>  note     = \\\"Tourismus\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"1999\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = feb,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"72\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"135--144\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Zukunftstrends im internationalen Tourismus. Die Freizeit- und Informationsgesellschaft an der Schwelle des 21. Jahrhunderts<\\\/p><p>AU  - Smeral, Egon<\\\/p><p>N1  - Tourismus<\\\/p><p>PY  - 1999\\\/2<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 1999\\\/2<\\\/p><p>N2  - F\u00fcr den Welttourismus wird bis zum Jahr 2010 eine j\u00e4hrliche Expansion um rund 3% prognostiziert (zu konstanten Preisen und Wechselkursen). Das Auslandsreisevolumen der Europ\u00e4er wird pro Jahr etwas st\u00e4rker wachsen (+3,5%). Dagegen werden die Einnahmen Europas aus Tourismusexporten bis zum Jahr 2010 mit j\u00e4hrlich +2,8% unterdurchschnittlich zunehmen. Innerhalb Europas weisen die EWU-Teilnehmerstaaten mit +3,3% eine relativ geringe Steigerung der Tourismusimporte auf, die j\u00e4hrlichen Exportzuwachsraten \u00fcbersteigen mit +2,9% aber den europ\u00e4ischen Durchschnitt. Trotz der erwarteten Abschw\u00e4chung gegen\u00fcber der langfristigen Entwicklung liegen die Wachstumsraten des internationalen Reiseverkehrs im Durchschnitt weiterhin deutlich \u00fcber dem gesamtwirtschaftlichen Wachstum.<\\\/p><p>AB  - F\u00fcr den Welttourismus wird bis zum Jahr 2010 eine j\u00e4hrliche Expansion um rund 3% prognostiziert (zu konstanten Preisen und Wechselkursen). Das Auslandsreisevolumen der Europ\u00e4er wird pro Jahr etwas st\u00e4rker wachsen (+3,5%). Dagegen werden die Einnahmen Europas aus Tourismusexporten bis zum Jahr 2010 mit j\u00e4hrlich +2,8% unterdurchschnittlich zunehmen. Innerhalb Europas weisen die EWU-Teilnehmerstaaten mit +3,3% eine relativ geringe Steigerung der Tourismusimporte auf, die j\u00e4hrlichen Exportzuwachsraten \u00fcbersteigen mit +2,9% aber den europ\u00e4ischen Durchschnitt. 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Jahrhunderts; Future Trends in International Tourism<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 72<\\\/p><p>SP  - 135<\\\/p><p>EP  - 144<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.3 (Yoast SEO v28.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Future Trends in International Tourism - WIFO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/85749\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Future Trends in International Tourism\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/85749\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"WIFO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-11-06T22:56:24+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@WIFOat\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/85749\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/85749\\\/\",\"name\":\"Future Trends in International Tourism - 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