{"id":84099,"date":"2024-01-22T08:53:18","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T07:53:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/84099\/"},"modified":"2024-11-06T23:42:13","modified_gmt":"2024-11-06T22:42:13","slug":"weitere-abschwaechung-der-baukonjunktur-in-westeuropa-2","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/84099\/","title":{"rendered":"Further Weakening of Construction Activity in Western Europe"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-84099","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"The prospects for 1996-97 for the construction sector in Western Europe are not encouraging: having briefly recovered from recession in 1994 \u2013 with real output expanding 3 percent \u2013 growth of 1.6 percent in 1995 clearly lagged behind that of overall GDP. Projections are for a further slowdown in 1996-97, to 1.1 and 0.9 percent, respectively. Major reasons for the modest growth outlook are the generally sluggish advance of GDP, cuts in government spending, and the slackening demand for residential buildings. A common feature among Western European countries has been strong investment in renovation and adaptation of old structures, and demand promises to stay lively in the near future. Renovation works claim a share of over 30 percent in total construction activity, and it is likely to rise in the future at the expense of new building. In East-Central Europe, the construction industry managed to overcome the transformation crisis in 1995 and may expect stable growth of 6 percent p.a. in 1996-97. Against the general trend in Europe, the Austrian construction sector experienced solid growth in the first half of the decade. In the course of 1995, however, public orders fell markedly \u2013 for budgetary reasons; and also residential building, the mainstay of construction activity and a major contributor to overall growth, lost considerable momentum towards end-1995. Total construction output in Austria remained constant in 1995 and is expected to decline by 1 percent in 1996 and maybe by another 3 percent in the following year. Marking the pace of the cyclical downturn, the sharp decline in new construction orders since mid-1995 is eye-catching. Results from the latest WIFO business survey are the worst since the early 1980s, the time of the last recession in the construction sector. Two-thirds of all firms report a massive decline in new orders. The consequences are becoming apparent on the labor market, where seasonal unemployment will hit a new peak. The recently announced infrastructure programme of the Federal government may provide fresh stimulus for construction investment. New incentives for renovation works which are highly labor-intensive should mitigate the adverse trend in the Austrian construction industry.","onlinedate":"1996-02-01 01:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"19960201","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":275402,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"69","monthly_report_pages":"117-121","monthly_report_pages_sort":"117","issue":"2","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":null,"types":[44312],"research_groups":[3481],"collaboration":"","persons":[3911],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3911,\"personName\":\"Margarete Czerny\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>Czerny, M.<\\\/span> (1996). <span>Weitere Abschw\u00e4chung der Baukonjunktur in Westeuropa<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>69<\\\/em>(2), 117-121. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/284\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/284<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>Czerny M<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Weitere Abschw\u00e4chung der Baukonjunktur in Westeuropa<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 1996 Feb;69(2):117-121.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{7b7ea8728d1a4838ac24f9bd60486f79,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Weitere Abschw{\\\\\\\"a}chung der Baukonjunktur in Westeuropa\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Die Wachstumschancen f{\\\\\\\"u}r die Bauwirtschaft sind 1996 und 1997 in Westeuropa sehr ged{\\\\\\\"a}mpft: Der Sektor erholte sich nach der Rezession 1993 nur vor{\\\\\\\"u}bergehend (1994 +3\\\\%) und blieb 1995 (+1,6\\\\%) deutlich hinter dem Wachstum der Gesamtwirtschaft zur{\\\\\\\"u}ck. Infolge von Ausgabenk{\\\\\\\"u}rzungen der {\\\\\\\"o}ffentlichen Haushalte und der nachlassenden Wohnbaunachfrage ist f{\\\\\\\"u}r 1996 und 1997 eine weitere Abschw{\\\\\\\"a}chung auf +1,1\\\\% bzw. +0,9\\\\% zu erwarten. In Ost-Mitteleuropa hat die Bauwirtschaft die Transformationskrise 1995 {\\\\\\\"u}berwunden, soda{\\\\ss} sich f{\\\\\\\"u}r 1996 und 1997 ein stetiger Wachstumspfad (+6\\\\%) abzeichnet. In {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich ger{\\\\\\\"a}t die Bauwirtschaft jedoch in eine Krise. Nach dem Nachfrager{\\\\\\\"u}ckgang im Tiefbau (K{\\\\\\\"u}rzung der {\\\\\\\"o}ffentlichen Investitionen im Rahmen der Ma{\\\\ss}nahmen zur Budgetkonsolidierung) verliert nun auch der Wohnbau an Dynamik. 1996 d{\\\\\\\"u}rfte die Bauproduktion real um 1\\\\%, 1997 um 3\\\\% sinken; das k{\\\\\\\"u}rzlich angek{\\\\\\\"u}ndigte Infrastrukturprogramm k{\\\\\\\"o}nnte die Rezession mildern oder abwenden.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Weitere Abschw{\\\\\\\"a}chung der Baukonjunktur in Westeuropa; Further Weakening of Construction Activity in Western Europe\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Margarete Czerny\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"1996\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = feb,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"69\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"117--121\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Weitere Abschw\u00e4chung der Baukonjunktur in Westeuropa<\\\/p><p>AU  - Czerny, Margarete<\\\/p><p>PY  - 1996\\\/2<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 1996\\\/2<\\\/p><p>N2  - Die Wachstumschancen f\u00fcr die Bauwirtschaft sind 1996 und 1997 in Westeuropa sehr ged\u00e4mpft: Der Sektor erholte sich nach der Rezession 1993 nur vor\u00fcbergehend (1994 +3%) und blieb 1995 (+1,6%) deutlich hinter dem Wachstum der Gesamtwirtschaft zur\u00fcck. Infolge von Ausgabenk\u00fcrzungen der \u00f6ffentlichen Haushalte und der nachlassenden Wohnbaunachfrage ist f\u00fcr 1996 und 1997 eine weitere Abschw\u00e4chung auf +1,1% bzw. +0,9% zu erwarten. In Ost-Mitteleuropa hat die Bauwirtschaft die Transformationskrise 1995 \u00fcberwunden, soda\u00df sich f\u00fcr 1996 und 1997 ein stetiger Wachstumspfad (+6%) abzeichnet. In \u00d6sterreich ger\u00e4t die Bauwirtschaft jedoch in eine Krise. Nach dem Nachfrager\u00fcckgang im Tiefbau (K\u00fcrzung der \u00f6ffentlichen Investitionen im Rahmen der Ma\u00dfnahmen zur Budgetkonsolidierung) verliert nun auch der Wohnbau an Dynamik. 1996 d\u00fcrfte die Bauproduktion real um 1%, 1997 um 3% sinken; das k\u00fcrzlich angek\u00fcndigte Infrastrukturprogramm k\u00f6nnte die Rezession mildern oder abwenden.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Die Wachstumschancen f\u00fcr die Bauwirtschaft sind 1996 und 1997 in Westeuropa sehr ged\u00e4mpft: Der Sektor erholte sich nach der Rezession 1993 nur vor\u00fcbergehend (1994 +3%) und blieb 1995 (+1,6%) deutlich hinter dem Wachstum der Gesamtwirtschaft zur\u00fcck. Infolge von Ausgabenk\u00fcrzungen der \u00f6ffentlichen Haushalte und der nachlassenden Wohnbaunachfrage ist f\u00fcr 1996 und 1997 eine weitere Abschw\u00e4chung auf +1,1% bzw. +0,9% zu erwarten. In Ost-Mitteleuropa hat die Bauwirtschaft die Transformationskrise 1995 \u00fcberwunden, soda\u00df sich f\u00fcr 1996 und 1997 ein stetiger Wachstumspfad (+6%) abzeichnet. In \u00d6sterreich ger\u00e4t die Bauwirtschaft jedoch in eine Krise. Nach dem Nachfrager\u00fcckgang im Tiefbau (K\u00fcrzung der \u00f6ffentlichen Investitionen im Rahmen der Ma\u00dfnahmen zur Budgetkonsolidierung) verliert nun auch der Wohnbau an Dynamik. 1996 d\u00fcrfte die Bauproduktion real um 1%, 1997 um 3% sinken; das k\u00fcrzlich angek\u00fcndigte Infrastrukturprogramm k\u00f6nnte die Rezession mildern oder abwenden.<\\\/p><p>KW  - Weitere Abschw\u00e4chung der Baukonjunktur in Westeuropa; Further Weakening of Construction Activity in Western Europe<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 69<\\\/p><p>SP  - 117<\\\/p><p>EP  - 121<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - 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