{"id":83557,"date":"2024-01-22T08:49:08","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T07:49:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/83557\/"},"modified":"2024-11-06T23:37:40","modified_gmt":"2024-11-06T22:37:40","slug":"budgetkonsolidierung-in-kurz-und-mittelfristiger-sicht","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/83557\/","title":{"rendered":"The Fiscal Consolidation Program from a Short-term and Medium-term Perspective"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-83557","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"In January 1995 the Austrian Institute of Economic Research carried out a preliminary assessment of the consolidation measures as provided in the Working Agreement between the two coalition parties (\"austerity package\"). In the meantime, several items contained in this package have been changed, and the Parliament has passed the federal budget for 1995. The new evaluation is based on the federal budget 1995 as well as on the likely development of expenditure cuts up to 1998 according to the intentions of the government expressed so far. According to the present program, expenditure cuts are only half as large as envisaged in the austerity package; furthermore an increase in revenues is proposed in the budget. These changes move the budget further away from the consolidation target, but at the same time ameliorate possible negative distributive effects. The consolidation measures are estimated to relieve the federal budget by a cumulated Sch 127.5 billion over the period 1995-1998, with half of the savings coming from expenditure cuts, the other half from an increase in revenues. Compared to a scenario without fiscal restraint, new indebtedness of the central government will be reduced by Sch 29 billion in 1995. These savings more than offset the direct and indirect cost of accession to the EU (contribution to the EU and compensation for farmers). According to the simulations of the macroeconomic model, the consolidation measures lower the level of real GDP by 0.4 percentage points and reduce the number of jobs by 13,000 in the year 1998. The increase in the mineral oil tax will raise consumer prices by \u00bc percent. The balance in the current account will be relieved by Sch 17 billion (0.5 percent of GDP) in 1998. Net lending of general government will improve by 1 percent of GDP, and in 1998 will total 2.6 percent of GDP, dropping below the Maastricht convergence goal of 3 percent. The public debt ratio is expected to steadily decline to 64 percent. The austerity program pursues two goals: to strengthen the hard-currency policy by fiscal restraint and to meet the convergence criteria for participation in a future European Monetary Union. The budget proposal for 1995 is a first step in the direction of a medium-term consolidation of the budget. Over the following years there will be some maneuvering room left in the choice of specific instruments for attaining this goal.","onlinedate":"1995-04-01 02:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"19950401","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[\"Budgetkonsolidierung in kurz- und mittelfristiger Sicht; The Fiscal Consolidation Program from a Short-term and Medium-term Perspective\"]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":274946,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"68","monthly_report_pages":"270-274","monthly_report_pages_sort":"270","issue":"4","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":null,"types":[44312],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[3917,3971],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3917,\"personName\":\"Fritz Breuss\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3971,\"personName\":\"Fritz Schebeck\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>Breuss, F.<\\\/span><span>, &amp; Schebeck, F.<\\\/span> (1995). <span>Budgetkonsolidierung in kurz- und mittelfristiger Sicht<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>68<\\\/em>(4), 270-274. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/173\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/173<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>Breuss F<\\\/span><span>, Schebeck F<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Budgetkonsolidierung in kurz- und mittelfristiger Sicht<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 1995 Apr;68(4):270-274.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{d77009fdc15242d79a256984c8e35553,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Budgetkonsolidierung in kurz- und mittelfristiger Sicht\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Nach Vorliegen des Bundesvoranschlags 1995 und der sich abzeichnenden weiteren Budgetsparma{\\\\ss}nahmen bis 1998 hat das WIFO die Auswirkungen der Budgetkonsolidierung f{\\\\\\\"u}r die Gesamtwirtschaft neu bewertet. Gegen{\\\\\\\"u}ber dem {\\\"}Sparpaket{\\\"} (Stand vom J{\\\\\\\"a}nner 1995), in dem ausgabenseitige Einsparungen dominierten, verteilt sich das nunmehr f{\\\\\\\"u}r die Periode 1995\\\/1998 gesch{\\\\\\\"a}tzte Konsolidierungsvolumen von 127,5 Mrd. S etwa zur H{\\\\\\\"a}lfte auf Ausgabenk{\\\\\\\"u}rzungen und Einnahmenerh{\\\\\\\"o}hungen. Dadurch wird mittelfristig (bis 1998) das reale BIP um 0,4\\\\% ged{\\\\\\\"a}mpft, das Preisniveau des privaten Konsums um \u00bc\\\\% erh{\\\\\\\"o}ht und die Leistungsbilanz um 0,5\\\\% des BIP entlastet. Die Neuverschuldungsquote des Gesamtstaates unterschreitet mit 2,6\\\\% des BIP das Maastricht-Konvergenzziel. Auch die Staatsschuldenquote sinkt kontinuierlich auf 64\\\\% des BIP.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Budgetkonsolidierung in kurz- und mittelfristiger Sicht; The Fiscal Consolidation Program from a Short-term and Medium-term Perspective, Budgetkonsolidierung in kurz- und mittelfristiger Sicht; The Fiscal Consolidation Program from a Short-term and Medium-term Perspective\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Fritz Breuss and Fritz Schebeck\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"1995\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = apr,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"68\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"270--274\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Budgetkonsolidierung in kurz- und mittelfristiger Sicht<\\\/p><p>AU  - Breuss, Fritz<\\\/p><p>AU  - Schebeck, Fritz<\\\/p><p>PY  - 1995\\\/4<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 1995\\\/4<\\\/p><p>N2  - Nach Vorliegen des Bundesvoranschlags 1995 und der sich abzeichnenden weiteren Budgetsparma\u00dfnahmen bis 1998 hat das WIFO die Auswirkungen der Budgetkonsolidierung f\u00fcr die Gesamtwirtschaft neu bewertet. Gegen\u00fcber dem \\\"Sparpaket\\\" (Stand vom J\u00e4nner 1995), in dem ausgabenseitige Einsparungen dominierten, verteilt sich das nunmehr f\u00fcr die Periode 1995\\\/1998 gesch\u00e4tzte Konsolidierungsvolumen von 127,5 Mrd. S etwa zur H\u00e4lfte auf Ausgabenk\u00fcrzungen und Einnahmenerh\u00f6hungen. Dadurch wird mittelfristig (bis 1998) das reale BIP um 0,4% ged\u00e4mpft, das Preisniveau des privaten Konsums um \u00bc% erh\u00f6ht und die Leistungsbilanz um 0,5% des BIP entlastet. Die Neuverschuldungsquote des Gesamtstaates unterschreitet mit 2,6% des BIP das Maastricht-Konvergenzziel. Auch die Staatsschuldenquote sinkt kontinuierlich auf 64% des BIP.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Nach Vorliegen des Bundesvoranschlags 1995 und der sich abzeichnenden weiteren Budgetsparma\u00dfnahmen bis 1998 hat das WIFO die Auswirkungen der Budgetkonsolidierung f\u00fcr die Gesamtwirtschaft neu bewertet. Gegen\u00fcber dem \\\"Sparpaket\\\" (Stand vom J\u00e4nner 1995), in dem ausgabenseitige Einsparungen dominierten, verteilt sich das nunmehr f\u00fcr die Periode 1995\\\/1998 gesch\u00e4tzte Konsolidierungsvolumen von 127,5 Mrd. S etwa zur H\u00e4lfte auf Ausgabenk\u00fcrzungen und Einnahmenerh\u00f6hungen. Dadurch wird mittelfristig (bis 1998) das reale BIP um 0,4% ged\u00e4mpft, das Preisniveau des privaten Konsums um \u00bc% erh\u00f6ht und die Leistungsbilanz um 0,5% des BIP entlastet. Die Neuverschuldungsquote des Gesamtstaates unterschreitet mit 2,6% des BIP das Maastricht-Konvergenzziel. Auch die Staatsschuldenquote sinkt kontinuierlich auf 64% des BIP.<\\\/p><p>KW  - Budgetkonsolidierung in kurz- und mittelfristiger Sicht; The Fiscal Consolidation Program from a Short-term and Medium-term Perspective<\\\/p><p>KW  - Budgetkonsolidierung in kurz- und mittelfristiger Sicht; The Fiscal Consolidation Program from a Short-term and Medium-term Perspective<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 68<\\\/p><p>SP  - 270<\\\/p><p>EP  - 274<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Fiscal Consolidation Program from a Short-term and Medium-term Perspective - 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