{"id":83391,"date":"2024-01-22T08:47:55","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T07:47:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/83391\/"},"modified":"2024-11-06T23:36:12","modified_gmt":"2024-11-06T22:36:12","slug":"industrierohstoffpreise-erholen-sich-staerker-als-erwartet-entwicklung-und-prognose-der-weltmarktpreise-von-industrierohstoffen-2","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/83391\/","title":{"rendered":"Rebound Of Industrial Raw Material Prices Stronger Than Expected"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-83391","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"World market prices for industrial raw materials have picked up strongly since early 1994. On annual average, the increase over 1993 is estimated at 16 percent. Major reasons for the rebound are the business cycle recovery and inventory build-up in industrialized countries, supply cuts, and speculative purchases. Commodity prices are generally expected to continue rising throughout 1995 and into early 1996. Projections for industrial raw materials are for an increase of 17 percent in 1995 and of 2 percent in the first quarter of 1996. Price hikes in 1995 are expected to be strongest for agricultural commodities (+20 percent). Quotations for pulp may move up by as much as 33 percent, due to supply shortages for timber on the one hand and the cyclical strengthening of demand on the other. Sawn timber is projected to go up by 18 percent; here, too, prices reflect more scarce supply. Prices for cotton in 1994 were affected by higher world import demand caused by poor harvests in major producer countries like China and India, leading to an average price increase of approximately 25 percent. In 1995, quotations may go up by a further 9 percent, despite an expected increase in aggregate supply. Prices of wool, having risen by 43 percent in 1994, may increase another 23 percent. Non-ferrous metals are projected to become 17 percent more expensive in 1995, with lead topping the increase (+22 percent). Copper prices (+18 percent in 1994, +20 percent in 1995) are being pushed upward by strong demand in the U.S. and in South-East Asia, and by the recovery in Europe. Aluminum prices may rise by 19 percent while nickel (+12 percent), zinc (+9 percent), and tin (+3 percent) should register below-average price increases. Austrian imports of industrial raw materials, on a schilling basis, recorded a lower rate of inflation in 1994 (first to third quarter +7.9 percent year-over-year) than world market prices on a dollar basis. This is explained partly by the weakening of the dollar and partly by a structural composition effect of Austrian commodity imports.","onlinedate":"1995-01-01 01:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"19950101","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":274796,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"68","monthly_report_pages":"42-47","monthly_report_pages_sort":"42","issue":"1","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":null,"types":[44312],"research_groups":[3655,3491],"collaboration":"","persons":[3959],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3959,\"personName\":\"Claudia Pichl\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>Pichl, C.<\\\/span> (1995). <span>Industrierohstoffpreise erholen sich st\u00e4rker als erwartet. Entwicklung und Prognose der Weltmarktpreise von Industrierohstoffen<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>68<\\\/em>(1), 42-47. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/150\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/150<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>Pichl C<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Industrierohstoffpreise erholen sich st\u00e4rker als erwartet. Entwicklung und Prognose der Weltmarktpreise von Industrierohstoffen<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 1995 Jan;68(1):42-47.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{9f3b07696d1d476dadb569ba365885ec,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Industrierohstoffpreise erholen sich st{\\\\\\\"a}rker als erwartet. Entwicklung und Prognose der Weltmarktpreise von Industrierohstoffen\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Unerwartet rasch stiegen 1994 die Industrierohstoffpreise auf dem Weltmarkt: Mit +16\\\\% im Durchschnitt der ersten drei Quartale machten sie den R{\\\\\\\"u}ckgang des Vorjahres (\u201314\\\\%) mehr als wett. Am ausgepr{\\\\\\\"a}gtesten war die Preisumkehr f{\\\\\\\"u}r agrarische Industrierohstoffe, insbesondere Schnittholz und Zellstoff (Angebotsverknappung). Die Baumwollpreise wurden vor allem durch die starke Nachfrage Chinas, Indiens und Pakistans hochgetrieben (Aufk{\\\\\\\"a}ufe nach Ernteeinbu{\\\\ss}en durch Wetter- und Insektensch{\\\\\\\"a}den). Gezielte K{\\\\\\\"u}rzungen der Produktion von NE?Metallen trafen auf eine steigende Nachfragedynamik und einen Lageraufbau \u2013 Preissteigerungen von 15\\\\% waren die Folge. F{\\\\\\\"u}r 1995 wird mit einem Anhalten des Preisanstiegs gerechnet: Industrierohstoffe werden sich weiter verteuern (+17\\\\%), weil die optimistischen Konjunkturerwartungen die Nachfrage verst{\\\\\\\"a}rken. Wie 1994 d{\\\\\\\"u}rfte das Rohstoffangebot der Oststaaten das Produktionsdefizit in den westlichen L{\\\\\\\"a}ndern nicht schlie{\\\\ss}en k{\\\\\\\"o}nnen.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Industrierohstoffpreise erholen sich st{\\\\\\\"a}rker als erwartet. Entwicklung und Prognose der Weltmarktpreise von Industrierohstoffen; Rebound Of Industrial Raw Material Prices Stronger Than Expected\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Claudia Pichl\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"1995\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = jan,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"68\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"42--47\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Industrierohstoffpreise erholen sich st\u00e4rker als erwartet. Entwicklung und Prognose der Weltmarktpreise von Industrierohstoffen<\\\/p><p>AU  - Pichl, Claudia<\\\/p><p>PY  - 1995\\\/1<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 1995\\\/1<\\\/p><p>N2  - Unerwartet rasch stiegen 1994 die Industrierohstoffpreise auf dem Weltmarkt: Mit +16% im Durchschnitt der ersten drei Quartale machten sie den R\u00fcckgang des Vorjahres (\u201314%) mehr als wett. Am ausgepr\u00e4gtesten war die Preisumkehr f\u00fcr agrarische Industrierohstoffe, insbesondere Schnittholz und Zellstoff (Angebotsverknappung). Die Baumwollpreise wurden vor allem durch die starke Nachfrage Chinas, Indiens und Pakistans hochgetrieben (Aufk\u00e4ufe nach Ernteeinbu\u00dfen durch Wetter- und Insektensch\u00e4den). Gezielte K\u00fcrzungen der Produktion von NE?Metallen trafen auf eine steigende Nachfragedynamik und einen Lageraufbau \u2013 Preissteigerungen von 15% waren die Folge. F\u00fcr 1995 wird mit einem Anhalten des Preisanstiegs gerechnet: Industrierohstoffe werden sich weiter verteuern (+17%), weil die optimistischen Konjunkturerwartungen die Nachfrage verst\u00e4rken. Wie 1994 d\u00fcrfte das Rohstoffangebot der Oststaaten das Produktionsdefizit in den westlichen L\u00e4ndern nicht schlie\u00dfen k\u00f6nnen.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Unerwartet rasch stiegen 1994 die Industrierohstoffpreise auf dem Weltmarkt: Mit +16% im Durchschnitt der ersten drei Quartale machten sie den R\u00fcckgang des Vorjahres (\u201314%) mehr als wett. Am ausgepr\u00e4gtesten war die Preisumkehr f\u00fcr agrarische Industrierohstoffe, insbesondere Schnittholz und Zellstoff (Angebotsverknappung). Die Baumwollpreise wurden vor allem durch die starke Nachfrage Chinas, Indiens und Pakistans hochgetrieben (Aufk\u00e4ufe nach Ernteeinbu\u00dfen durch Wetter- und Insektensch\u00e4den). Gezielte K\u00fcrzungen der Produktion von NE?Metallen trafen auf eine steigende Nachfragedynamik und einen Lageraufbau \u2013 Preissteigerungen von 15% waren die Folge. F\u00fcr 1995 wird mit einem Anhalten des Preisanstiegs gerechnet: Industrierohstoffe werden sich weiter verteuern (+17%), weil die optimistischen Konjunkturerwartungen die Nachfrage verst\u00e4rken. Wie 1994 d\u00fcrfte das Rohstoffangebot der Oststaaten das Produktionsdefizit in den westlichen L\u00e4ndern nicht schlie\u00dfen k\u00f6nnen.<\\\/p><p>KW  - Industrierohstoffpreise erholen sich st\u00e4rker als erwartet. Entwicklung und Prognose der Weltmarktpreise von Industrierohstoffen; Rebound Of Industrial Raw Material Prices Stronger Than Expected<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 68<\\\/p><p>SP  - 42<\\\/p><p>EP  - 47<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Rebound Of Industrial Raw Material Prices Stronger Than Expected - WIFO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/83391\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Rebound Of Industrial Raw Material Prices Stronger Than Expected\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/83391\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"WIFO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-11-06T22:36:12+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@WIFOat\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/83391\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/83391\\\/\",\"name\":\"Rebound Of Industrial Raw Material Prices Stronger Than Expected - 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