{"id":69309,"date":"2023-12-02T07:24:46","date_gmt":"2023-12-02T06:24:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/the-revenue-potential-of-inheritance-taxation-in-light-of-ageing-societies\/"},"modified":"2024-08-06T09:38:09","modified_gmt":"2024-08-06T07:38:09","slug":"the-revenue-potential-of-inheritance-taxation-in-light-of-ageing-societies","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/69309\/","title":{"rendered":"The Revenue Potential of Inheritance Taxation in Light of Ageing Societies"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-69309","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"Based on the most recent data from the ECB's Household Finance and Consumption Survey, the project models the future household-level wealth distribution in five selected EU member countries (Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, and Italy) to derive inheritances based on different demographic and wealth projection scenarios. On this basis, various inheritance tax scenarios are simulated to estimate potential inheritance tax revenues for a projection period of 30 years. Our results indicate that multiple factors coincide in favouring a growing revenue potential for inheritance taxation in the medium-term. Wealth accumulation and appreciation lead to higher average wealth levels. The shift of the baby boomer generation out of the labour force results in an increase of the older population both in absolute and relative terms. Eventually, this will lead to a rise in the number of deaths and the number of inheritances. Additionally, low fertility rates lead to a reduction of the average number of successors and thereby decrease the importance of exemption thresholds, as individual inheritances become larger. Overall, our simulations show that the future revenue potential of inheritance taxes may be substantial. In practice, it can be expected that the theoretical revenue potential demonstrated by our simulations will be reduced by tax avoidance, real responses, and general equilibrium effects on other taxes. A review of the empirical evidence shows that behavioural responses to inheritance taxes are less pronounced compared to a net wealth tax.","onlinedate":"2022-05-17 12:00:00","lang":"English","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20220501","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"8","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[\"189f1eb3-6d35-4a51-a4e0-a260df173da8\"]","pdf":270313,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"","monthly_report_pages":"","monthly_report_pages_sort":"0","issue":"13","journal":"WIFO Research Briefs","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2022-05-17 12:00:00","types":[44390],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[17721,3830,17757,17669],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":17721,\"personName\":\"Alexander Krenek\",\"organisationNames\":[\"WU Vienna\"]},{\"personId\":3830,\"personName\":\"Margit Schratzenstaller\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":17757,\"personName\":\"Klaus Gr\u00fcnberger\",\"organisationNames\":[\"European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Seville\"]},{\"personId\":17669,\"personName\":\"Andreas Thiemann\",\"organisationNames\":[\"European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Seville\"]}]","clients":[10646],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[40979],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\">Krenek, A.<span>, Schratzenstaller, M.<\\\/span>, Gr\u00fcnberger, K., &amp; Thiemann, A. (2022). <span>The Revenue Potential of Inheritance Taxation in Light of Ageing Societies<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO Research Briefs<\\\/em><\\\/span>, (13).<\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\">Krenek A<span>, Schratzenstaller M<\\\/span>, Gr\u00fcnberger K, Thiemann A. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>The Revenue Potential of Inheritance Taxation in Light of Ageing Societies<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO Research Briefs<\\\/span>. 2022 May;(13).<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{170de865049c4362b9729456fe251dee,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"The Revenue Potential of Inheritance Taxation in Light of Ageing Societies\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Based on the most recent data from the ECB's Household Finance and Consumption Survey, the project models the future household-level wealth distribution in five selected EU member countries (Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, and Italy) to derive inheritances based on different demographic and wealth projection scenarios. On this basis, various inheritance tax scenarios are simulated to estimate potential inheritance tax revenues for a projection period of 30 years. Our results indicate that multiple factors coincide in favouring a growing revenue potential for inheritance taxation in the medium-term. Wealth accumulation and appreciation lead to higher average wealth levels. The shift of the baby boomer generation out of the labour force results in an increase of the older population both in absolute and relative terms. Eventually, this will lead to a rise in the number of deaths and the number of inheritances. Additionally, low fertility rates lead to a reduction of the average number of successors and thereby decrease the importance of exemption thresholds, as individual inheritances become larger. Overall, our simulations show that the future revenue potential of inheritance taxes may be substantial. In practice, it can be expected that the theoretical revenue potential demonstrated by our simulations will be reduced by tax avoidance, real responses, and general equilibrium effects on other taxes. A review of the empirical evidence shows that behavioural responses to inheritance taxes are less pronounced compared to a net wealth tax.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\" inheritance taxation, wealth taxation, ageing, HFCS, behavioural effects\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Alexander Krenek and Margit Schratzenstaller and Klaus Gr{\\\\\\\"u}nberger and Andreas Thiemann\\\",<\\\/div><div>  note     = \\\"The Revenue Potential of Inheritance Taxation in Light of Ageing Societies\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2022\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = may,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"English\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO Research Briefs\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - The Revenue Potential of Inheritance Taxation in Light of Ageing Societies<\\\/p><p>AU  - Krenek, Alexander<\\\/p><p>AU  - Schratzenstaller, Margit<\\\/p><p>AU  - Gr\u00fcnberger, Klaus<\\\/p><p>AU  - Thiemann, Andreas<\\\/p><p>N1  - The Revenue Potential of Inheritance Taxation in Light of Ageing Societies<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2022\\\/5<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2022\\\/5<\\\/p><p>N2  - Based on the most recent data from the ECB's Household Finance and Consumption Survey, the project models the future household-level wealth distribution in five selected EU member countries (Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, and Italy) to derive inheritances based on different demographic and wealth projection scenarios. On this basis, various inheritance tax scenarios are simulated to estimate potential inheritance tax revenues for a projection period of 30 years. Our results indicate that multiple factors coincide in favouring a growing revenue potential for inheritance taxation in the medium-term. Wealth accumulation and appreciation lead to higher average wealth levels. The shift of the baby boomer generation out of the labour force results in an increase of the older population both in absolute and relative terms. Eventually, this will lead to a rise in the number of deaths and the number of inheritances. Additionally, low fertility rates lead to a reduction of the average number of successors and thereby decrease the importance of exemption thresholds, as individual inheritances become larger. Overall, our simulations show that the future revenue potential of inheritance taxes may be substantial. In practice, it can be expected that the theoretical revenue potential demonstrated by our simulations will be reduced by tax avoidance, real responses, and general equilibrium effects on other taxes. A review of the empirical evidence shows that behavioural responses to inheritance taxes are less pronounced compared to a net wealth tax.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Based on the most recent data from the ECB's Household Finance and Consumption Survey, the project models the future household-level wealth distribution in five selected EU member countries (Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, and Italy) to derive inheritances based on different demographic and wealth projection scenarios. On this basis, various inheritance tax scenarios are simulated to estimate potential inheritance tax revenues for a projection period of 30 years. Our results indicate that multiple factors coincide in favouring a growing revenue potential for inheritance taxation in the medium-term. Wealth accumulation and appreciation lead to higher average wealth levels. The shift of the baby boomer generation out of the labour force results in an increase of the older population both in absolute and relative terms. Eventually, this will lead to a rise in the number of deaths and the number of inheritances. Additionally, low fertility rates lead to a reduction of the average number of successors and thereby decrease the importance of exemption thresholds, as individual inheritances become larger. Overall, our simulations show that the future revenue potential of inheritance taxes may be substantial. In practice, it can be expected that the theoretical revenue potential demonstrated by our simulations will be reduced by tax avoidance, real responses, and general equilibrium effects on other taxes. A review of the empirical evidence shows that behavioural responses to inheritance taxes are less pronounced compared to a net wealth tax.<\\\/p><p>KW  -  inheritance taxation<\\\/p><p>KW  -  wealth taxation<\\\/p><p>KW  -  ageing<\\\/p><p>KW  -  HFCS<\\\/p><p>KW  -  behavioural effects<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO series<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO Research Briefs<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO Research Briefs<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Revenue Potential of Inheritance Taxation in Light of Ageing Societies - WIFO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/69309\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Revenue Potential of Inheritance Taxation in Light of Ageing Societies\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/69309\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"WIFO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-08-06T07:38:09+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@WIFOat\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/69309\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/69309\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Revenue Potential of Inheritance Taxation in Light of Ageing Societies - 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