{"id":69181,"date":"2023-12-02T07:23:23","date_gmt":"2023-12-02T06:23:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/negative-angebotsschocks-treffen-auf-kraeftige-konjunktur\/"},"modified":"2024-08-06T09:37:54","modified_gmt":"2024-08-06T07:37:54","slug":"negative-angebotsschocks-treffen-auf-kraeftige-konjunktur","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/69181\/","title":{"rendered":"Adverse Supply Shocks Hit Buoyant Economy"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-69181","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"Economic Outlook for 2022 and 2023","text":"The Ukraine war leads to renewed significant negative supply shocks that do not allow domestic industry to grow. Inflation remains high for longer and dampens the growth of private consumption. The large catch-up potential in tourism makes it a pillar of growth this year. Overall, more than half of the expected 3.9 percent growth rate for 2022 is due to accommodation and food services. The labour market trend remains favourable.","onlinedate":"2022-03-25 12:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20220301","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"38","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[\"9275a260-7fe7-4c59-846c-4cd264cda406\",\"7bcff3f3-8022-436e-b7bc-2ce7e8028341\",\"42be9268-55c7-487d-95ce-a3091f3056eb\",\"ed43082b-0202-4ebb-a186-f5fcf7520187\"]","pdf":270305,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"","monthly_report_pages":"","monthly_report_pages_sort":"0","issue":"1","journal":"WIFO-Konjunkturprognose","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2022-03-25 12:00:00","types":[44368],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[3865,3567],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3865,\"personName\":\"Stefan Schiman\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3567,\"personName\":\"Stefan Ederer\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[41243],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>Schiman, S.<\\\/span><span>, &amp; Ederer, S.<\\\/span> (2022). <span>Negative Angebotsschocks treffen auf kr\u00e4ftige Konjunktur: Prognose f\u00fcr 2022 und 2023<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Konjunkturprognose<\\\/em><\\\/span>, (1).<\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>Schiman S<\\\/span><span>, Ederer S<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Negative Angebotsschocks treffen auf kr\u00e4ftige Konjunktur: <span class=\\\"subtitle\\\">Prognose f\u00fcr 2022 und 2023<\\\/span><\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Konjunkturprognose<\\\/span>. 2022 Mar;(1).<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{5421cb754d594cf296dcfb32def990bc,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Negative Angebotsschocks treffen auf kr{\\\\\\\"a}ftige Konjunktur: Prognose f{\\\\\\\"u}r 2022 und 2023\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Der Ukraine-Krieg f{\\\\\\\"u}hrt neuerlich zu erheblichen negativen Angebotsschocks, die der heimischen Industrie keine Wertsch{\\\\\\\"o}pfungszuw{\\\\\\\"a}chse erm{\\\\\\\"o}glichen. Die Inflation bleibt l{\\\\\\\"a}nger hoch und d{\\\\\\\"a}mpft das Wachstum des privaten Konsums. Das gro{\\\\ss}e Aufholpotential im Tourismus macht ihn heuer zur St{\\\\\\\"u}tze der Konjunktur. Insgesamt entf{\\\\\\\"a}llt {\\\\\\\"u}ber die H{\\\\\\\"a}lfte des f{\\\\\\\"u}r 2022 prognostizierten Wirtschaftswachstums von 3,9\\\\% auf den Bereich Beherbergung und Gastronomie. Die Entwicklung auf dem Arbeitsmarkt bleibt g{\\\\\\\"u}nstig. \\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"WIFO-Konjunkturprognose\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Stefan Schiman and Stefan Ederer\\\",<\\\/div><div>  note     = \\\"WIFO-Konjunkturprognose vom M{\\\\\\\"a}rz 2022\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2022\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = mar,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Konjunkturprognose\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Negative Angebotsschocks treffen auf kr\u00e4ftige Konjunktur<\\\/p><p>T2  - Prognose f\u00fcr 2022 und 2023<\\\/p><p>AU  - Schiman, Stefan<\\\/p><p>AU  - Ederer, Stefan<\\\/p><p>N1  - WIFO-Konjunkturprognose vom M\u00e4rz 2022<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2022\\\/3<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2022\\\/3<\\\/p><p>N2  - Der Ukraine-Krieg f\u00fchrt neuerlich zu erheblichen negativen Angebotsschocks, die der heimischen Industrie keine Wertsch\u00f6pfungszuw\u00e4chse erm\u00f6glichen. Die Inflation bleibt l\u00e4nger hoch und d\u00e4mpft das Wachstum des privaten Konsums. Das gro\u00dfe Aufholpotential im Tourismus macht ihn heuer zur St\u00fctze der Konjunktur. Insgesamt entf\u00e4llt \u00fcber die H\u00e4lfte des f\u00fcr 2022 prognostizierten Wirtschaftswachstums von 3,9% auf den Bereich Beherbergung und Gastronomie. Die Entwicklung auf dem Arbeitsmarkt bleibt g\u00fcnstig. <\\\/p><p>AB  - Der Ukraine-Krieg f\u00fchrt neuerlich zu erheblichen negativen Angebotsschocks, die der heimischen Industrie keine Wertsch\u00f6pfungszuw\u00e4chse erm\u00f6glichen. Die Inflation bleibt l\u00e4nger hoch und d\u00e4mpft das Wachstum des privaten Konsums. Das gro\u00dfe Aufholpotential im Tourismus macht ihn heuer zur St\u00fctze der Konjunktur. Insgesamt entf\u00e4llt \u00fcber die H\u00e4lfte des f\u00fcr 2022 prognostizierten Wirtschaftswachstums von 3,9% auf den Bereich Beherbergung und Gastronomie. Die Entwicklung auf dem Arbeitsmarkt bleibt g\u00fcnstig. <\\\/p><p>KW  - WIFO-Konjunkturprognose<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Konjunkturprognose<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Konjunkturprognose<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Adverse Supply Shocks Hit Buoyant Economy - WIFO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/69181\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Adverse Supply Shocks Hit Buoyant Economy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/69181\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"WIFO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-08-06T07:37:54+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@WIFOat\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/69181\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/69181\\\/\",\"name\":\"Adverse Supply Shocks Hit Buoyant Economy - 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