{"id":68389,"date":"2023-12-01T23:05:46","date_gmt":"2023-12-01T22:05:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/prognose-der-beschaeftigung-arbeitslosenquote-und-lohnsumme-der-oesterreichischen-gesundheitskasse-nach-bundeslaendern-fuer-die-jahre-2021-bis-2026\/"},"modified":"2024-04-20T13:30:29","modified_gmt":"2024-04-20T11:30:29","slug":"prognose-der-beschaeftigung-arbeitslosenquote-und-lohnsumme-der-oesterreichischen-gesundheitskasse-nach-bundeslaendern-fuer-die-jahre-2021-bis-2026","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/68389\/","title":{"rendered":"Forecast of Employment, Unemployment Rate and Wage Bill of the Austrian Health Insurance Funds by L\u00e4nder for the Years 2021 to 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-68389","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"The surprisingly strong upswing in the Austrian economy since May 2021 also led to a revision of WIFO's medium-term forecast at the beginning of October. In 2021, gross domestic product should increase by 4.4 percent, employment by 2.1 percent, and the unemployment rate should decrease to 8.2 percent. For 2022, WIFO expects a GDP growth of 5.0 percent, which should decrease to 2.4 percent (2023) and further on to 1.8 percent (2026) in the following years. Regionally, the peak of employment growth should be reached in 2021 in the provinces of the Eastern and Southern regions as well as in Upper Austria. In the Western provinces, this peak will not be reached until 2022 due to the weak first quarter of 2021. In 2021, wage bill should also grow the most in Burgenland and in Carinthia. Tyrol, Vorarlberg and Salzburg will achieve the highest wage bill growth in 2022.","onlinedate":"2021-10-14 12:56:04","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20211001","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":null,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":false,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"","monthly_report_pages":"","monthly_report_pages_sort":"0","issue":"","journal":"","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":null,"types":[81966],"research_groups":[3481],"collaboration":"","persons":[3621,3803],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3621,\"personName\":\"Peter Huber\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3803,\"personName\":\"Philipp Piribauer\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[10682,27940],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_bookanthology rendering_apa rendering_bookanthology_apa\\\"><span>Huber, P.<\\\/span><span>, &amp; Piribauer, P.<\\\/span> (2021). <span><em>Prognose der Besch\u00e4ftigung, Arbeitslosenquote und Lohnsumme der \u00f6sterreichischen Gesundheitskasse nach Bundesl\u00e4ndern f\u00fcr die Jahre 2021 bis 2026<\\\/em><\\\/span>. WIFO.<\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_bookanthology rendering_vancouver rendering_bookanthology_vancouver\\\"><span>Huber P<\\\/span><span>, Piribauer P<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Prognose der Besch\u00e4ftigung, Arbeitslosenquote und Lohnsumme der \u00f6sterreichischen Gesundheitskasse nach Bundesl\u00e4ndern f\u00fcr die Jahre 2021 bis 2026<\\\/span><\\\/span>. WIFO; 2021.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_bookanthology rendering_bibtex rendering_bookanthology_bibtex\\\"><div>@book{594b7ef22b7648c3abbfc68118967d75,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Prognose der Besch{\\\\\\\"a}ftigung, Arbeitslosenquote und Lohnsumme der {\\\\\\\"o}sterreichischen Gesundheitskasse nach Bundesl{\\\\\\\"a}ndern f{\\\\\\\"u}r die Jahre 2021 bis 2026\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Aufgrund des {\\\\\\\"u}berraschend starken Aufschwungs der {\\\\\\\"o}sterreichischen Wirtschaft seit Mai 2021 revidierte das WIFO Anfang Oktober im Rahmen seiner mittelfristigen Prognose die Wachstumserwartungen f{\\\\\\\"u}r das laufende Jahr. Das Bruttoinlandsprodukt d{\\\\\\\"u}rfte demnach 2021 um 4,4\\\\% zulegen, die Besch{\\\\\\\"a}ftigung um 2,1\\\\%, und die Arbeitslosenquote sollte auf 8,2\\\\% sinken. F{\\\\\\\"u}r 2022 erwartet das WIFO ein BIP-Wachstum von 5,0\\\\%, welches sich in den Folgejahren auf +2,4\\\\% (2023) bis +1,8\\\\% (2026) abschw{\\\\\\\"a}chen sollte. In regionaler Hinsicht d{\\\\\\\"u}rfte in den Bundesl{\\\\\\\"a}ndern der Ost- und S{\\\\\\\"u}dregion sowie Ober{\\\\\\\"o}sterreich der Gipfel des Besch{\\\\\\\"a}ftigungswachstums bereits 2021 erreicht werden. In den westlichen Bundesl{\\\\\\\"a}ndern wird dieser H{\\\\\\\"o}hepunkt aufgrund des schwachen I. Quartals 2021 erst 2022 erreicht. Die beitragspflichtige Lohnsumme sollte 2021 im Burgenland und in K{\\\\\\\"a}rnten am st{\\\\\\\"a}rksten wachsen. Tirol, Vorarlberg und Salzburg werden 2022 das h{\\\\\\\"o}chste Lohnsummenwachstum erreichen.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Peter Huber and Philipp Piribauer\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2021\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = oct,<\\\/div><div>  day      = \\\"15\\\",<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_bookanthology rendering_ris rendering_bookanthology_ris\\\"><p>TY  - BOOK<\\\/p><p>T1  - Prognose der Besch\u00e4ftigung, Arbeitslosenquote und Lohnsumme der \u00f6sterreichischen Gesundheitskasse nach Bundesl\u00e4ndern f\u00fcr die Jahre 2021 bis 2026<\\\/p><p>AU  - Huber, Peter<\\\/p><p>AU  - Piribauer, Philipp<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2021\\\/10\\\/15<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2021\\\/10\\\/15<\\\/p><p>N2  - Aufgrund des \u00fcberraschend starken Aufschwungs der \u00f6sterreichischen Wirtschaft seit Mai 2021 revidierte das WIFO Anfang Oktober im Rahmen seiner mittelfristigen Prognose die Wachstumserwartungen f\u00fcr das laufende Jahr. Das Bruttoinlandsprodukt d\u00fcrfte demnach 2021 um 4,4% zulegen, die Besch\u00e4ftigung um 2,1%, und die Arbeitslosenquote sollte auf 8,2% sinken. F\u00fcr 2022 erwartet das WIFO ein BIP-Wachstum von 5,0%, welches sich in den Folgejahren auf +2,4% (2023) bis +1,8% (2026) abschw\u00e4chen sollte. In regionaler Hinsicht d\u00fcrfte in den Bundesl\u00e4ndern der Ost- und S\u00fcdregion sowie Ober\u00f6sterreich der Gipfel des Besch\u00e4ftigungswachstums bereits 2021 erreicht werden. In den westlichen Bundesl\u00e4ndern wird dieser H\u00f6hepunkt aufgrund des schwachen I. Quartals 2021 erst 2022 erreicht. Die beitragspflichtige Lohnsumme sollte 2021 im Burgenland und in K\u00e4rnten am st\u00e4rksten wachsen. Tirol, Vorarlberg und Salzburg werden 2022 das h\u00f6chste Lohnsummenwachstum erreichen.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Aufgrund des \u00fcberraschend starken Aufschwungs der \u00f6sterreichischen Wirtschaft seit Mai 2021 revidierte das WIFO Anfang Oktober im Rahmen seiner mittelfristigen Prognose die Wachstumserwartungen f\u00fcr das laufende Jahr. Das Bruttoinlandsprodukt d\u00fcrfte demnach 2021 um 4,4% zulegen, die Besch\u00e4ftigung um 2,1%, und die Arbeitslosenquote sollte auf 8,2% sinken. F\u00fcr 2022 erwartet das WIFO ein BIP-Wachstum von 5,0%, welches sich in den Folgejahren auf +2,4% (2023) bis +1,8% (2026) abschw\u00e4chen sollte. In regionaler Hinsicht d\u00fcrfte in den Bundesl\u00e4ndern der Ost- und S\u00fcdregion sowie Ober\u00f6sterreich der Gipfel des Besch\u00e4ftigungswachstums bereits 2021 erreicht werden. In den westlichen Bundesl\u00e4ndern wird dieser H\u00f6hepunkt aufgrund des schwachen I. Quartals 2021 erst 2022 erreicht. Die beitragspflichtige Lohnsumme sollte 2021 im Burgenland und in K\u00e4rnten am st\u00e4rksten wachsen. Tirol, Vorarlberg und Salzburg werden 2022 das h\u00f6chste Lohnsummenwachstum erreichen.<\\\/p><p>M3  - Studie<\\\/p><p>BT  - Prognose der Besch\u00e4ftigung, Arbeitslosenquote und Lohnsumme der \u00f6sterreichischen Gesundheitskasse nach Bundesl\u00e4ndern f\u00fcr die Jahre 2021 bis 2026<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[\"Riegler Maria\"]","scientific_review":"[\"Mayrhuber Christine\"]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.3 (Yoast SEO v28.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Forecast of Employment, Unemployment Rate and Wage Bill of the Austrian Health Insurance Funds by L\u00e4nder for the Years 2021 to 2026 - WIFO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/68389\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Forecast of Employment, Unemployment Rate and Wage Bill of the Austrian Health Insurance Funds by L\u00e4nder for the Years 2021 to 2026\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/68389\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"WIFO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-04-20T11:30:29+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@WIFOat\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/68389\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/68389\\\/\",\"name\":\"Forecast of Employment, Unemployment Rate and Wage Bill of the Austrian Health Insurance Funds by L\u00e4nder for the Years 2021 to 2026 - 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