{"id":53453,"date":"2023-12-01T18:07:33","date_gmt":"2023-12-01T17:07:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/wirtschaft-in-osteuropa-trotz-weltweiter-konjunktureintruebung-expansiv\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T06:08:39","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T05:08:39","slug":"wirtschaft-in-osteuropa-trotz-weltweiter-konjunktureintruebung-expansiv","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/53453\/","title":{"rendered":"Economy in Eastern Europe Grows Despite Global Slowdown"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-53453","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"In the Central, Eastern and Southeastern European countries (CESEE) the economy is cooling down, but much less than expected in spring: the forecasts for 2019 have been revised upwards for the majority of the countries. Particularly in the EU-CEE region, growth has decoupled quite clearly from the downturn in the euro area. In several countries there are even increasing signs of overheating, although this is only a cause for concern in Romania. The Western Balkan countries are enjoying rising FDI inflows, while several CIS countries are benefitting from expansive fiscal policy. In Russia, on the other hand, the restrictive fiscal policy brought the economy to the brink of recession. Although the economic crisis in Turkey proved to be deeper than expected, it should be overcome by 2020 at the latest.","onlinedate":"2019-07-24 12:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20190701","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[\"Konjunkturprognose\",\"Ostmitteleuropa\",\"Visegr\u00e1d-L\u00e4nder\",\"Westbalkanl\u00e4nder\"]","jelcodes":"[\"E20\",\"E66\",\"O52\",\"O57\"]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":378662,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"92","monthly_report_pages":"509-520","monthly_report_pages_sort":"509","issue":"7","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2019-07-24 12:00:00","types":[44312],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[11983],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":11983,\"personName\":\"Vasily Astrov\",\"organisationNames\":[\"The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies\"]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\">Astrov, V. (2019). <span>Wirtschaft in Osteuropa trotz weltweiter Konjunktureintr\u00fcbung expansiv<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>92<\\\/em>(7), 509-520. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/61887\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/61887<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\">Astrov V. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Wirtschaft in Osteuropa trotz weltweiter Konjunktureintr\u00fcbung expansiv<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 2019 Jul;92(7):509-520.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{4b3d6f9125994aaaa8ab6a8c3d815356,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Wirtschaft in Osteuropa trotz weltweiter Konjunktureintr{\\\\\\\"u}bung expansiv\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Die Konjunktur k{\\\\\\\"u}hlt sich in den mittel-, ost- und s{\\\\\\\"u}dosteurop{\\\\\\\"a}ischen L{\\\\\\\"a}ndern (MOSOEL) zwar ab, aber viel weniger als im Fr{\\\\\\\"u}hjahr erwartet: Die Prognosen f{\\\\\\\"u}r 2019 wurden f{\\\\\\\"u}r die Mehrheit der L{\\\\\\\"a}nder nach oben korrigiert. Vor allem in der EU-MOEL-Region hat sich das Wachstum vom Abschwung im Euro-Raum recht deutlich abgekoppelt. In mehreren L{\\\\\\\"a}ndern mehren sich sogar die Anzeichen einer {\\\\\\\"U}berhitzung, die allerdings nur in Rum{\\\\\\\"a}nien Anlass zur Sorge gibt. Die Westbalkanl{\\\\\\\"a}nder profitieren von den steigenden FDI-Zufl{\\\\\\\"u}ssen, mehrere GUS-L{\\\\\\\"a}nder von der expansiven Fiskalpolitik. In Russland dagegen brachte der restriktive fiskalpolitische Kurs die Wirtschaft an den Rand einer Rezession. Die Wirtschaftskrise in der T{\\\\\\\"u}rkei erwies sich zwar als tiefer als erwartet, d{\\\\\\\"u}rfte aber sp{\\\\\\\"a}testens 2020 {\\\\\\\"u}berwunden sein.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Konjunkturprognose, Ostmitteleuropa, Visegr{\\\\'a}d-L{\\\\\\\"a}nder, Westbalkanl{\\\\\\\"a}nder, Konjunkturprognose, Ostmitteleuropa, Visegr{\\\\'a}d-L{\\\\\\\"a}nder, Westbalkanl{\\\\\\\"a}nder\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Vasily Astrov\\\",<\\\/div><div>  note     = \\\"Wirtschaft in Osteuropa\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2019\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = jul,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"92\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"509--520\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Wirtschaft in Osteuropa trotz weltweiter Konjunktureintr\u00fcbung expansiv<\\\/p><p>AU  - Astrov, Vasily<\\\/p><p>N1  - Wirtschaft in Osteuropa<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2019\\\/7<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2019\\\/7<\\\/p><p>N2  - Die Konjunktur k\u00fchlt sich in den mittel-, ost- und s\u00fcdosteurop\u00e4ischen L\u00e4ndern (MOSOEL) zwar ab, aber viel weniger als im Fr\u00fchjahr erwartet: Die Prognosen f\u00fcr 2019 wurden f\u00fcr die Mehrheit der L\u00e4nder nach oben korrigiert. Vor allem in der EU-MOEL-Region hat sich das Wachstum vom Abschwung im Euro-Raum recht deutlich abgekoppelt. In mehreren L\u00e4ndern mehren sich sogar die Anzeichen einer \u00dcberhitzung, die allerdings nur in Rum\u00e4nien Anlass zur Sorge gibt. Die Westbalkanl\u00e4nder profitieren von den steigenden FDI-Zufl\u00fcssen, mehrere GUS-L\u00e4nder von der expansiven Fiskalpolitik. In Russland dagegen brachte der restriktive fiskalpolitische Kurs die Wirtschaft an den Rand einer Rezession. Die Wirtschaftskrise in der T\u00fcrkei erwies sich zwar als tiefer als erwartet, d\u00fcrfte aber sp\u00e4testens 2020 \u00fcberwunden sein.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Die Konjunktur k\u00fchlt sich in den mittel-, ost- und s\u00fcdosteurop\u00e4ischen L\u00e4ndern (MOSOEL) zwar ab, aber viel weniger als im Fr\u00fchjahr erwartet: Die Prognosen f\u00fcr 2019 wurden f\u00fcr die Mehrheit der L\u00e4nder nach oben korrigiert. Vor allem in der EU-MOEL-Region hat sich das Wachstum vom Abschwung im Euro-Raum recht deutlich abgekoppelt. In mehreren L\u00e4ndern mehren sich sogar die Anzeichen einer \u00dcberhitzung, die allerdings nur in Rum\u00e4nien Anlass zur Sorge gibt. Die Westbalkanl\u00e4nder profitieren von den steigenden FDI-Zufl\u00fcssen, mehrere GUS-L\u00e4nder von der expansiven Fiskalpolitik. In Russland dagegen brachte der restriktive fiskalpolitische Kurs die Wirtschaft an den Rand einer Rezession. Die Wirtschaftskrise in der T\u00fcrkei erwies sich zwar als tiefer als erwartet, d\u00fcrfte aber sp\u00e4testens 2020 \u00fcberwunden sein.<\\\/p><p>KW  - Konjunkturprognose<\\\/p><p>KW  - Ostmitteleuropa<\\\/p><p>KW  - Visegr\u00e1d-L\u00e4nder<\\\/p><p>KW  - Westbalkanl\u00e4nder<\\\/p><p>KW  - Konjunkturprognose<\\\/p><p>KW  - Ostmitteleuropa<\\\/p><p>KW  - Visegr\u00e1d-L\u00e4nder<\\\/p><p>KW  - Westbalkanl\u00e4nder<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 92<\\\/p><p>SP  - 509<\\\/p><p>EP  - 520<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Economy in Eastern Europe Grows Despite Global Slowdown - 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