{"id":52273,"date":"2023-12-01T17:48:52","date_gmt":"2023-12-01T16:48:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/ein-neues-modell-fuer-die-kurzfristige-prognose-der-herstellung-von-waren-und-der-ausruestungsinvestitionen\/"},"modified":"2024-11-14T12:53:15","modified_gmt":"2024-11-14T11:53:15","slug":"ein-neues-modell-fuer-die-kurzfristige-prognose-der-herstellung-von-waren-und-der-ausruestungsinvestitionen","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/52273\/","title":{"rendered":"A New Model for Short-term Forecasting of Manufacturing and Equipment Investments"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-52273","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"In June 2018, a dynamic factor model was introduced to support the WIFO forecast of value added in the manufacturing sector and of investments in machinery and equipment. As a review of its forecasting characteristics shows, it has a high time lead and can therefore provide important input for expert forecasting.","onlinedate":"2018-09-25 12:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20180901","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[\"Dynamisches Faktormodell\",\"Echtzeitdaten KP_Prognose_Modelle\",\"Prognose und Nowcasting\"]","jelcodes":"[\"C32\",\"C53\",\"E37\"]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":414098,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"91","monthly_report_pages":"651-661","monthly_report_pages_sort":"651","issue":"9","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2018-09-25 12:00:00","types":[44312],"research_groups":[3491,3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[3587,3543,3607,11925],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3587,\"personName\":\"Klaus S. Friesenbichler\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3543,\"personName\":\"Christian Glocker\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3607,\"personName\":\"Werner H\u00f6lzl\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":11925,\"personName\":\"Philipp Wegm\u00fcller\",\"organisationNames\":[\"SECO\"]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>Friesenbichler, K. S.<\\\/span><span>, Glocker, C.<\\\/span><span>, H\u00f6lzl, W.<\\\/span>, &amp; Wegm\u00fcller, P. (2018). <span>Ein neues Modell f\u00fcr die kurzfristige Prognose der Herstellung von Waren und der Ausr\u00fcstungsinvestitionen<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>91<\\\/em>(9), 651-661. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/61271\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/61271<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>Friesenbichler KS<\\\/span><span>, Glocker C<\\\/span><span>, H\u00f6lzl W<\\\/span>, Wegm\u00fcller P. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Ein neues Modell f\u00fcr die kurzfristige Prognose der Herstellung von Waren und der Ausr\u00fcstungsinvestitionen<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 2018 Sept;91(9):651-661.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{708f04fcc2f143bd9f3b1af8f99ddfb0,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Ein neues Modell f{\\\\\\\"u}r die kurzfristige Prognose der Herstellung von Waren und der Ausr{\\\\\\\"u}stungsinvestitionen\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Seit Juni 2018 unterst{\\\\\\\"u}tzt ein dynamisches Faktormodell die WIFO-Prognose der Wertsch{\\\\\\\"o}pfung der Sachg{\\\\\\\"u}terproduktion (Herstellung von Waren) und der Ausr{\\\\\\\"u}stungsinvestitionen. Wie eine {\\\\\\\"U}berpr{\\\\\\\"u}fung seiner Prognoseeigenschaften zeigt, hat es einen hohen Vorlauf und kann daher einen wichtigen Input zur Expertenprognose leisten.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Dynamisches Faktormodell, Echtzeitdaten KP\\\\_Prognose\\\\_Modelle, Prognose und Nowcasting, Dynamisches Faktormodell, Echtzeitdaten KP\\\\_Prognose\\\\_Modelle, Prognose und Nowcasting\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Friesenbichler, \\\\{Klaus S.\\\\} and Christian Glocker and Werner H{\\\\\\\"o}lzl and Philipp Wegm{\\\\\\\"u}ller\\\",<\\\/div><div>  note     = \\\"Prognosemodell\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2018\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = sep,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"91\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"651--661\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Ein neues Modell f\u00fcr die kurzfristige Prognose der Herstellung von Waren und der Ausr\u00fcstungsinvestitionen<\\\/p><p>AU  - Friesenbichler, Klaus S.<\\\/p><p>AU  - Glocker, Christian<\\\/p><p>AU  - H\u00f6lzl, Werner<\\\/p><p>AU  - Wegm\u00fcller, Philipp<\\\/p><p>N1  - Prognosemodell<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2018\\\/9<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2018\\\/9<\\\/p><p>N2  - Seit Juni 2018 unterst\u00fctzt ein dynamisches Faktormodell die WIFO-Prognose der Wertsch\u00f6pfung der Sachg\u00fcterproduktion (Herstellung von Waren) und der Ausr\u00fcstungsinvestitionen. Wie eine \u00dcberpr\u00fcfung seiner Prognoseeigenschaften zeigt, hat es einen hohen Vorlauf und kann daher einen wichtigen Input zur Expertenprognose leisten.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Seit Juni 2018 unterst\u00fctzt ein dynamisches Faktormodell die WIFO-Prognose der Wertsch\u00f6pfung der Sachg\u00fcterproduktion (Herstellung von Waren) und der Ausr\u00fcstungsinvestitionen. Wie eine \u00dcberpr\u00fcfung seiner Prognoseeigenschaften zeigt, hat es einen hohen Vorlauf und kann daher einen wichtigen Input zur Expertenprognose leisten.<\\\/p><p>KW  - Dynamisches Faktormodell<\\\/p><p>KW  - Echtzeitdaten KP_Prognose_Modelle<\\\/p><p>KW  - Prognose und Nowcasting<\\\/p><p>KW  - Dynamisches Faktormodell<\\\/p><p>KW  - Echtzeitdaten KP_Prognose_Modelle<\\\/p><p>KW  - Prognose und Nowcasting<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 91<\\\/p><p>SP  - 651<\\\/p><p>EP  - 661<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>A New Model for Short-term Forecasting of Manufacturing and Equipment Investments - 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