{"id":50642,"date":"2023-12-01T17:28:09","date_gmt":"2023-12-01T16:28:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/mosoel-wirtschaftliche-konvergenz-getruebt-durch-politische-divergenz\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T05:45:23","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T04:45:23","slug":"mosoel-wirtschaftliche-konvergenz-getruebt-durch-politische-divergenz","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/50642\/","title":{"rendered":"CESEE: Economic Convergence Clouded by Political Uncertainty"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-50642","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"The international environment for the economies in Central, East and Southeast Europe (CESEE) presents itself as a stark contrast between economic upswing on the one hand and political uncertainty and geopolitical tensions on the other. In the short term, positive effects of the economic recovery in the euro area and related exports, as well as of the continuously low oil price are prevailing over potentially negative effects of political turmoil. Compared with the wiiw Spring Forecast, growth projections for the CESEE region were for the most part revised upwards to 2.4 and 2.6 percent for the years 2017 and 2018, respectively.","onlinedate":"2017-07-25 12:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20170701","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[\"Konjunkturprognose\",\"MOSOEL\",\"Ostmitteleuropa\",\"Westbalkan\"]","jelcodes":"[\"E66\",\"O52\",\"O57\",\"P24\",\"P27\",\"P33\",\"P52\"]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":368668,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"90","monthly_report_pages":"547-554","monthly_report_pages_sort":"547","issue":"7","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2017-07-25 12:00:00","types":[44312],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[11873],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":11873,\"personName\":\"Julia Gr\u00fcbler\",\"organisationNames\":[\"The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies\"]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\">Gr\u00fcbler, J. (2017). <span>MOSOEL: Wirtschaftliche Konvergenz getr\u00fcbt durch politische Divergenz<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>90<\\\/em>(7), 547-554. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/60550\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/60550<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\">Gr\u00fcbler J. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>MOSOEL: Wirtschaftliche Konvergenz getr\u00fcbt durch politische Divergenz<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 2017 Jul;90(7):547-554.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{869708fec2a8457787a4f4ff70084661,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"MOSOEL: Wirtschaftliche Konvergenz getr{\\\\\\\"u}bt durch politische Divergenz\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Die Wirtschaft der mittel-, ost- und s{\\\\\\\"u}dosteurop{\\\\\\\"a}ischen L{\\\\\\\"a}nder (MOSOEL) befindet sich im Spannungsfeld zwischen dem Aufschwung einerseits und politischer Unsicherheit sowie geopolitischen Spannungen andererseits. Kurzfristig setzen sich die positiven Effekte der Erholung im Euro-Raum und der damit verbundenen Exportbelebung sowie der Stabilisierung der Roh{\\\\\\\"o}lpreise auf niedrigem Niveau gegen m{\\\\\\\"o}gliche negative Effekte politischer Turbulenzen durch. Gegen{\\\\\\\"u}ber der wiiw-Fr{\\\\\\\"u}hjahrsprognose wurden die Wachstumsprognosen f{\\\\\\\"u}r die MOSOEL gr{\\\\\\\"o}{\\\\ss}tenteils nach oben auf 2,4\\\\% f{\\\\\\\"u}r 2017 und 2,6\\\\% f{\\\\\\\"u}r das Jahr 2018 korrigiert.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Konjunkturprognose, MOSOEL, Ostmitteleuropa, Westbalkan, Konjunkturprognose, MOSOEL, Ostmitteleuropa, Westbalkan\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Julia Gr{\\\\\\\"u}bler\\\",<\\\/div><div>  note     = \\\"Wirtschaft in den MOSOEL\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2017\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = jul,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"90\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"547--554\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - MOSOEL: Wirtschaftliche Konvergenz getr\u00fcbt durch politische Divergenz<\\\/p><p>AU  - Gr\u00fcbler, Julia<\\\/p><p>N1  - Wirtschaft in den MOSOEL<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2017\\\/7<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2017\\\/7<\\\/p><p>N2  - Die Wirtschaft der mittel-, ost- und s\u00fcdosteurop\u00e4ischen L\u00e4nder (MOSOEL) befindet sich im Spannungsfeld zwischen dem Aufschwung einerseits und politischer Unsicherheit sowie geopolitischen Spannungen andererseits. Kurzfristig setzen sich die positiven Effekte der Erholung im Euro-Raum und der damit verbundenen Exportbelebung sowie der Stabilisierung der Roh\u00f6lpreise auf niedrigem Niveau gegen m\u00f6gliche negative Effekte politischer Turbulenzen durch. Gegen\u00fcber der wiiw-Fr\u00fchjahrsprognose wurden die Wachstumsprognosen f\u00fcr die MOSOEL gr\u00f6\u00dftenteils nach oben auf 2,4% f\u00fcr 2017 und 2,6% f\u00fcr das Jahr 2018 korrigiert.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Die Wirtschaft der mittel-, ost- und s\u00fcdosteurop\u00e4ischen L\u00e4nder (MOSOEL) befindet sich im Spannungsfeld zwischen dem Aufschwung einerseits und politischer Unsicherheit sowie geopolitischen Spannungen andererseits. Kurzfristig setzen sich die positiven Effekte der Erholung im Euro-Raum und der damit verbundenen Exportbelebung sowie der Stabilisierung der Roh\u00f6lpreise auf niedrigem Niveau gegen m\u00f6gliche negative Effekte politischer Turbulenzen durch. Gegen\u00fcber der wiiw-Fr\u00fchjahrsprognose wurden die Wachstumsprognosen f\u00fcr die MOSOEL gr\u00f6\u00dftenteils nach oben auf 2,4% f\u00fcr 2017 und 2,6% f\u00fcr das Jahr 2018 korrigiert.<\\\/p><p>KW  - Konjunkturprognose<\\\/p><p>KW  - MOSOEL<\\\/p><p>KW  - Ostmitteleuropa<\\\/p><p>KW  - Westbalkan<\\\/p><p>KW  - Konjunkturprognose<\\\/p><p>KW  - MOSOEL<\\\/p><p>KW  - Ostmitteleuropa<\\\/p><p>KW  - Westbalkan<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 90<\\\/p><p>SP  - 547<\\\/p><p>EP  - 554<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>CESEE: Economic Convergence Clouded by Political Uncertainty - 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