{"id":49445,"date":"2023-11-20T15:50:52","date_gmt":"2023-11-20T14:50:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/vertiefung-der-rezession-bei-steigenden-zinsen-und-hoher-inflation-2\/"},"modified":"2024-04-21T12:01:11","modified_gmt":"2024-04-21T10:01:11","slug":"vertiefung-der-rezession-bei-steigenden-zinsen-und-hoher-inflation-2","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/49445\/","title":{"rendered":"Deepening Recession with Rising Interest Rates and High Inflation"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-49445","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"Austria's GDP contracted by 1.1 percent year-on-year in the second quarter of 2023. The further deterioration of sentiment indicators does not suggest an imminent turnaround. The inflation gap to the euro area increased again in August after a temporary decline. The domestic labour market is currently characterised by a strong expansion of foreign labour supply. Contrary to public perception, savings interest rates have risen more strongly than lending rates since the ECB's interest rate reversal. At the same time, domestic banks have been able to significantly increase their net interest income. This is partly due to the high share of variable-rate housing loans.","onlinedate":"2023-10-16 12:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20230901","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[\"Konjunkturbericht\"]","jelcodes":"[\"E32\",\"E66\"]","related_publications":"[\"4414254c-2108-43bb-87f0-855740e2fc44\"]","pdf":257391,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"96","monthly_report_pages":"571-580","monthly_report_pages_sort":"571","issue":"9","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2023-10-16 00:00:00","types":[44312],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[3865],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3865,\"personName\":\"Stefan Schiman-Vukan\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>Schiman-Vukan, S.<\\\/span> (2023). <span>Vertiefung der Rezession bei steigenden Zinsen und hoher Inflation<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>96<\\\/em>(9), 571-580.<\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>Schiman-Vukan S<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Vertiefung der Rezession bei steigenden Zinsen und hoher Inflation<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 2023 Sept;96(9):571-580.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{2536e67f876747cca69e0f4078162c6a,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Vertiefung der Rezession bei steigenden Zinsen und hoher Inflation\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"{\\\\\\\"O}sterreichs BIP schrumpfte im II. Quartal 2023 um 1,1\\\\% gegen{\\\\\\\"u}ber dem Vorjahr. Die weitere Verschlechterung der unternehmerischen Konjunktureinsch{\\\\\\\"a}tzungen l{\\\\\\\"a}sst keine baldige Trendwende erwarten. Der Inflationsabstand zum Euro-Raum nahm im August nach einem vor{\\\\\\\"u}bergehenden R{\\\\\\\"u}ckgang wieder zu. Der heimische Arbeitsmarkt ist derzeit von einer kr{\\\\\\\"a}ftigen Ausweitung des ausl{\\\\\\\"a}ndischen Arbeitskr{\\\\\\\"a}fteangebots gepr{\\\\\\\"a}gt. Entgegen der {\\\\\\\"o}ffentlichen Wahrnehmung sind die Sparzinss{\\\\\\\"a}tze seit der Zinswende der EZB st{\\\\\\\"a}rker gestiegen als die Kreditzinss{\\\\\\\"a}tze. Zugleich konnten heimische Banken ihre Nettozinsertr{\\\\\\\"a}ge deutlich ausweiten. Dies h{\\\\\\\"a}ngt u. a. mit dem hohen Anteil variabel verzinster Wohnbaukredite zusammen.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Konjunkturbericht, Konjunkturbericht\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Stefan Schiman-Vukan\\\",<\\\/div><div>  note     = \\\"Konjunkturbericht\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2023\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = sep,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"96\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"571--580\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Vertiefung der Rezession bei steigenden Zinsen und hoher Inflation<\\\/p><p>AU  - Schiman-Vukan, Stefan<\\\/p><p>N1  - Konjunkturbericht<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2023\\\/9<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2023\\\/9<\\\/p><p>N2  - \u00d6sterreichs BIP schrumpfte im II. Quartal 2023 um 1,1% gegen\u00fcber dem Vorjahr. Die weitere Verschlechterung der unternehmerischen Konjunktureinsch\u00e4tzungen l\u00e4sst keine baldige Trendwende erwarten. Der Inflationsabstand zum Euro-Raum nahm im August nach einem vor\u00fcbergehenden R\u00fcckgang wieder zu. Der heimische Arbeitsmarkt ist derzeit von einer kr\u00e4ftigen Ausweitung des ausl\u00e4ndischen Arbeitskr\u00e4fteangebots gepr\u00e4gt. Entgegen der \u00f6ffentlichen Wahrnehmung sind die Sparzinss\u00e4tze seit der Zinswende der EZB st\u00e4rker gestiegen als die Kreditzinss\u00e4tze. Zugleich konnten heimische Banken ihre Nettozinsertr\u00e4ge deutlich ausweiten. Dies h\u00e4ngt u. a. mit dem hohen Anteil variabel verzinster Wohnbaukredite zusammen.<\\\/p><p>AB  - \u00d6sterreichs BIP schrumpfte im II. Quartal 2023 um 1,1% gegen\u00fcber dem Vorjahr. Die weitere Verschlechterung der unternehmerischen Konjunktureinsch\u00e4tzungen l\u00e4sst keine baldige Trendwende erwarten. Der Inflationsabstand zum Euro-Raum nahm im August nach einem vor\u00fcbergehenden R\u00fcckgang wieder zu. Der heimische Arbeitsmarkt ist derzeit von einer kr\u00e4ftigen Ausweitung des ausl\u00e4ndischen Arbeitskr\u00e4fteangebots gepr\u00e4gt. Entgegen der \u00f6ffentlichen Wahrnehmung sind die Sparzinss\u00e4tze seit der Zinswende der EZB st\u00e4rker gestiegen als die Kreditzinss\u00e4tze. Zugleich konnten heimische Banken ihre Nettozinsertr\u00e4ge deutlich ausweiten. Dies h\u00e4ngt u. a. mit dem hohen Anteil variabel verzinster Wohnbaukredite zusammen.<\\\/p><p>KW  - Konjunkturbericht<\\\/p><p>KW  - Konjunkturbericht<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 96<\\\/p><p>SP  - 571<\\\/p><p>EP  - 580<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[\"Czaloun Astrid\",\"Kaufmann Christine\",\"Steiner Martha\"]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Deepening Recession with Rising Interest Rates and High Inflation - WIFO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/49445\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Deepening Recession with Rising Interest Rates and High Inflation\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/49445\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"WIFO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-04-21T10:01:11+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@WIFOat\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/49445\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/49445\\\/\",\"name\":\"Deepening Recession with Rising Interest Rates and High Inflation - WIFO\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2023-11-20T14:50:52+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-04-21T10:01:11+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/49445\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/49445\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/49445\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Startseite\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Deepening Recession with Rising Interest Rates and High Inflation\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/\",\"name\":\"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung\",\"description\":\"\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#organization\"},\"alternateName\":\"WIFO\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung\",\"alternateName\":\"WIFO\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/WIFO_kurz_rechts-2-1920x412.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/WIFO_kurz_rechts-2-1920x412.jpg\",\"width\":2000,\"height\":429,\"caption\":\"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.facebook.com\\\/WIFOat\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/WIFOat\",\"https:\\\/\\\/linkedin.com\\\/company\\\/wifoat\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.youtube.com\\\/@WIFO_at\"],\"description\":\"Das WIFO, 1927 von Friedrich August von Hayek und Ludwig von Mises zur Konjunkturanalyse gegr\u00fcndet, ist heute das f\u00fchrende Institut f\u00fcr angewandte empirische Wirtschaftsforschung in \u00d6sterreich mit starkem Engagement auf europ\u00e4ischer Ebene.\",\"email\":\"office@wifo.ac.at\",\"telephone\":\"+43 1 798 26 01 \u2013 0\",\"legalName\":\"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung\",\"foundingDate\":\"1927-01-02\",\"numberOfEmployees\":{\"@type\":\"QuantitativeValue\",\"minValue\":\"51\",\"maxValue\":\"200\"},\"publishingPrinciples\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/mission-und-strategie\\\/\",\"ownershipFundingInfo\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/organisation\\\/\",\"actionableFeedbackPolicy\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/aktuelles\\\/presse\\\/\",\"correctionsPolicy\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/kontakt\\\/\",\"ethicsPolicy\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/evidenzbasierung-transparenz-und-unabhaengigkeit\\\/\",\"diversityPolicy\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/gleichstellung\\\/\",\"diversityStaffingReport\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/gleichstellung\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Deepening Recession with Rising Interest Rates and High Inflation - WIFO","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/49445\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Deepening Recession with Rising Interest Rates and High Inflation","og_url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/49445\/","og_site_name":"WIFO","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/","article_modified_time":"2024-04-21T10:01:11+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1920,"height":1280,"url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_site":"@WIFOat","schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/49445\/","url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/49445\/","name":"Deepening Recession with Rising Interest Rates and High Inflation - WIFO","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#website"},"datePublished":"2023-11-20T14:50:52+00:00","dateModified":"2024-04-21T10:01:11+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/49445\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/49445\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/49445\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Startseite","item":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Deepening Recession with Rising Interest Rates and High Inflation"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/","name":"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#organization"},"alternateName":"WIFO","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#organization","name":"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung","alternateName":"WIFO","url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO_kurz_rechts-2-1920x412.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO_kurz_rechts-2-1920x412.jpg","width":2000,"height":429,"caption":"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/","https:\/\/x.com\/WIFOat","https:\/\/linkedin.com\/company\/wifoat\/","https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@WIFO_at"],"description":"Das WIFO, 1927 von Friedrich August von Hayek und Ludwig von Mises zur Konjunkturanalyse gegr\u00fcndet, ist heute das f\u00fchrende Institut f\u00fcr angewandte empirische Wirtschaftsforschung in \u00d6sterreich mit starkem Engagement auf europ\u00e4ischer Ebene.","email":"office@wifo.ac.at","telephone":"+43 1 798 26 01 \u2013 0","legalName":"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung","foundingDate":"1927-01-02","numberOfEmployees":{"@type":"QuantitativeValue","minValue":"51","maxValue":"200"},"publishingPrinciples":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/mission-und-strategie\/","ownershipFundingInfo":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/organisation\/","actionableFeedbackPolicy":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/aktuelles\/presse\/","correctionsPolicy":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/kontakt\/","ethicsPolicy":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/evidenzbasierung-transparenz-und-unabhaengigkeit\/","diversityPolicy":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/gleichstellung\/","diversityStaffingReport":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/gleichstellung\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication\/49445","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/publication"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication\/49445\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person\/3865"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/research_group\/3500"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication_type\/44312"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49445"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}