{"id":49377,"date":"2023-11-20T15:49:51","date_gmt":"2023-11-20T14:49:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/austrian-agriculture-2030-2040-2050\/"},"modified":"2025-06-23T08:06:46","modified_gmt":"2025-06-23T06:06:46","slug":"austrian-agriculture-2030-2040-2050","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/49377\/","title":{"rendered":"Austrian Agriculture 2030 \u2013 2040 \u2013 2050"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-49377","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"Scenarios and Sensitivity Analyses on Land Use, Crop and Livestock Production","text":"Although the agricultural sector plays a minor economic role in the national economy, macroeconomic impacts are relevant for the achievement of climate goals due to forward and backward linkages with sectors in the food value chain. Agricultural land use also has some positive external effects or spillovers to other sectors, such as tourism. The aim of the study is not only to estimate the expected adaptation and mitigation costs in the sector to achieve the specific climate policy goals, but also to quantify the economic impacts. The relevant variables are the effects on GDP, gross value added, output, land use and employment. The effects on food and energy security are assessed as complementary parameters. The results show that a significant reduction in emissions from the agricultural sector is only possible with a significant reduction in its output. This implies that economic activity in agriculture, in industries providing inputs and in industries receiving outputs will decline in such a scenario. Negative consequences for consumers can be avoided if an increase in imports compensates for the loss of production in Austria.","onlinedate":"2025-06-23 08:00:05","lang":"English","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20230901","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"78","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":427399,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":false,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"","monthly_report_pages":"","monthly_report_pages_sort":"0","issue":"","journal":"","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":null,"types":[81966],"research_groups":[3655,3481],"collaboration":"","persons":[3853,5079,3879,18239,11381,18553],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3853,\"personName\":\"Franz Sinabell\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":5079,\"personName\":\"Katharina Falkner\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3879,\"personName\":\"Gerhard Streicher\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":18239,\"personName\":\"Martin Sch\u00f6nhart\",\"organisationNames\":[\"INWE-BOKU\"]},{\"personId\":11381,\"personName\":\"Erwin Schmid\",\"organisationNames\":[\"INWE-BOKU\"]},{\"personId\":18553,\"personName\":\"Christian Fritz\",\"organisationNames\":[\"HBLFA Raumberg-Gumpenstein\"]}]","clients":[10640],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_bookanthology rendering_apa rendering_bookanthology_apa\\\"><span>Sinabell, F.<\\\/span><span>, Falkner, K.<\\\/span><span>, Streicher, G.<\\\/span>, Sch\u00f6nhart, M., Schmid, E., &amp; Fritz, C. (2023). <span><em>Austrian Agriculture 2030 \u2013 2040 \u2013 2050: Scenarios and Sensitivity Analyses on Land Use, Crop and Livestock Production<\\\/em><\\\/span>. WIFO, University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Sciences, Vienna, Institute for Sustainable Economic Development, Raumberg-Gumpenstein Higher Federal Teaching and Research Institute for Agriculture.<\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_bookanthology rendering_vancouver rendering_bookanthology_vancouver\\\"><span>Sinabell F<\\\/span><span>, Falkner K<\\\/span><span>, Streicher G<\\\/span>, Sch\u00f6nhart M, Schmid E, Fritz C. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Austrian Agriculture 2030 \u2013 2040 \u2013 2050: <span class=\\\"subtitle\\\">Scenarios and Sensitivity Analyses on Land Use, Crop and Livestock Production<\\\/span><\\\/span><\\\/span>. WIFO, University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Sciences, Vienna, Institute for Sustainable Economic Development, Raumberg-Gumpenstein Higher Federal Teaching and Research Institute for Agriculture; 2023.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_bookanthology rendering_bibtex rendering_bookanthology_bibtex\\\"><div>@book{41664d15dd264af182bd6f6a28609450,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Austrian Agriculture 2030 \u2013 2040 \u2013 2050: Scenarios and Sensitivity Analyses on Land Use, Crop and Livestock Production\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Although the agricultural sector plays a minor economic role in the national economy, macroeconomic impacts are relevant for the achievement of climate goals due to forward and backward linkages with sectors in the food value chain. Agricultural land use also has some positive external effects or spillovers to other sectors, such as tourism. The aim of the study is not only to estimate the expected adaptation and mitigation costs in the sector to achieve the specific climate policy goals, but also to quantify the economic impacts. The relevant variables are the effects on GDP, gross value added, output, land use and employment. The effects on food and energy security are assessed as complementary parameters. The results show that a significant reduction in emissions from the agricultural sector is only possible with a significant reduction in its output. This implies that economic activity in agriculture, in industries providing inputs and in industries receiving outputs will decline in such a scenario. Negative consequences for consumers can be avoided if an increase in imports compensates for the loss of production in Austria.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Franz Sinabell and Katharina Falkner and Gerhard Streicher and Martin Sch{\\\\\\\"o}nhart and Erwin Schmid and Christian Fritz\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2023\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = sep,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"English\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_bookanthology rendering_ris rendering_bookanthology_ris\\\"><p>TY  - BOOK<\\\/p><p>T1  - Austrian Agriculture 2030 \u2013 2040 \u2013 2050<\\\/p><p>T2  - Scenarios and Sensitivity Analyses on Land Use, Crop and Livestock Production<\\\/p><p>AU  - Sinabell, Franz<\\\/p><p>AU  - Falkner, Katharina<\\\/p><p>AU  - Streicher, Gerhard<\\\/p><p>AU  - Sch\u00f6nhart, Martin<\\\/p><p>AU  - Schmid, Erwin<\\\/p><p>AU  - Fritz, Christian<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2023\\\/9<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2023\\\/9<\\\/p><p>N2  - Although the agricultural sector plays a minor economic role in the national economy, macroeconomic impacts are relevant for the achievement of climate goals due to forward and backward linkages with sectors in the food value chain. Agricultural land use also has some positive external effects or spillovers to other sectors, such as tourism. The aim of the study is not only to estimate the expected adaptation and mitigation costs in the sector to achieve the specific climate policy goals, but also to quantify the economic impacts. The relevant variables are the effects on GDP, gross value added, output, land use and employment. The effects on food and energy security are assessed as complementary parameters. The results show that a significant reduction in emissions from the agricultural sector is only possible with a significant reduction in its output. This implies that economic activity in agriculture, in industries providing inputs and in industries receiving outputs will decline in such a scenario. Negative consequences for consumers can be avoided if an increase in imports compensates for the loss of production in Austria.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Although the agricultural sector plays a minor economic role in the national economy, macroeconomic impacts are relevant for the achievement of climate goals due to forward and backward linkages with sectors in the food value chain. Agricultural land use also has some positive external effects or spillovers to other sectors, such as tourism. The aim of the study is not only to estimate the expected adaptation and mitigation costs in the sector to achieve the specific climate policy goals, but also to quantify the economic impacts. The relevant variables are the effects on GDP, gross value added, output, land use and employment. The effects on food and energy security are assessed as complementary parameters. The results show that a significant reduction in emissions from the agricultural sector is only possible with a significant reduction in its output. This implies that economic activity in agriculture, in industries providing inputs and in industries receiving outputs will decline in such a scenario. Negative consequences for consumers can be avoided if an increase in imports compensates for the loss of production in Austria.<\\\/p><p>M3  - Study<\\\/p><p>BT  - Austrian Agriculture 2030 \u2013 2040 \u2013 2050<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[\"Weinberger Dietmar\"]","scientific_review":"[\"Kettner-Marx Claudia\"]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Austrian Agriculture 2030 \u2013 2040 \u2013 2050 - WIFO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/49377\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Austrian Agriculture 2030 \u2013 2040 \u2013 2050\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/49377\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"WIFO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-06-23T06:06:46+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@WIFOat\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/49377\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/49377\\\/\",\"name\":\"Austrian Agriculture 2030 \u2013 2040 \u2013 2050 - 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