{"id":49165,"date":"2023-11-20T15:46:31","date_gmt":"2023-11-20T14:46:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/mittel-ost-und-suedosteuropa-zwischen-hoher-inflation-und-konjunkturflaute-im-euro-raum\/"},"modified":"2024-04-21T11:57:37","modified_gmt":"2024-04-21T09:57:37","slug":"mittel-ost-und-suedosteuropa-zwischen-hoher-inflation-und-konjunkturflaute-im-euro-raum","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/49165\/","title":{"rendered":"Central, Eastern and South-eastern Europe between High Inflation and Economic Slump in the Euro Area"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-49165","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"GDP growth in the Central, Eastern and South-eastern European countries (CESEECs) slowed to just 0.8 percent in the previous year, but is expected to pick up again to 1.6 percent in 2023. This is almost entirely thanks to stabilisation in Russia and Ukraine, whose economies have largely adapted to the sanctions imposed by the West and war conditions respectively. In most other CESEE countries, a further slowdown is expected due to high inflation and the economic slump in the euro area. In this context, the Western Balkan and South-eastern European EU member countries are doing better than average because they are benefitting from high inflows of foreign direct investment, private remittances, tourism receipts and EU transfers. Although the peak has already been reached, inflation remains in double digits in many CESEECs. This makes an easing of monetary policy unlikely in the near future.","onlinedate":"2023-07-24 12:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20230701","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[\"E31\",\"E50\",\"E62\",\"E66\",\"O52\",\"O57\"]","related_publications":"[\"c594c654-a2cf-4fe6-b470-a3408f9dc2a1\",\"9798bc67-86ca-400e-9952-28356dc00086\"]","pdf":257227,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"96","monthly_report_pages":"451-466","monthly_report_pages_sort":"451","issue":"7","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2023-07-24 00:00:00","types":[44312],"research_groups":[],"collaboration":"","persons":[11983,17809],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":11983,\"personName\":\"Vasily Astrov\",\"organisationNames\":[\"The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies\"]},{\"personId\":17809,\"personName\":\"Olga Pindyuk\",\"organisationNames\":[\"The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies\"]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"
Astrov, V., & Pindyuk, O. (2023). Mittel-, Ost- und S\u00fcdosteuropa zwischen hoher Inflation und Konjunkturflaute im Euro-Raum<\\\/span>. WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, 96<\\\/em>(7), 451-466.<\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"
Astrov V, Pindyuk O. Mittel-, Ost- und S\u00fcdosteuropa zwischen hoher Inflation und Konjunkturflaute im Euro-Raum<\\\/span><\\\/span>. WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 2023 Jul;96(7):451-466.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"
@misc{f7a0f8a91c754089aedb78d1deab04b2,<\\\/div>
title = \\\"Mittel-, Ost- und S{\\\\\\\"u}dosteuropa zwischen hoher Inflation und Konjunkturflaute im Euro-Raum\\\",<\\\/div>
abstract = \\\"Das BIP-Wachstum in den mittel-, ost- und s{\\\\\\\"u}dosteurop{\\\\\\\"a}ischen L{\\\\\\\"a}ndern (MOSOEL) verlangsamte sich im Vorjahr auf nur 0,8\\\\%, d{\\\\\\\"u}rfte aber 2023 wieder auf 1,6\\\\% anziehen. Dies ist fast ausschlie{\\\\ss}lich der Stabilisierung in Russland und der Ukraine zu verdanken, deren Volkswirtschaften sich den Sanktionen des Westens bzw. den Kriegsbedingungen weitgehend angepasst haben. In den meisten anderen MOSOEL ist aufgrund der hohen Inflation und der Konjunkturflaute im Euro-Raum mit einer weiteren Abk{\\\\\\\"u}hlung zu rechnen. Dabei schneiden die Westbalkan- und die s{\\\\\\\"u}dosteurop{\\\\\\\"a}ischen EU-Mitgliedsl{\\\\\\\"a}nder {\\\\\\\"u}berdurchschnittlich gut ab, weil sie von hohen Zufl{\\\\\\\"u}ssen ausl{\\\\\\\"a}ndischer Direktinvestitionen, privaten {\\\\\\\"U}berweisungen aus dem Ausland, Tourismuseinnahmen sowie EU-Transfers profitieren. Obwohl der H{\\\\\\\"o}hepunkt bereits erreicht wurde, bleibt die Inflation in vielen MOSOEL zweistellig. Dies macht eine baldige Lockerung der Geldpolitik unwahrscheinlich.\\\",<\\\/div>
keywords = \\\"Mittel-, Ost- und S{\\\\\\\"u}dosteuropa, Wirtschaftsprognosen, Inflation, Geldpolitik, Fiskalpolitik\\\",<\\\/div>
author = \\\"Vasily Astrov and Olga Pindyuk\\\",<\\\/div>
note = \\\"MOSOEL\\\",<\\\/div>
year = \\\"2023\\\",<\\\/div>
month = jul,<\\\/div>
language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div>
volume = \\\"96\\\",<\\\/div>
pages = \\\"451--466\\\",<\\\/div>
journal = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div>

}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"

TY - GEN<\\\/p>

T1 - Mittel-, Ost- und S\u00fcdosteuropa zwischen hoher Inflation und Konjunkturflaute im Euro-Raum<\\\/p>

AU - Astrov, Vasily<\\\/p>

AU - Pindyuk, Olga<\\\/p>

N1 - MOSOEL<\\\/p>

PY - 2023\\\/7<\\\/p>

Y1 - 2023\\\/7<\\\/p>

N2 - Das BIP-Wachstum in den mittel-, ost- und s\u00fcdosteurop\u00e4ischen L\u00e4ndern (MOSOEL) verlangsamte sich im Vorjahr auf nur 0,8%, d\u00fcrfte aber 2023 wieder auf 1,6% anziehen. Dies ist fast ausschlie\u00dflich der Stabilisierung in Russland und der Ukraine zu verdanken, deren Volkswirtschaften sich den Sanktionen des Westens bzw. den Kriegsbedingungen weitgehend angepasst haben. In den meisten anderen MOSOEL ist aufgrund der hohen Inflation und der Konjunkturflaute im Euro-Raum mit einer weiteren Abk\u00fchlung zu rechnen. Dabei schneiden die Westbalkan- und die s\u00fcdosteurop\u00e4ischen EU-Mitgliedsl\u00e4nder \u00fcberdurchschnittlich gut ab, weil sie von hohen Zufl\u00fcssen ausl\u00e4ndischer Direktinvestitionen, privaten \u00dcberweisungen aus dem Ausland, Tourismuseinnahmen sowie EU-Transfers profitieren. Obwohl der H\u00f6hepunkt bereits erreicht wurde, bleibt die Inflation in vielen MOSOEL zweistellig. Dies macht eine baldige Lockerung der Geldpolitik unwahrscheinlich.<\\\/p>

AB - Das BIP-Wachstum in den mittel-, ost- und s\u00fcdosteurop\u00e4ischen L\u00e4ndern (MOSOEL) verlangsamte sich im Vorjahr auf nur 0,8%, d\u00fcrfte aber 2023 wieder auf 1,6% anziehen. Dies ist fast ausschlie\u00dflich der Stabilisierung in Russland und der Ukraine zu verdanken, deren Volkswirtschaften sich den Sanktionen des Westens bzw. den Kriegsbedingungen weitgehend angepasst haben. In den meisten anderen MOSOEL ist aufgrund der hohen Inflation und der Konjunkturflaute im Euro-Raum mit einer weiteren Abk\u00fchlung zu rechnen. Dabei schneiden die Westbalkan- und die s\u00fcdosteurop\u00e4ischen EU-Mitgliedsl\u00e4nder \u00fcberdurchschnittlich gut ab, weil sie von hohen Zufl\u00fcssen ausl\u00e4ndischer Direktinvestitionen, privaten \u00dcberweisungen aus dem Ausland, Tourismuseinnahmen sowie EU-Transfers profitieren. Obwohl der H\u00f6hepunkt bereits erreicht wurde, bleibt die Inflation in vielen MOSOEL zweistellig. Dies macht eine baldige Lockerung der Geldpolitik unwahrscheinlich.<\\\/p>

KW - Mittel-, Ost- und S\u00fcdosteuropa<\\\/p>

KW - Wirtschaftsprognosen<\\\/p>

KW - Inflation<\\\/p>

KW - Geldpolitik<\\\/p>

KW - Fiskalpolitik<\\\/p>

M3 - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p>

VL - 96<\\\/p>

SP - 451<\\\/p>

EP - 466<\\\/p>

JO - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p>

JF - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p>

ER - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[\"External\"]","scientific_review":"[\"External\"]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"\nCentral, Eastern and South-eastern Europe between High Inflation and Economic Slump in the Euro Area - WIFO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/49165\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Central, Eastern and South-eastern Europe between High Inflation and Economic Slump in the Euro Area\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/49165\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"WIFO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-04-21T09:57:37+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@WIFOat\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/49165\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/49165\\\/\",\"name\":\"Central, Eastern and South-eastern Europe between High Inflation and Economic Slump in the Euro Area - 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