{"id":49059,"date":"2023-11-20T15:45:11","date_gmt":"2023-11-20T14:45:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/ifo-konjunkturprognose-sommer-2023-inflation-flaut-langsam-ab-aber-konjunktur-lahmt-noch\/"},"modified":"2025-01-13T17:37:41","modified_gmt":"2025-01-13T16:37:41","slug":"ifo-konjunkturprognose-sommer-2023-inflation-flaut-langsam-ab-aber-konjunktur-lahmt-noch","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/49059\/","title":{"rendered":"ifo Konjunkturprognose Sommer 2023: Inflation flaut langsam ab \u2013 aber Konjunktur lahmt noch"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-49059","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"Die deutsche Wirtschaft erfuhr im zur\u00fcckliegenden Winterhalbjahr einen kr\u00e4ftigen R\u00fccksetzer. Als Folge der hohen Inflation schw\u00e4chte sich die Nachfrage sp\u00fcrbar ab. Erst ab der zweiten H\u00e4lfte des laufenden Jahres d\u00fcrften die Einkommen der privaten Haushalte wieder st\u00e4rker zulegen als die Preise und der private Konsum an Fahrt aufnehmen. Die Baukonjunktur wird sich im gesamten Prognosezeitraum abk\u00fchlen, da der Anstieg der Baupreise nur langsam zur\u00fcckgeht und die Kreditzinsen hoch bleiben. Das Verarbeitende Gewerbe d\u00fcrfte dank der hohen Auftragsbest\u00e4nde seine Produktion moderat ausweiten. Zusammengenommen wird das Bruttoinlandsprodukt in den beiden Quartalen des Sommerhalbjahres 2023 wohl nur schwach um 0,1% bzw. 0,2% gegen\u00fcber dem Vorquartal expandieren. Ab Ende des Jahres d\u00fcrfte sich die Konjunktur dann wieder erholen und die Wirtschaft mit kr\u00e4ftigeren Raten zulegen. Alles in allem wird das Bruttoinlandsprodukt in diesem Jahr wohl um 0,4% zur\u00fcckgehen und im kommenden Jahr um 1,5% zunehmen. Die Inflationsrate d\u00fcrfte von 6,9% im Jahr 2022 auf 5,8% im Jahr 2023 und 2,1% im Jahr 2024 sinken.","onlinedate":"2023-06-21 02:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20230621","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":true,"publication_num_pages":"53","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[\"E66\"]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":null,"zip":null,"link":"https:\/\/www.ifo.de\/publikationen\/2023\/aufsatz-zeitschrift\/ifo-konjunkturprognose-sommer-2023","monthly_report":false,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"76","monthly_report_pages":"","monthly_report_pages_sort":"0","issue":"Juni","journal":"ifo Schnelldienst Sonderausgabe","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":true,"embargo_date":null,"types":[125862],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[17527,3567,18309,17531,17533,17535,17537,17539,18311,17541,18313,3837,17545],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":17527,\"personName\":\"Timo Wollmersh\u00e4user\",\"organisationNames\":[\"ifo Institute\"]},{\"personId\":3567,\"personName\":\"Stefan Ederer\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":18309,\"personName\":\"Maximilian Fell\",\"organisationNames\":[\"ifo Institute\"]},{\"personId\":17531,\"personName\":\"Friederike Fourn\u00e9\",\"organisationNames\":[\"ifo Institute\"]},{\"personId\":17533,\"personName\":\"Max Lay\",\"organisationNames\":[\"ifo Institute\"]},{\"personId\":17535,\"personName\":\"Robert Lehmann\",\"organisationNames\":[\"ifo Institute\"]},{\"personId\":17537,\"personName\":\"Sebastian Link\",\"organisationNames\":[\"ifo Institute\"]},{\"personId\":17539,\"personName\":\"Sascha M\u00f6hrle\",\"organisationNames\":[\"ifo Institute\"]},{\"personId\":18311,\"personName\":\"Ann-Christin Rathje\",\"organisationNames\":[\"ifo Institute\"]},{\"personId\":17541,\"personName\":\"Radek \u0160auer\",\"organisationNames\":[\"ifo Institute\"]},{\"personId\":18313,\"personName\":\"Moritz Schasching\",\"organisationNames\":[\"ifo Institute\"]},{\"personId\":3837,\"personName\":\"Marcus Scheiblecker\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":17545,\"personName\":\"Lara Zarges\",\"organisationNames\":[\"ifo Institute\"]}]","clients":[10960],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","scientific_assistance":"[\"Steiner Martha\"]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>ifo Konjunkturprognose Sommer 2023: Inflation flaut langsam ab \u2013 aber Konjunktur lahmt noch - WIFO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/49059\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ifo Konjunkturprognose Sommer 2023: Inflation flaut langsam ab \u2013 aber Konjunktur lahmt noch\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/49059\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"WIFO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-01-13T16:37:41+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@WIFOat\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/49059\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/49059\\\/\",\"name\":\"ifo Konjunkturprognose Sommer 2023: Inflation flaut langsam ab \u2013 aber Konjunktur lahmt noch - WIFO\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2023-11-20T14:45:11+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-01-13T16:37:41+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/49059\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/49059\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/49059\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Startseite\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"ifo Konjunkturprognose Sommer 2023: Inflation flaut langsam ab \u2013 aber Konjunktur lahmt noch\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/\",\"name\":\"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung\",\"description\":\"\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#organization\"},\"alternateName\":\"WIFO\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung\",\"alternateName\":\"WIFO\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/WIFO_kurz_rechts-2-1920x412.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/WIFO_kurz_rechts-2-1920x412.jpg\",\"width\":2000,\"height\":429,\"caption\":\"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.facebook.com\\\/WIFOat\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/WIFOat\",\"https:\\\/\\\/linkedin.com\\\/company\\\/wifoat\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.youtube.com\\\/@WIFO_at\"],\"description\":\"Das WIFO, 1927 von Friedrich August von Hayek und Ludwig von Mises zur Konjunkturanalyse gegr\u00fcndet, ist heute das f\u00fchrende Institut f\u00fcr angewandte empirische Wirtschaftsforschung in \u00d6sterreich mit starkem Engagement auf europ\u00e4ischer Ebene.\",\"email\":\"office@wifo.ac.at\",\"telephone\":\"+43 1 798 26 01 \u2013 0\",\"legalName\":\"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung\",\"foundingDate\":\"1927-01-02\",\"numberOfEmployees\":{\"@type\":\"QuantitativeValue\",\"minValue\":\"51\",\"maxValue\":\"200\"},\"publishingPrinciples\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/mission-und-strategie\\\/\",\"ownershipFundingInfo\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/organisation\\\/\",\"actionableFeedbackPolicy\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/aktuelles\\\/presse\\\/\",\"correctionsPolicy\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/kontakt\\\/\",\"ethicsPolicy\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/evidenzbasierung-transparenz-und-unabhaengigkeit\\\/\",\"diversityPolicy\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/gleichstellung\\\/\",\"diversityStaffingReport\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/gleichstellung\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"ifo Konjunkturprognose Sommer 2023: Inflation flaut langsam ab \u2013 aber Konjunktur lahmt noch - WIFO","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/49059\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"ifo Konjunkturprognose Sommer 2023: Inflation flaut langsam ab \u2013 aber Konjunktur lahmt noch","og_url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/49059\/","og_site_name":"WIFO","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/","article_modified_time":"2025-01-13T16:37:41+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1920,"height":1280,"url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_site":"@WIFOat","schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/49059\/","url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/49059\/","name":"ifo Konjunkturprognose Sommer 2023: Inflation flaut langsam ab \u2013 aber Konjunktur lahmt noch - WIFO","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#website"},"datePublished":"2023-11-20T14:45:11+00:00","dateModified":"2025-01-13T16:37:41+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/49059\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/49059\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/49059\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Startseite","item":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"ifo Konjunkturprognose Sommer 2023: Inflation flaut langsam ab \u2013 aber Konjunktur lahmt noch"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/","name":"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#organization"},"alternateName":"WIFO","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#organization","name":"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung","alternateName":"WIFO","url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO_kurz_rechts-2-1920x412.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO_kurz_rechts-2-1920x412.jpg","width":2000,"height":429,"caption":"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/","https:\/\/x.com\/WIFOat","https:\/\/linkedin.com\/company\/wifoat\/","https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@WIFO_at"],"description":"Das WIFO, 1927 von Friedrich August von Hayek und Ludwig von Mises zur Konjunkturanalyse gegr\u00fcndet, ist heute das f\u00fchrende Institut f\u00fcr angewandte empirische Wirtschaftsforschung in \u00d6sterreich mit starkem Engagement auf europ\u00e4ischer Ebene.","email":"office@wifo.ac.at","telephone":"+43 1 798 26 01 \u2013 0","legalName":"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung","foundingDate":"1927-01-02","numberOfEmployees":{"@type":"QuantitativeValue","minValue":"51","maxValue":"200"},"publishingPrinciples":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/mission-und-strategie\/","ownershipFundingInfo":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/organisation\/","actionableFeedbackPolicy":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/aktuelles\/presse\/","correctionsPolicy":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/kontakt\/","ethicsPolicy":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/evidenzbasierung-transparenz-und-unabhaengigkeit\/","diversityPolicy":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/gleichstellung\/","diversityStaffingReport":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/gleichstellung\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication\/49059","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/publication"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication\/49059\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":420438,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication\/49059\/revisions\/420438"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/client\/10960"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/external_person\/17545"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person\/3837"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/external_person\/18313"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/external_person\/17541"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/external_person\/18311"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/external_person\/17539"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/external_person\/17537"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/external_person\/17535"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/external_person\/17533"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/external_person\/17531"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/external_person\/18309"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person\/3567"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/external_person\/17527"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/research_group\/3500"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication_type\/125862"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49059"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}