{"id":48158,"date":"2023-11-20T15:34:45","date_gmt":"2023-11-20T14:34:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/moegliche-effekte-eines-regelpensionsalters-von-67-jahren-auf-das-angebot-an-arbeitskraeften\/"},"modified":"2024-04-03T17:29:01","modified_gmt":"2024-04-03T15:29:01","slug":"moegliche-effekte-eines-regelpensionsalters-von-67-jahren-auf-das-angebot-an-arbeitskraeften","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/48158\/","title":{"rendered":"Possible Effects of a Standard retirement Age of 67 on Labour Supply - Simulation Results"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-48158","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"Final Report","text":"The labour supply effects of an increase in the statutory retirement age from 65 to 67 in the period 2034 to 2037 are simulated for Austria using the dynamic microsimulation model microDEMS. The results show an increase in labour supply of about 96,800 persons in 2040, of which 73 percent are in the 60 to 64 age group and 27 percent in the 65 to 69 age group. The education level in the former group is dominated by apprenticeship or secondary school (71 percent) which is more often connected with jobs with higher physical stress. Of all the additional working population, around 27 percent show health restrictions. An increase in retirement age is partly associated with an extension of active employment, but also with a risk of rising unemployment.","onlinedate":"2022-12-21 13:19:05","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20230101","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":null,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":false,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"","monthly_report_pages":"","monthly_report_pages_sort":"0","issue":"","journal":"","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":null,"types":[81966],"research_groups":[3510],"collaboration":"","persons":[4917,3614,3684,3698],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":4917,\"personName\":\"Benjamin Bittschi\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3614,\"personName\":\"Thomas Horvath\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3684,\"personName\":\"Helmut Mahringer\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3698,\"personName\":\"Christine Mayrhuber\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[10826],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_bookanthology rendering_apa rendering_bookanthology_apa\\\"><span>Bittschi, B.<\\\/span><span>, Horvath, T.<\\\/span><span>, Mahringer, H.<\\\/span><span>, &amp; Mayrhuber, C.<\\\/span> (2023). <span><em>M\u00f6gliche Effekte eines Regelpensionsalters von 67 Jahren auf das Angebot an Arbeitskr\u00e4ften: Simulationsergebnisse. Endbericht<\\\/em><\\\/span>. WIFO.<\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_bookanthology rendering_vancouver rendering_bookanthology_vancouver\\\"><span>Bittschi B<\\\/span><span>, Horvath T<\\\/span><span>, Mahringer H<\\\/span><span>, Mayrhuber C<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>M\u00f6gliche Effekte eines Regelpensionsalters von 67 Jahren auf das Angebot an Arbeitskr\u00e4ften: <span class=\\\"subtitle\\\">Simulationsergebnisse. Endbericht<\\\/span><\\\/span><\\\/span>. WIFO; 2023.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_bookanthology rendering_bibtex rendering_bookanthology_bibtex\\\"><div>@book{e8b1080205aa4704a1e7d7b264eac5d7,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"M{\\\\\\\"o}gliche Effekte eines Regelpensionsalters von 67 Jahren auf das Angebot an Arbeitskr{\\\\\\\"a}ften: Simulationsergebnisse. Endbericht\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"In der Kurzstudie sind die Arbeitsangebotseffekte einer Erh{\\\\\\\"o}hung des Regelpensionsalters von 65 auf 67 Jahre im Zeitraum 2034 bis 2037 mit dem dynamischen Mikrosimulationsmodell microDEMS f{\\\\\\\"u}r {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich simuliert. Die Ergebnisse zeigen f{\\\\\\\"u}r 2040 ein um rund 96.800 Personen h{\\\\\\\"o}heres Arbeitskr{\\\\\\\"a}fteangebot, wovon 73\\\\% in die Altersgruppe der 60- bis 64-J{\\\\\\\"a}hrigen und 27\\\\% in die Gruppe der 65- bis 69-J{\\\\\\\"a}hrigen entf{\\\\\\\"a}llt. In der erstgenannten Gruppe haben 71\\\\% maximal einen Lehrabschluss bzw. Abschluss einer mittleren Schule und sind h{\\\\\\\"a}ufiger in T{\\\\\\\"a}tigkeiten mit h{\\\\\\\"o}heren k{\\\\\\\"o}rperlichen Belastungen. Von allen zus{\\\\\\\"a}tzlichen Erwerbspersonen zeigen rund 27\\\\% gesundheitliche Einschr{\\\\\\\"a}nkungen. Ein steigendes Regelpensionsalter ist teilweise mit einer Verl{\\\\\\\"a}ngerung der Besch{\\\\\\\"a}ftigung aber auch mit einem Risiko f{\\\\\\\"u}r steigende Arbeitslosigkeit verbunden. \\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Benjamin Bittschi and Thomas Horvath and Helmut Mahringer and Christine Mayrhuber\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2023\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = jan,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_bookanthology rendering_ris rendering_bookanthology_ris\\\"><p>TY  - BOOK<\\\/p><p>T1  - M\u00f6gliche Effekte eines Regelpensionsalters von 67 Jahren auf das Angebot an Arbeitskr\u00e4ften<\\\/p><p>T2  - Simulationsergebnisse. Endbericht<\\\/p><p>AU  - Bittschi, Benjamin<\\\/p><p>AU  - Horvath, Thomas<\\\/p><p>AU  - Mahringer, Helmut<\\\/p><p>AU  - Mayrhuber, Christine<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2023\\\/1<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2023\\\/1<\\\/p><p>N2  - In der Kurzstudie sind die Arbeitsangebotseffekte einer Erh\u00f6hung des Regelpensionsalters von 65 auf 67 Jahre im Zeitraum 2034 bis 2037 mit dem dynamischen Mikrosimulationsmodell microDEMS f\u00fcr \u00d6sterreich simuliert. Die Ergebnisse zeigen f\u00fcr 2040 ein um rund 96.800 Personen h\u00f6heres Arbeitskr\u00e4fteangebot, wovon 73% in die Altersgruppe der 60- bis 64-J\u00e4hrigen und 27% in die Gruppe der 65- bis 69-J\u00e4hrigen entf\u00e4llt. In der erstgenannten Gruppe haben 71% maximal einen Lehrabschluss bzw. Abschluss einer mittleren Schule und sind h\u00e4ufiger in T\u00e4tigkeiten mit h\u00f6heren k\u00f6rperlichen Belastungen. Von allen zus\u00e4tzlichen Erwerbspersonen zeigen rund 27% gesundheitliche Einschr\u00e4nkungen. Ein steigendes Regelpensionsalter ist teilweise mit einer Verl\u00e4ngerung der Besch\u00e4ftigung aber auch mit einem Risiko f\u00fcr steigende Arbeitslosigkeit verbunden. <\\\/p><p>AB  - In der Kurzstudie sind die Arbeitsangebotseffekte einer Erh\u00f6hung des Regelpensionsalters von 65 auf 67 Jahre im Zeitraum 2034 bis 2037 mit dem dynamischen Mikrosimulationsmodell microDEMS f\u00fcr \u00d6sterreich simuliert. Die Ergebnisse zeigen f\u00fcr 2040 ein um rund 96.800 Personen h\u00f6heres Arbeitskr\u00e4fteangebot, wovon 73% in die Altersgruppe der 60- bis 64-J\u00e4hrigen und 27% in die Gruppe der 65- bis 69-J\u00e4hrigen entf\u00e4llt. In der erstgenannten Gruppe haben 71% maximal einen Lehrabschluss bzw. Abschluss einer mittleren Schule und sind h\u00e4ufiger in T\u00e4tigkeiten mit h\u00f6heren k\u00f6rperlichen Belastungen. Von allen zus\u00e4tzlichen Erwerbspersonen zeigen rund 27% gesundheitliche Einschr\u00e4nkungen. Ein steigendes Regelpensionsalter ist teilweise mit einer Verl\u00e4ngerung der Besch\u00e4ftigung aber auch mit einem Risiko f\u00fcr steigende Arbeitslosigkeit verbunden. <\\\/p><p>M3  - Studie<\\\/p><p>BT  - M\u00f6gliche Effekte eines Regelpensionsalters von 67 Jahren auf das Angebot an Arbeitskr\u00e4ften<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[\"Albert Anna Sarah\"]","scientific_review":"[\"Angel Stefan\"]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Possible Effects of a Standard retirement Age of 67 on Labour Supply - Simulation Results - WIFO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/48158\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Possible Effects of a Standard retirement Age of 67 on Labour Supply - 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