{"id":446436,"date":"2026-05-05T12:03:33","date_gmt":"2026-05-05T10:03:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/446436\/"},"modified":"2026-05-15T09:36:46","modified_gmt":"2026-05-15T07:36:46","slug":"wifo-monatsberichte-no-4-2026","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/446436\/","title":{"rendered":"WIFO-Monatsberichte, no 4\/2026"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-446436","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"Marcus Scheiblecker, Stefan Ederer, Iran War Threatens Economic Recovery. Economic Outlook for 2026 and 2027 \u2022 Josef Baumgartner, Marian Fink, Serguei Kaniovski, Hans Pitlik, Medium-term Economic Growth Remains Subdued Due to Persistent Structural Weaknesses. Medium-term Forecast of the Austrian Economy 2026 to 2031 \u2022 Josef Baumgartner, J\u00fcrgen Bierbaumer, Sandra Bilek-Steindl, Benjamin Bittschi, Christian Glocker, Margit Schratzenstaller, Modest Growth Replaces Recession. The Austrian Economy in 2025 \u2022 Atanas Pekanov, Conclusion of the Monetary Easing Cycle, Subdued Credit Growth, and Bullish Equity Markets","onlinedate":"2026-05-05 10:03:41","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20260505","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":true,"publication_num_pages":"76","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[\"0986c987-5298-4422-9de2-1a87ed5e82eb\",\"71924458-a196-4c50-8b89-1ac1fe799b8c\",\"9ea0bf5c-305f-48ad-a4ff-fdb38150d8ab\",\"e13cb447-875e-46d1-bc5e-6c1be8762e89\"]","pdf":447932,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":true,"monthly_report_volume":"99","monthly_report_pages":"","monthly_report_pages_sort":"0","issue":"4","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":null,"types":[44312],"research_groups":[3500,3510],"collaboration":"","persons":[],"persons_data":"[]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"
WIFO<\\\/span> (2026). WIFO-Monatsberichte, Heft 4\\\/2026<\\\/span>. WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, 99<\\\/em>(4).<\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"
WIFO<\\\/span>. WIFO-Monatsberichte, Heft 4\\\/2026<\\\/span><\\\/span>. WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 2026 May 5;99(4).<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"
@misc{b63e020301884410847cbf2ef2f1a44e,<\\\/div>
title = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte, Heft 4\\\/2026\\\",<\\\/div>
abstract = \\\"Marcus Scheiblecker, Stefan Ederer, Iran-Krieg gef{\\\\\\\"a}hrdet die Konjunkturerholung. Prognose f{\\\\\\\"u}r 2026 und 2027 \u2022 Josef Baumgartner, Marian Fink, Serguei Kaniovski, Hans Pitlik, Mittelfristiges Wirtschaftswachstum bleibt aufgrund anhaltender struktureller Schw{\\\\\\\"a}chen verhalten. Mittelfristige Prognose 2026 bis 2031 \u2022 Josef Baumgartner, J{\\\\\\\"u}rgen Bierbaumer, Sandra Bilek-Steindl, Benjamin Bittschi, Christian Glocker, Margit Schratzenstaller, Leichtes Wachstum l{\\\\\\\"o}st Rezession ab. Die {\\\\\\\"o}sterreichische Wirtschaft im Jahr 2025 \u2022 Atanas Pekanov, Ende des Zinssenkungszyklus, zaghaftes Kreditwachstum und Hausse an den B{\\\\\\\"o}rsen\\\",<\\\/div>
author = \\\"WIFO\\\",<\\\/div>
year = \\\"2026\\\",<\\\/div>
month = may,<\\\/div>
day = \\\"5\\\",<\\\/div>
language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div>
volume = \\\"99\\\",<\\\/div>
journal = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div>

}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"

TY - GEN<\\\/p>

T1 - WIFO-Monatsberichte, Heft 4\\\/2026<\\\/p>

AU - WIFO, <\\\/p>

PY - 2026\\\/5\\\/5<\\\/p>

Y1 - 2026\\\/5\\\/5<\\\/p>

N2 - Marcus Scheiblecker, Stefan Ederer, Iran-Krieg gef\u00e4hrdet die Konjunkturerholung. Prognose f\u00fcr 2026 und 2027 \u2022 Josef Baumgartner, Marian Fink, Serguei Kaniovski, Hans Pitlik, Mittelfristiges Wirtschaftswachstum bleibt aufgrund anhaltender struktureller Schw\u00e4chen verhalten. Mittelfristige Prognose 2026 bis 2031 \u2022 Josef Baumgartner, J\u00fcrgen Bierbaumer, Sandra Bilek-Steindl, Benjamin Bittschi, Christian Glocker, Margit Schratzenstaller, Leichtes Wachstum l\u00f6st Rezession ab. Die \u00f6sterreichische Wirtschaft im Jahr 2025 \u2022 Atanas Pekanov, Ende des Zinssenkungszyklus, zaghaftes Kreditwachstum und Hausse an den B\u00f6rsen<\\\/p>

AB - Marcus Scheiblecker, Stefan Ederer, Iran-Krieg gef\u00e4hrdet die Konjunkturerholung. Prognose f\u00fcr 2026 und 2027 \u2022 Josef Baumgartner, Marian Fink, Serguei Kaniovski, Hans Pitlik, Mittelfristiges Wirtschaftswachstum bleibt aufgrund anhaltender struktureller Schw\u00e4chen verhalten. Mittelfristige Prognose 2026 bis 2031 \u2022 Josef Baumgartner, J\u00fcrgen Bierbaumer, Sandra Bilek-Steindl, Benjamin Bittschi, Christian Glocker, Margit Schratzenstaller, Leichtes Wachstum l\u00f6st Rezession ab. Die \u00f6sterreichische Wirtschaft im Jahr 2025 \u2022 Atanas Pekanov, Ende des Zinssenkungszyklus, zaghaftes Kreditwachstum und Hausse an den B\u00f6rsen<\\\/p>

M3 - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p>

VL - 99<\\\/p>

JO - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p>

JF - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p>

ER - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"\nWIFO-Monatsberichte, no 4\/2026 - WIFO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/446436\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"WIFO-Monatsberichte, no 4\/2026\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/446436\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"WIFO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-05-15T07:36:46+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@WIFOat\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/446436\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/446436\\\/\",\"name\":\"WIFO-Monatsberichte, no 4\\\/2026 - WIFO\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2026-05-05T10:03:33+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-05-15T07:36:46+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/446436\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/446436\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/446436\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Startseite\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"WIFO-Monatsberichte, no 4\\\/2026\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/\",\"name\":\"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung\",\"description\":\"\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#organization\"},\"alternateName\":\"WIFO\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung\",\"alternateName\":\"WIFO\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/WIFO_kurz_rechts-2-1920x412.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/WIFO_kurz_rechts-2-1920x412.jpg\",\"width\":2000,\"height\":429,\"caption\":\"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.facebook.com\\\/WIFOat\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/WIFOat\",\"https:\\\/\\\/linkedin.com\\\/company\\\/wifoat\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.youtube.com\\\/@WIFO_at\"],\"description\":\"Das WIFO, 1927 von Friedrich August von Hayek und Ludwig von Mises zur Konjunkturanalyse gegr\u00fcndet, ist heute das f\u00fchrende Institut f\u00fcr angewandte empirische Wirtschaftsforschung in \u00d6sterreich mit starkem Engagement auf europ\u00e4ischer Ebene.\",\"email\":\"office@wifo.ac.at\",\"telephone\":\"+43 1 798 26 01 \u2013 0\",\"legalName\":\"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung\",\"foundingDate\":\"1927-01-02\",\"numberOfEmployees\":{\"@type\":\"QuantitativeValue\",\"minValue\":\"51\",\"maxValue\":\"200\"},\"publishingPrinciples\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/mission-und-strategie\\\/\",\"ownershipFundingInfo\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/organisation\\\/\",\"actionableFeedbackPolicy\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/aktuelles\\\/presse\\\/\",\"correctionsPolicy\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/kontakt\\\/\",\"ethicsPolicy\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/evidenzbasierung-transparenz-und-unabhaengigkeit\\\/\",\"diversityPolicy\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/gleichstellung\\\/\",\"diversityStaffingReport\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/gleichstellung\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"WIFO-Monatsberichte, no 4\/2026 - WIFO","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/446436\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"WIFO-Monatsberichte, no 4\/2026","og_url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/446436\/","og_site_name":"WIFO","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/","article_modified_time":"2026-05-15T07:36:46+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1920,"height":1280,"url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_site":"@WIFOat","schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/446436\/","url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/446436\/","name":"WIFO-Monatsberichte, no 4\/2026 - WIFO","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#website"},"datePublished":"2026-05-05T10:03:33+00:00","dateModified":"2026-05-15T07:36:46+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/446436\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/446436\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/446436\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Startseite","item":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"WIFO-Monatsberichte, no 4\/2026"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/","name":"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#organization"},"alternateName":"WIFO","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#organization","name":"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung","alternateName":"WIFO","url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO_kurz_rechts-2-1920x412.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO_kurz_rechts-2-1920x412.jpg","width":2000,"height":429,"caption":"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/","https:\/\/x.com\/WIFOat","https:\/\/linkedin.com\/company\/wifoat\/","https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@WIFO_at"],"description":"Das WIFO, 1927 von Friedrich August von Hayek und Ludwig von Mises zur Konjunkturanalyse gegr\u00fcndet, ist heute das f\u00fchrende Institut f\u00fcr angewandte empirische Wirtschaftsforschung in \u00d6sterreich mit starkem Engagement auf europ\u00e4ischer Ebene.","email":"office@wifo.ac.at","telephone":"+43 1 798 26 01 \u2013 0","legalName":"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung","foundingDate":"1927-01-02","numberOfEmployees":{"@type":"QuantitativeValue","minValue":"51","maxValue":"200"},"publishingPrinciples":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/mission-und-strategie\/","ownershipFundingInfo":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/organisation\/","actionableFeedbackPolicy":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/aktuelles\/presse\/","correctionsPolicy":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/kontakt\/","ethicsPolicy":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/evidenzbasierung-transparenz-und-unabhaengigkeit\/","diversityPolicy":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/gleichstellung\/","diversityStaffingReport":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/gleichstellung\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication\/446436","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/publication"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication\/446436\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":446437,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication\/446436\/revisions\/446437"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/research_group\/3510"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/research_group\/3500"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication_type\/44312"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=446436"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}