{"id":445093,"date":"2026-04-08T13:42:11","date_gmt":"2026-04-08T11:42:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/445093\/"},"modified":"2026-04-10T10:15:29","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T08:15:29","slug":"iran-krieg-gefaehrdet-die-konjunkturerholung","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/445093\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran War Threatens Economic Recovery"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-445093","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"Economic Outlook for 2026 and 2027","text":"As a result of the Iran war, crude oil and natural gas prices have surged. Moreover, uncertainty over the duration and future course of the conflict is dampening the investment climate in the EU. This will also affect Austrian industry, which has been suffering from weak demand for capital goods for years. The inflation rate should continue to fall despite the Iran war, though the recent rise in energy prices is slowing this decline. The unemployment rate will remain at the elevated level of the previous year in 2026 and will not fall until 2027.","onlinedate":"2026-04-10 10:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20260410","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":true,"publication_num_pages":"36","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[\"eac36bbc-a962-4a35-a74e-3d40b413116c\",\"9f127753-0042-452d-99af-96919f1fbc65\"]","pdf":445182,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"","monthly_report_pages":"","monthly_report_pages_sort":"0","issue":"1","journal":"WIFO-Konjunkturprognose","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2026-04-10 10:00:00","types":[44368],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[3837,3567],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3837,\"personName\":\"Marcus Scheiblecker\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3567,\"personName\":\"Stefan Ederer\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"
Scheiblecker, M.<\\\/span>, & Ederer, S.<\\\/span> (2026). Iran-Krieg gef\u00e4hrdet die Konjunkturerholung: Prognose f\u00fcr 2026 und 2027<\\\/span>. WIFO-Konjunkturprognose<\\\/em><\\\/span>, (1).<\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"
Scheiblecker M<\\\/span>, Ederer S<\\\/span>. Iran-Krieg gef\u00e4hrdet die Konjunkturerholung: Prognose f\u00fcr 2026 und 2027<\\\/span><\\\/span><\\\/span>. WIFO-Konjunkturprognose<\\\/span>. 2026 Apr 10;(1).<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"
@misc{262ebcb21b3444f08e285957d5706e76,<\\\/div>
title = \\\"Iran-Krieg gef{\\\\\\\"a}hrdet die Konjunkturerholung: Prognose f{\\\\\\\"u}r 2026 und 2027\\\",<\\\/div>
abstract = \\\"Infolge des Iran-Krieges haben sich Roh{\\\\\\\"o}l und Erdgas stark verteuert. Zudem tr{\\\\\\\"u}bt die Unsicherheit {\\\\\\\"u}ber die Dauer und den weiteren Verlauf des Konfliktes das Investitionsklima in der EU. Dies wird auch die {\\\\\\\"o}sterreichische Industrie, die seit Jahren unter der schwachen Investitionsg{\\\\\\\"u}ternachfrage leidet, in Mitleidenschaft ziehen. Die Inflationsrate d{\\\\\\\"u}rfte trotz des Iran-Krieges weiter zur{\\\\\\\"u}ckgehen, jedoch verlangsamt der j{\\\\\\\"u}ngste Energiepreisanstieg den R{\\\\\\\"u}ckgang. Die Arbeitslosenquote verharrt 2026 auf dem hohen Niveau des Vorjahres und wird erst 2027 sinken.\\\",<\\\/div>
keywords = \\\"WIFO-Konjunkturprognose\\\",<\\\/div>
author = \\\"Marcus Scheiblecker and Stefan Ederer\\\",<\\\/div>
year = \\\"2026\\\",<\\\/div>
month = apr,<\\\/div>
day = \\\"10\\\",<\\\/div>
language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div>
journal = \\\"WIFO-Konjunkturprognose\\\",<\\\/div>

}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"

TY - GEN<\\\/p>

T1 - Iran-Krieg gef\u00e4hrdet die Konjunkturerholung<\\\/p>

T2 - Prognose f\u00fcr 2026 und 2027<\\\/p>

AU - Scheiblecker, Marcus<\\\/p>

AU - Ederer, Stefan<\\\/p>

PY - 2026\\\/4\\\/10<\\\/p>

Y1 - 2026\\\/4\\\/10<\\\/p>

N2 - Infolge des Iran-Krieges haben sich Roh\u00f6l und Erdgas stark verteuert. Zudem tr\u00fcbt die Unsicherheit \u00fcber die Dauer und den weiteren Verlauf des Konfliktes das Investitionsklima in der EU. Dies wird auch die \u00f6sterreichische Industrie, die seit Jahren unter der schwachen Investitionsg\u00fcternachfrage leidet, in Mitleidenschaft ziehen. Die Inflationsrate d\u00fcrfte trotz des Iran-Krieges weiter zur\u00fcckgehen, jedoch verlangsamt der j\u00fcngste Energiepreisanstieg den R\u00fcckgang. Die Arbeitslosenquote verharrt 2026 auf dem hohen Niveau des Vorjahres und wird erst 2027 sinken.<\\\/p>

AB - Infolge des Iran-Krieges haben sich Roh\u00f6l und Erdgas stark verteuert. Zudem tr\u00fcbt die Unsicherheit \u00fcber die Dauer und den weiteren Verlauf des Konfliktes das Investitionsklima in der EU. Dies wird auch die \u00f6sterreichische Industrie, die seit Jahren unter der schwachen Investitionsg\u00fcternachfrage leidet, in Mitleidenschaft ziehen. Die Inflationsrate d\u00fcrfte trotz des Iran-Krieges weiter zur\u00fcckgehen, jedoch verlangsamt der j\u00fcngste Energiepreisanstieg den R\u00fcckgang. Die Arbeitslosenquote verharrt 2026 auf dem hohen Niveau des Vorjahres und wird erst 2027 sinken.<\\\/p>

KW - WIFO-Konjunkturprognose<\\\/p>

M3 - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p>

JO - WIFO-Konjunkturprognose<\\\/p>

JF - WIFO-Konjunkturprognose<\\\/p>

ER - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"\nIran War Threatens Economic Recovery - WIFO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/445093\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Iran War Threatens Economic Recovery\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/445093\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"WIFO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-04-10T08:15:29+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@WIFOat\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/445093\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/445093\\\/\",\"name\":\"Iran War Threatens Economic Recovery - 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