{"id":443210,"date":"2026-03-10T15:22:18","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T14:22:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/443210\/"},"modified":"2026-03-11T04:38:15","modified_gmt":"2026-03-11T03:38:15","slug":"assessing-the-cascading-impacts-of-natural-disasters-in-a-multi-layer-behavioral-network-framework","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/443210\/","title":{"rendered":"Assessing the cascading impacts of natural disasters in a multi-layer behavioral network framework"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-443210","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"Natural disasters negatively impact\u00a0regions and exacerbate socioeconomic\u00a0vulnerabilities. While\u00a0the\u00a0direct impacts of natural disasters are well understood, the channels through which these shocks spread to non-affected regions, still represents an open research question. In this paper we propose\u00a0modelling socioeconomic systems as spatially-explicit, multi-layer behavioral\u00a0networks, where the interplay of\u00a0supply-side production, and demand-side consumption decisions, can help us understand how climate\u00a0shocks cascade. We apply this modelling framework to analyze the spatial-temporal\u00a0evolution of vulnerability following a negative food-production shock in one\u00a0part of an agriculture-dependent economy. Simulation results show that vulnerability is cyclical, and its distribution critically\u00a0depends on the network density and distance from the epicenter of the shock.\u00a0We also introduce a new multi-layer measure, the Vulnerability Rank (VRank), which synthesizes various location-level\u00a0risks into a single index. This framework can help design policies, aimed to better\u00a0understand,\u00a0effectively respond, and build resilience to natural disasters. This\u00a0is particularly important for poorer regions, where response time is critical and financial\u00a0resources are limited.","onlinedate":"2021-01-01 01:00:00","lang":"English","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20210101","publication_date_year":"2021","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":null,"zip":null,"link":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41598-021-99343-4","monthly_report":false,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"11","monthly_report_pages":"","monthly_report_pages_sort":"0","issue":"1","journal":"Scientific Reports","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":true,"embargo_date":null,"types":[83083],"research_groups":[3655],"collaboration":"","persons":[5051,16003],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":5051,\"personName\":\"Asjad Naqvi\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":16003,\"personName\":\"Irene Monasterolo\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.5 (Yoast SEO v26.5) - 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