{"id":442652,"date":"2026-03-02T10:38:19","date_gmt":"2026-03-02T09:38:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/442652\/"},"modified":"2026-03-02T10:38:20","modified_gmt":"2026-03-02T09:38:20","slug":"estimating-a-weighted-output-gap-for-switzerland-methodology-and-application","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/442652\/","title":{"rendered":"Estimating a Weighted Output Gap for Switzerland: Methodology and Application"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-442652","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"This paper introduces a weighted output gap measure for Switzerland that combines univariate filters, multivariate filters, and production function approaches. Published quarterly by SECO since the fourth quarter of 2019, the series provides a historically consistent and robust indicator of cyclical conditions. Using an inflation forecasting framework, the weighted gap achieves forecasting performance comparable to leading individual methods; although it does not outperform them uniformly, it provides a balanced and reliable signal that mitigates method-specific weaknesses. These properties make it a useful benchmark for business cycle analysis and policy applications.","onlinedate":"2026-02-26 01:00:00","lang":"English","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20260226","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":true,"publication_num_pages":"25","keywords":"[\"Output gap\",\"Inflation\",\"Business cycle\",\"Switzerland\",\"Revisions\",\"Forecasting\"]","jelcodes":"[\"E24\",\"E32\",\"E37\"]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":null,"zip":null,"link":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1186\/s41937-026-00149-w","monthly_report":false,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"162","monthly_report_pages":"","monthly_report_pages_sort":"0","issue":"4","journal":"Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":true,"embargo_date":null,"types":[83083],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[3543,3641,11925],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3543,\"personName\":\"Christian Glocker\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3641,\"personName\":\"Serguei Kaniovski\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":11925,\"personName\":\"Philipp Wegm\u00fcller\",\"organisationNames\":[\"SECO\"]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.5 (Yoast SEO v26.5) - 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