{"id":429455,"date":"2025-08-18T09:01:05","date_gmt":"2025-08-18T07:01:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/?post_type=publication&#038;p=429455"},"modified":"2025-11-11T05:37:36","modified_gmt":"2025-11-11T04:37:36","slug":"employment-rates-among-older-persons-until-2030","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/429455\/","title":{"rendered":"Employment Rates Among Older Persons until 2030"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-429455","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"The government's current policy agenda outlines measures to significantly increase the employment of older individuals by 2030, thereby contributing to budget consolidation through higher social security revenues and delayed pension disbursements. Simulations conducted using microDEMS indicate that, even in the absence of the planned policy measures, the employment rate among woman aged 60 to 64 would nearly double, reaching 39.9 percent by 2030. Among men in this age group, an increase of 2.5 percentage points is projected, resulting in an employment rate of 48.1 percent. However, achieving the targeted 2.7 billion \u20ac in pension savings by 2030 would require substantially higher employment rates in this age cohort than those estimated in the simulation results. Achieving these savings thus depends on the consistent implementation of the proposed labour market policy measures.","onlinedate":"2025-08-18 09:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20250731","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":true,"publication_num_pages":"13","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":437340,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"","monthly_report_pages":"","monthly_report_pages_sort":"0","issue":"11","journal":"WIFO Research Briefs","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2025-08-18 09:00:00","types":[44390],"research_groups":[3510],"collaboration":"","persons":[3614,3684,3698],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3614,\"personName\":\"Thomas Horvath\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3684,\"personName\":\"Helmut Mahringer\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3698,\"personName\":\"Christine Mayrhuber\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[429457],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>Horvath, T.<\\\/span><span>, Mahringer, H.<\\\/span><span>, &amp; Mayrhuber, C.<\\\/span> (2025). <span>\u00c4lterenbesch\u00e4ftigungsquoten bis 2030<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO Research Briefs<\\\/em><\\\/span>, (11).<\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>Horvath T<\\\/span><span>, Mahringer H<\\\/span><span>, Mayrhuber C<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>\u00c4lterenbesch\u00e4ftigungsquoten bis 2030<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO Research Briefs<\\\/span>. 2025 Jul 31;(11).<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{adf2fad6f43147eab5f690c16379d7e3,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"{\\\\\\\"A}lterenbesch{\\\\\\\"a}ftigungsquoten bis 2030\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Das {\\\\\\\"A}lterenbesch{\\\\\\\"a}ftigungspaket der Bundesregierung zielt darauf ab, bis 2030 durch eine Erh{\\\\\\\"o}hung der Besch{\\\\\\\"a}ftigungsquote {\\\\\\\"a}lterer Erwerbspersonen ma{\\\\ss}geblich zur Budgetkonsolidierung beizutragen. Die durchgef{\\\\\\\"u}hrten Simulationen mit microDEMS zeigen, dass sich der Anteil der aktiv Besch{\\\\\\\"a}ftigten in der Altersgruppe der 60- bis 64-j{\\\\\\\"a}hrigen Frauen ohne die geplanten Ma{\\\\ss}nahmen nahezu verdoppelt und im Jahr 2030 bei 39,9\\\\% liegen w{\\\\\\\"u}rde. Bei den M{\\\\\\\"a}nnern dieser Altersgruppe sollte der Anstieg 2,5 Prozentpunkte auf 48,1\\\\% betragen. Die angestrebte Kostend{\\\\\\\"a}mpfung im Pensionsbereich in H{\\\\\\\"o}he von 2,7 Mrd. \u20ac bis 2030 setzt allerdings h{\\\\\\\"o}here Steigerungen der Besch{\\\\\\\"a}ftigungsquoten in dieser Altersgruppe voraus als berechnet und erfordert eine konsequente Umsetzung der vorgesehenen arbeitsmarktpolitischen Ma{\\\\ss}nahmen.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Thomas Horvath and Helmut Mahringer and Christine Mayrhuber\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2025\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = jul,<\\\/div><div>  day      = \\\"31\\\",<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO Research Briefs\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - \u00c4lterenbesch\u00e4ftigungsquoten bis 2030<\\\/p><p>AU  - Horvath, Thomas<\\\/p><p>AU  - Mahringer, Helmut<\\\/p><p>AU  - Mayrhuber, Christine<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2025\\\/7\\\/31<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2025\\\/7\\\/31<\\\/p><p>N2  - Das \u00c4lterenbesch\u00e4ftigungspaket der Bundesregierung zielt darauf ab, bis 2030 durch eine Erh\u00f6hung der Besch\u00e4ftigungsquote \u00e4lterer Erwerbspersonen ma\u00dfgeblich zur Budgetkonsolidierung beizutragen. Die durchgef\u00fchrten Simulationen mit microDEMS zeigen, dass sich der Anteil der aktiv Besch\u00e4ftigten in der Altersgruppe der 60- bis 64-j\u00e4hrigen Frauen ohne die geplanten Ma\u00dfnahmen nahezu verdoppelt und im Jahr 2030 bei 39,9% liegen w\u00fcrde. Bei den M\u00e4nnern dieser Altersgruppe sollte der Anstieg 2,5 Prozentpunkte auf 48,1% betragen. Die angestrebte Kostend\u00e4mpfung im Pensionsbereich in H\u00f6he von 2,7 Mrd. \u20ac bis 2030 setzt allerdings h\u00f6here Steigerungen der Besch\u00e4ftigungsquoten in dieser Altersgruppe voraus als berechnet und erfordert eine konsequente Umsetzung der vorgesehenen arbeitsmarktpolitischen Ma\u00dfnahmen.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Das \u00c4lterenbesch\u00e4ftigungspaket der Bundesregierung zielt darauf ab, bis 2030 durch eine Erh\u00f6hung der Besch\u00e4ftigungsquote \u00e4lterer Erwerbspersonen ma\u00dfgeblich zur Budgetkonsolidierung beizutragen. Die durchgef\u00fchrten Simulationen mit microDEMS zeigen, dass sich der Anteil der aktiv Besch\u00e4ftigten in der Altersgruppe der 60- bis 64-j\u00e4hrigen Frauen ohne die geplanten Ma\u00dfnahmen nahezu verdoppelt und im Jahr 2030 bei 39,9% liegen w\u00fcrde. Bei den M\u00e4nnern dieser Altersgruppe sollte der Anstieg 2,5 Prozentpunkte auf 48,1% betragen. Die angestrebte Kostend\u00e4mpfung im Pensionsbereich in H\u00f6he von 2,7 Mrd. \u20ac bis 2030 setzt allerdings h\u00f6here Steigerungen der Besch\u00e4ftigungsquoten in dieser Altersgruppe voraus als berechnet und erfordert eine konsequente Umsetzung der vorgesehenen arbeitsmarktpolitischen Ma\u00dfnahmen.<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO Research Briefs<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO Research Briefs<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[\"Grandner Lydia\",\"Weing\u00e4rtner Stefan\"]","scientific_review":"[\"Schiman-Vukan Stefan\"]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Employment Rates Among Older Persons until 2030 - WIFO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/429455\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Employment Rates Among Older Persons until 2030\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/429455\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"WIFO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-11-11T04:37:36+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@WIFOat\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/429455\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/429455\\\/\",\"name\":\"Employment Rates Among Older Persons until 2030 - 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