{"id":423906,"date":"2025-04-01T10:37:37","date_gmt":"2025-04-01T08:37:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/423906\/"},"modified":"2025-04-16T09:17:30","modified_gmt":"2025-04-16T07:17:30","slug":"emissions-decouple-from-economic-output-2","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/423906\/","title":{"rendered":"Emissions Decouple from Economic Output"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-423906","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"Estimate of Austrian Greenhouse Gas Emissions Based on the Medium-term Forecast of the Austrian Economy 2025 to 2029","text":"The aim of this project is to develop a suitable method for quantifying an estimate of greenhouse gas emissions over a five-year period, based on and coherent with WIFO's medium-term forecast. The results show that, under the assumptions made, final energy consumption is likely to remain stable between 2023 and 2029, that emissions have been relatively decoupled from economic output since 2022 and will decouple in absolute terms from 2025. Greenhouse gas emissions will fall to 61 million tonnes of CO2 equivalents by 2029, which is 23 percent below the 1990 level.","onlinedate":"2025-04-01 08:37:41","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20250331","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":true,"publication_num_pages":"60","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[\"Q47\",\"E17\",\"Q43\"]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":424399,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":false,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"","monthly_report_pages":"","monthly_report_pages_sort":"0","issue":"","journal":"","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":null,"types":[81966],"research_groups":[3655,3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[3743,3853,3837],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3743,\"personName\":\"Mark Sommer\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3853,\"personName\":\"Franz Sinabell\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3837,\"personName\":\"Marcus Scheiblecker\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[10870],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[40961],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_bookanthology rendering_apa rendering_bookanthology_apa\\\"><span>Sommer, M.<\\\/span><span>, Sinabell, F.<\\\/span><span>, &amp; Scheiblecker, M.<\\\/span> (2025). <span><em>Emissionen entkoppeln sich von Wirtschaftsleistung: Sch\u00e4tzung der \u00f6sterreichischen Treibhausgasemissionen auf der Grundlage der mittelfristigen Konjunkturprognose 2025 bis 2029<\\\/em><\\\/span>. WIFO.<\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_bookanthology rendering_vancouver rendering_bookanthology_vancouver\\\"><span>Sommer M<\\\/span><span>, Sinabell F<\\\/span><span>, Scheiblecker M<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Emissionen entkoppeln sich von Wirtschaftsleistung: <span class=\\\"subtitle\\\">Sch\u00e4tzung der \u00f6sterreichischen Treibhausgasemissionen auf der Grundlage der mittelfristigen Konjunkturprognose 2025 bis 2029<\\\/span><\\\/span><\\\/span>. WIFO; 2025.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_bookanthology rendering_bibtex rendering_bookanthology_bibtex\\\"><div>@book{0e155448443e426d89984d98e8dfe02b,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Emissionen entkoppeln sich von Wirtschaftsleistung: Sch{\\\\\\\"a}tzung der {\\\\\\\"o}sterreichischen Treibhausgasemissionen auf der Grundlage der mittelfristigen Konjunkturprognose 2025 bis 2029\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Das Ziel dieses Projektes ist die Weiterentwicklung des WIFO-Modells ALICE zur Absch{\\\\\\\"a}tzung der Entwicklung der Treibhausgasemissionen {\\\\\\\"u}ber einen Zeitraum von f{\\\\\\\"u}nf Jahren, basierend auf und koh{\\\\\\\"a}rent mit der mittelfristigen Konjunkturprognose des WIFO. Die Ergebnisse zeigen, dass unter den getroffenen Annahmen der Endenergieverbrauch zwischen 2023 und 2029 stabil bleiben d{\\\\\\\"u}rfte, dass sich die Emissionen von der Wirtschaftsleistung seit 2022 relativ entkoppelt haben und sich ab 2025 absolut entkoppeln. Die Treibhausgasemissionen sinken bis 2029 auf 61 Mio. t CO2-{\\\\\\\"A}quivalente und liegen somit 23\\\\% unter dem Niveau von 1990.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Mark Sommer and Franz Sinabell and Marcus Scheiblecker\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2025\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = mar,<\\\/div><div>  day      = \\\"31\\\",<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_bookanthology rendering_ris rendering_bookanthology_ris\\\"><p>TY  - BOOK<\\\/p><p>T1  - Emissionen entkoppeln sich von Wirtschaftsleistung<\\\/p><p>T2  - Sch\u00e4tzung der \u00f6sterreichischen Treibhausgasemissionen auf der Grundlage der mittelfristigen Konjunkturprognose 2025 bis 2029<\\\/p><p>AU  - Sommer, Mark<\\\/p><p>AU  - Sinabell, Franz<\\\/p><p>AU  - Scheiblecker, Marcus<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2025\\\/3\\\/31<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2025\\\/3\\\/31<\\\/p><p>N2  - Das Ziel dieses Projektes ist die Weiterentwicklung des WIFO-Modells ALICE zur Absch\u00e4tzung der Entwicklung der Treibhausgasemissionen \u00fcber einen Zeitraum von f\u00fcnf Jahren, basierend auf und koh\u00e4rent mit der mittelfristigen Konjunkturprognose des WIFO. Die Ergebnisse zeigen, dass unter den getroffenen Annahmen der Endenergieverbrauch zwischen 2023 und 2029 stabil bleiben d\u00fcrfte, dass sich die Emissionen von der Wirtschaftsleistung seit 2022 relativ entkoppelt haben und sich ab 2025 absolut entkoppeln. Die Treibhausgasemissionen sinken bis 2029 auf 61 Mio. t CO2-\u00c4quivalente und liegen somit 23% unter dem Niveau von 1990.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Das Ziel dieses Projektes ist die Weiterentwicklung des WIFO-Modells ALICE zur Absch\u00e4tzung der Entwicklung der Treibhausgasemissionen \u00fcber einen Zeitraum von f\u00fcnf Jahren, basierend auf und koh\u00e4rent mit der mittelfristigen Konjunkturprognose des WIFO. Die Ergebnisse zeigen, dass unter den getroffenen Annahmen der Endenergieverbrauch zwischen 2023 und 2029 stabil bleiben d\u00fcrfte, dass sich die Emissionen von der Wirtschaftsleistung seit 2022 relativ entkoppelt haben und sich ab 2025 absolut entkoppeln. Die Treibhausgasemissionen sinken bis 2029 auf 61 Mio. t CO2-\u00c4quivalente und liegen somit 23% unter dem Niveau von 1990.<\\\/p><p>M3  - Studie<\\\/p><p>BT  - Emissionen entkoppeln sich von Wirtschaftsleistung<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[\"K\u00f6berl-Schmid Katharina\",\"Markytan Susanne\"]","scientific_review":"[\"Kletzan-Slamanig Daniela\"]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Emissions Decouple from Economic Output - WIFO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/423906\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Emissions Decouple from Economic Output\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/423906\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"WIFO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-04-16T07:17:30+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@WIFOat\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/423906\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/423906\\\/\",\"name\":\"Emissions Decouple from Economic Output - 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