{"id":420744,"date":"2025-01-16T14:38:16","date_gmt":"2025-01-16T13:38:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/420744\/"},"modified":"2025-01-17T09:15:07","modified_gmt":"2025-01-17T08:15:07","slug":"handelskonflikte-die-schwaeche-in-europa-und-strukturelle-nachteile-bremsen-das-wachstum-der-oesterreichischen-wirtschaft","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/420744\/","title":{"rendered":"Trade Conflicts, the Weakness in Europe and Structural Disadvantages are Slowing Down the Growth of the Austrian Economy"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-420744","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"Update of the Medium-term Forecast 2025 to 2029","text":"Supported by a moderate improvement in the international economy and stronger domes-tic private consumption, the Austrian economy will slowly recover from the recession in 2023-2024. For 2025-2029, WIFO estimates average annual real GDP growth of +1 percent (\u00d8 2010-2019: +1.6 percent p.a.). Over the entire forecast period, the Austrian economy will grow 0.2 percentage points less than the euro area, with the latter lagging behind the US by almost 1 percentage point per year.","onlinedate":"2025-01-17 09:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20250117","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":true,"publication_num_pages":"7","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":420797,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"","monthly_report_pages":"","monthly_report_pages_sort":"0","issue":"1","journal":"WIFO Research Briefs","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2025-01-17 09:00:00","types":[44390],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[3530,3641],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3530,\"personName\":\"Josef Baumgartner\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3641,\"personName\":\"Serguei Kaniovski\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>Baumgartner, J.<\\\/span><span>, &amp; Kaniovski, S.<\\\/span> (2025). <span>Handelskonflikte, die Schw\u00e4che in Europa und strukturelle Nachteile bremsen das Wachstum der \u00f6sterreichischen Wirtschaft: Update der mittelfristigen Prognose 2025 bis 2029<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO Research Briefs<\\\/em><\\\/span>, (1).<\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>Baumgartner J<\\\/span><span>, Kaniovski S<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Handelskonflikte, die Schw\u00e4che in Europa und strukturelle Nachteile bremsen das Wachstum der \u00f6sterreichischen Wirtschaft: <span class=\\\"subtitle\\\">Update der mittelfristigen Prognose 2025 bis 2029<\\\/span><\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO Research Briefs<\\\/span>. 2025 Jan 17;(1).<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{d6980e745089408f96b2c1fd8e57ea96,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Handelskonflikte, die Schw{\\\\\\\"a}che in Europa und strukturelle Nachteile bremsen das Wachstum der {\\\\\\\"o}sterreichischen Wirtschaft: Update der mittelfristigen Prognose 2025 bis 2029\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Getragen von einer m{\\\\\\\"a}{\\\\ss}igen Verbesserung der internationalen Konjunktur und einem st{\\\\\\\"a}rkeren privaten inl{\\\\\\\"a}ndischen Konsum erholt sich die {\\\\\\\"o}sterreichische Wirtschaft langsam von der Rezession 2023\\\/24. F{\\\\\\\"u}r 2025\\\/2029 sch{\\\\\\\"a}tzt das WIFO den durchschnittlichen j{\\\\\\\"a}hrlichen realen BIP-Zuwachs auf +1\\\\% ({\\\\O} 2010\\\/2019 +1,6\\\\% p. a.). {\\\\\\\"U}ber den gesamten Prognosezeitraum wird die {\\\\\\\"o}sterreichische Wirtschaft um j{\\\\\\\"a}hrlich 0,2 Prozentpunkte schw{\\\\\\\"a}cher wachsen als jene des Euro-Raumes, wobei deren Wachstum j{\\\\\\\"a}hrlich um knapp 1 Prozentpunkt hinter jenem der USA zur{\\\\\\\"u}ckbleibt.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Josef Baumgartner and Serguei Kaniovski\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2025\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = jan,<\\\/div><div>  day      = \\\"17\\\",<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO Research Briefs\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Handelskonflikte, die Schw\u00e4che in Europa und strukturelle Nachteile bremsen das Wachstum der \u00f6sterreichischen Wirtschaft<\\\/p><p>T2  - Update der mittelfristigen Prognose 2025 bis 2029<\\\/p><p>AU  - Baumgartner, Josef<\\\/p><p>AU  - Kaniovski, Serguei<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2025\\\/1\\\/17<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2025\\\/1\\\/17<\\\/p><p>N2  - Getragen von einer m\u00e4\u00dfigen Verbesserung der internationalen Konjunktur und einem st\u00e4rkeren privaten inl\u00e4ndischen Konsum erholt sich die \u00f6sterreichische Wirtschaft langsam von der Rezession 2023\\\/24. F\u00fcr 2025\\\/2029 sch\u00e4tzt das WIFO den durchschnittlichen j\u00e4hrlichen realen BIP-Zuwachs auf +1% (\u00d8 2010\\\/2019 +1,6% p. a.). \u00dcber den gesamten Prognosezeitraum wird die \u00f6sterreichische Wirtschaft um j\u00e4hrlich 0,2 Prozentpunkte schw\u00e4cher wachsen als jene des Euro-Raumes, wobei deren Wachstum j\u00e4hrlich um knapp 1 Prozentpunkt hinter jenem der USA zur\u00fcckbleibt.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Getragen von einer m\u00e4\u00dfigen Verbesserung der internationalen Konjunktur und einem st\u00e4rkeren privaten inl\u00e4ndischen Konsum erholt sich die \u00f6sterreichische Wirtschaft langsam von der Rezession 2023\\\/24. F\u00fcr 2025\\\/2029 sch\u00e4tzt das WIFO den durchschnittlichen j\u00e4hrlichen realen BIP-Zuwachs auf +1% (\u00d8 2010\\\/2019 +1,6% p. a.). \u00dcber den gesamten Prognosezeitraum wird die \u00f6sterreichische Wirtschaft um j\u00e4hrlich 0,2 Prozentpunkte schw\u00e4cher wachsen als jene des Euro-Raumes, wobei deren Wachstum j\u00e4hrlich um knapp 1 Prozentpunkt hinter jenem der USA zur\u00fcckbleibt.<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO Research Briefs<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO Research Briefs<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[\"Kaufmann Christine\"]","scientific_review":"[\"Mayrhuber Christine\"]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Trade Conflicts, the Weakness in Europe and Structural Disadvantages are Slowing Down the Growth of the Austrian Economy - 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