{"id":420457,"date":"2025-01-13T17:39:16","date_gmt":"2025-01-13T16:39:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/420457\/"},"modified":"2025-01-13T17:39:17","modified_gmt":"2025-01-13T16:39:17","slug":"ifo-konjunkturprognose-fruehjahr-2023-deutsche-wirtschaft-stagniert","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/420457\/","title":{"rendered":"ifo Konjunkturprognose Fr\u00fchjahr 2023: Deutsche Wirtschaft stagniert"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-420457","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"Die hohen Inflationsraten belasten derzeit die Konsum- und Baukonjunktur durch eine sinkende Kaufkraft und erheblich gestiegene Finanzierungskosten. Gleichzeitig erholt sich die Industriekonjunktur aufgrund nachlassender Lieferengp\u00e4sse bei Vorprodukten und kr\u00e4ftigen R\u00fcckg\u00e4ngen bei den Energiepreisen. Insgesamt d\u00fcrfte die Wirtschaftsleistung im I. Quartal 2023 noch einmal um 0,2% zur\u00fcckgehen. Im weiteren Verlauf des Jahres wird sich die deutsche Wirtschaft dann allm\u00e4hlich erholen. Sp\u00e4testens ab Jahresmitte d\u00fcrften langsam sinkende Inflationsraten und steigende L\u00f6hne wieder zu einem Reallohnplus f\u00fchren und die Binnenkonjunktur st\u00fctzen. Alles in allem wird das preisbereinigte Bruttoinlandsprodukt in diesem Jahr in etwa auf dem Niveau des Vorjahres stagnieren (\u20130,1%) und im kommenden Jahr um 1,7% zulegen. Damit wurde f\u00fcr das laufende Jahr an der ifo Konjunkturprognose Winter 2022 festgehalten und f\u00fcr das kommende Jahr die Wachstumsprognose geringf\u00fcgig um 0,1 Prozentpunkte angehoben. Die Inflationsrate wird im Jahr 2023 mit durchschnittlich 6,2% nur wenig niedriger liegen als im Vorjahr. Erst im kommenden Jahr d\u00fcrfte die Rate auf 2,2% zur\u00fcckgehen.","onlinedate":"2023-03-15 01:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20230315","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":true,"publication_num_pages":"14","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[\"E66\"]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":null,"zip":null,"link":"https:\/\/www.ifo.de\/publikationen\/2023\/aufsatz-zeitschrift\/ifo-konjunkturprognose-fruehjahr-2023-deutsche-wirtschaft","monthly_report":false,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"4","monthly_report_pages":"","monthly_report_pages_sort":"0","issue":"2","journal":"ifo Schnelldienst digital","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":true,"embargo_date":null,"types":[125862],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[17527,3567,17531,17533,17535,17537,17539,18311,17541,18317,18313,17545],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":17527,\"personName\":\"Timo Wollmersh\u00e4user\",\"organisationNames\":[\"ifo 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