{"id":266269,"date":"2024-05-16T02:38:35","date_gmt":"2024-05-16T00:38:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/266269\/"},"modified":"2024-12-03T11:37:24","modified_gmt":"2024-12-03T10:37:24","slug":"the-development-of-the-labour-supply-in-austria-until-2040","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/266269\/","title":{"rendered":"The Development of the Labour Supply in Austria Until 2040"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-266269","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"The dynamic microsimulation model mircoDEMS is used to simulate the size and composition of the labour force until 2040, taking into account the influence of individual characteristics on labour force participation and changes in pension law. The simulations show that the number of people in the labour force will increase significantly until 2030 and then remain at roughly the same level until 2040. Depending on the assumption regarding the future development of part-time rates, the volume of labour is likely to increase slightly by 2040 or remain at roughly the same level as in 2023.","onlinedate":"2024-12-03 11:37:23","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20240531","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":true,"publication_num_pages":"41","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":418517,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":false,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"","monthly_report_pages":"","monthly_report_pages_sort":"0","issue":"","journal":"","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":null,"types":[81966],"research_groups":[3510],"collaboration":"","persons":[3614,3684,3749],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3614,\"personName\":\"Thomas Horvath\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3684,\"personName\":\"Helmut Mahringer\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3749,\"personName\":\"Martin Spielauer\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[10826],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"
Horvath, T.<\\\/span>, Mahringer, H.<\\\/span>, & Spielauer, M.<\\\/span> (2024). Die Entwicklung des Arbeitskr\u00e4fteangebotes in \u00d6sterreich bis 2040<\\\/em><\\\/span>. WIFO.<\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"
Horvath T<\\\/span>, Mahringer H<\\\/span>, Spielauer M<\\\/span>. Die Entwicklung des Arbeitskr\u00e4fteangebotes in \u00d6sterreich bis 2040<\\\/span><\\\/span>. WIFO; 2024.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"
@book{51d12a4e1f724da6a8f539e3bec4ed03,<\\\/div>
title = \\\"Die Entwicklung des Arbeitskr{\\\\\\\"a}fteangebotes in {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich bis 2040\\\",<\\\/div>
abstract = \\\"Mit dem dynamischen Mikrosimulationsmodell mircoDEMS wird die Gr{\\\\\\\"o}{\\\\ss}e und Zusammensetzung der Erwerbsbev{\\\\\\\"o}lkerung bis 2040 simuliert, wobei der Einfluss individueller Merkmale auf die Erwerbsbeteiligung sowie pensionsrechtliche {\\\\\\\"A}nderungen ber{\\\\\\\"u}cksichtigt werden. Die Simulationen zeigen, dass die Zahl der Erwerbspersonen bis 2030 deutlich zunimmt und dann bis 2040 in etwa auf dem erreichten Niveau verbleibt. Je nach Annahme bez{\\\\\\\"u}glich der k{\\\\\\\"u}nftigen Entwicklung der Teilzeitquoten d{\\\\\\\"u}rfte das Arbeitsvolumen bis 2040 leicht steigen oder in etwa auf dem Niveau von 2023 zu liegen kommen.\\\",<\\\/div>
author = \\\"Thomas Horvath and Helmut Mahringer and Martin Spielauer\\\",<\\\/div>
year = \\\"2024\\\",<\\\/div>
month = may,<\\\/div>
day = \\\"31\\\",<\\\/div>
language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div>

}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"

TY - BOOK<\\\/p>

T1 - Die Entwicklung des Arbeitskr\u00e4fteangebotes in \u00d6sterreich bis 2040<\\\/p>

AU - Horvath, Thomas<\\\/p>

AU - Mahringer, Helmut<\\\/p>

AU - Spielauer, Martin<\\\/p>

PY - 2024\\\/5\\\/31<\\\/p>

Y1 - 2024\\\/5\\\/31<\\\/p>

N2 - Mit dem dynamischen Mikrosimulationsmodell mircoDEMS wird die Gr\u00f6\u00dfe und Zusammensetzung der Erwerbsbev\u00f6lkerung bis 2040 simuliert, wobei der Einfluss individueller Merkmale auf die Erwerbsbeteiligung sowie pensionsrechtliche \u00c4nderungen ber\u00fccksichtigt werden. Die Simulationen zeigen, dass die Zahl der Erwerbspersonen bis 2030 deutlich zunimmt und dann bis 2040 in etwa auf dem erreichten Niveau verbleibt. Je nach Annahme bez\u00fcglich der k\u00fcnftigen Entwicklung der Teilzeitquoten d\u00fcrfte das Arbeitsvolumen bis 2040 leicht steigen oder in etwa auf dem Niveau von 2023 zu liegen kommen.<\\\/p>

AB - Mit dem dynamischen Mikrosimulationsmodell mircoDEMS wird die Gr\u00f6\u00dfe und Zusammensetzung der Erwerbsbev\u00f6lkerung bis 2040 simuliert, wobei der Einfluss individueller Merkmale auf die Erwerbsbeteiligung sowie pensionsrechtliche \u00c4nderungen ber\u00fccksichtigt werden. Die Simulationen zeigen, dass die Zahl der Erwerbspersonen bis 2030 deutlich zunimmt und dann bis 2040 in etwa auf dem erreichten Niveau verbleibt. Je nach Annahme bez\u00fcglich der k\u00fcnftigen Entwicklung der Teilzeitquoten d\u00fcrfte das Arbeitsvolumen bis 2040 leicht steigen oder in etwa auf dem Niveau von 2023 zu liegen kommen.<\\\/p>

M3 - Studie<\\\/p>

BT - Die Entwicklung des Arbeitskr\u00e4fteangebotes in \u00d6sterreich bis 2040<\\\/p>

ER - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[\"Kogler Marion\",\"Weing\u00e4rtner Stefan\"]","scientific_review":"[\"Url Thomas\"]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"\nThe Development of the Labour Supply in Austria Until 2040 - WIFO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/266269\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Development of the Labour Supply in Austria Until 2040\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/266269\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"WIFO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-12-03T10:37:24+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@WIFOat\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/266269\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/266269\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Development of the Labour Supply in Austria Until 2040 - 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