{"id":263209,"date":"2024-01-22T16:17:08","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T15:17:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/263209\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T07:38:18","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T06:38:18","slug":"prognose-fuer-2005-und-2006-neuerliche-wachstumsverlangsamung-3","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/263209\/","title":{"rendered":"Prognose f\u00fcr 2005 und 2006: Neuerliche Wachstumsverlangsamung"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-263209","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"Seit dem Sp\u00e4therbst 2004 lassen die Impulse aus dem Export nach, und die Sachg\u00fctererzeugung verliert an Dynamik. Die Konsumnachfrage der privaten Haushalte hat sich bislang nicht belebt. Im 2. Halbjahr 2005 k\u00f6nnte sich eine leichte Erholung der Konjunktur ergeben, die von einer Stabilisierung in Export und Industrieproduktion sowie etwas h\u00f6heren Ausgaben f\u00fcr privaten Konsum und Bauinvestitionen ausgeht. F\u00fcr das Jahr 2005 erwartet das WIFO ein Wirtschaftswachstum von real +1,8%, damit deutlich weniger als im Vorjahr (+2,2%). Die Aussichten f\u00fcr das Jahr 2006 sind gegenw\u00e4rtig besonders unsicher, das WIFO unterstellt ein Wachstum, das etwa gleich hoch ist wie heuer (+1,9%). Aufgrund der starken Ausweitung des Arbeitskr\u00e4fteangebotes steigt die Arbeitslosenquote trotz merklichen Besch\u00e4ftigungswachstums weiter, sie wird 2006 7,3% der unselbst\u00e4ndigen Erwerbspersonen erreichen. Die Inflationsrate liegt heuer wegen hoher Energiepreise, steigenden Wohnungsaufwands und der Anhebung der Tabaksteuer bei 2,5% und k\u00f6nnte sich \u2013 sofern sich die Roh\u00f6lpreise auf den Weltm\u00e4rkten stabilisieren \u2013 2006 auf 1,9% verringern. Die Konjunkturschw\u00e4che und der Anstieg der Arbeitslosigkeit belasten die \u00f6ffentlichen Haushalte, das Budgetdefizit d\u00fcrfte auch im kommenden Jahr bei 1,9% des BIP verharren.","onlinedate":"2005-07-01 12:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20050701","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"33","keywords":"[\"Konjunkturprognose Oesterreich\"]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":412210,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"","monthly_report_pages":"","monthly_report_pages_sort":"0","issue":"","journal":"WIFO-Konjunkturprognose","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2005-07-01 12:00:00","types":[44368],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[4043],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":4043,\"personName\":\"Markus Marterbauer\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - 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