{"id":263191,"date":"2024-01-22T15:23:05","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T14:23:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/263191\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T07:38:08","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T06:38:08","slug":"prognose-fuer-2004-und-2005-konjunkturerholung-gewinnt-an-kontur-3","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/263191\/","title":{"rendered":"Prognose f\u00fcr 2004 und 2005: Konjunkturerholung gewinnt an Kontur"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-263191","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"Im Zuge der Konjunkturerholung wird sich das Wachstum des BIP, getragen von Exporten, Sachg\u00fctererzeugung und Ausr\u00fcstungsinvestitionen, von real 0,7% im Jahr 2003 auf 1,7% 2004 erh\u00f6hen. In den letzten Monaten haben sich die weltwirtschaftlichen Rahmenbedingungen f\u00fcr einen Konjunkturaufschwung merklich verbessert. Allerdings bleiben Risken bestehen \u2013 vor allem die markante Aufwertung des Euro k\u00f6nnte die Erholung bremsen. Deshalb ist der Ausblick auf das Jahr 2005 von +2\u00bd% noch ungesichert. Entgegen den Erfahrungen vergangener Konjunkturzyklen l\u00f6st die Beschleunigung des Wirtschaftswachstums keine Trendwende auf dem Arbeitsmarkt aus. Die Arbeitslosenquote verharrt aufgrund des starken Anstiegs des ausl\u00e4ndischen Arbeitskr\u00e4fteangebotes bei 4,5% der Erwerbspersonen.","onlinedate":"2003-12-19 12:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20031201","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[\"Konjunkturprognose; \u00d6sterreich\"]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":412105,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"","monthly_report_pages":"","monthly_report_pages_sort":"0","issue":"","journal":"WIFO-Konjunkturprognose","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2003-12-19 12:00:00","types":[44368],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[4043],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":4043,\"personName\":\"Markus Marterbauer\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - 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