{"id":263100,"date":"2024-01-22T17:08:19","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T16:08:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/263100\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T07:37:09","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T06:37:09","slug":"prognose-fuer-2007-und-2008-starkes-wirtschaftswachstum-2007-erhebliche-risken-fuer-die-konjunktur-2008-2","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/263100\/","title":{"rendered":"Prognose f\u00fcr 2007 und 2008: Starkes Wirtschaftswachstum 2007, erhebliche Risken f\u00fcr die Konjunktur 2008"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-263100","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"Die heimische Wirtschaft w\u00e4chst heuer real um 3,4%, etwa gleich rasch wie im Vorjahr. Die Konjunktur ist mit dem \u00dcbergang vom Exportboom zur lebhaften Investitionst\u00e4tigkeit einen wesentlichen Schritt vorangekommen. Allerdings d\u00fcrfte sie nicht in eine Hochkonjunktur \u00fcbergehen: Zum einen kann aufgrund der Stagnation der Nettorealeinkommen pro Kopf nicht erwartet werden, dass ein Konsumboom einsetzt. Zum anderen wirken die markante Wachstumsabschw\u00e4chung in den USA, die Aufwertung des Euro gegen\u00fcber dem Dollar sowie die Krise auf den weltweiten Finanzm\u00e4rkten vor allem im kommenden Jahr d\u00e4mpfend. Das BIP k\u00f6nnte sich dann real um 2,4% erh\u00f6hen. Die kr\u00e4ftige Konjunktur bringt heuer eine markante Ausweitung der Zahl der Besch\u00e4ftigten mit sich (+60.000). Allerdings bleibt im Vergleich dazu der R\u00fcckgang der Zahl der Arbeitslosen verhalten (\u201315.000). Die Arbeitslosenquote verringert sich auf 4,3% der Erwerbspersonen, sie d\u00fcrfte 2008 kaum noch zur\u00fcckgehen. Der Preisauftrieb beschleunigt sich leicht, vor allem aufgrund der Verteuerung von Nahrungsmitteln und des Anstiegs der Energiekosten. Die Inflationsrate betr\u00e4gt 1,9% (2007) bzw. 2,0% (2008). Aufgrund der g\u00fcnstigen Konjunktur steigen auch die Abgabeneinnahmen merklich; das Budgetdefizit verringert sich deshalb auf etwa \u00bd% des BIP.","onlinedate":"2007-09-28 12:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20070901","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"35","keywords":"[\"Konjunkturprognose Oesterreich\"]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":411553,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"","monthly_report_pages":"","monthly_report_pages_sort":"0","issue":"","journal":"WIFO-Konjunkturprognose","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2007-09-28 12:00:00","types":[44368],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[4043],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":4043,\"personName\":\"Markus Marterbauer\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - 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