{"id":263025,"date":"2023-12-01T18:33:16","date_gmt":"2023-12-01T17:33:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/263025\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T07:36:03","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T06:36:03","slug":"prognose-fuer-2020-und-2021-zaehe-konjunktur-nach-kraeftigem-rebound-3","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/263025\/","title":{"rendered":"Prognose f\u00fcr 2020 und 2021: Z\u00e4he Konjunktur nach kr\u00e4ftigem Rebound"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-263025","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"Im Fr\u00fchjahr war die Weltwirtschaft aufgrund der pandemiebedingten Schutzma\u00dfnahmen massiv eingebrochen. Der Wertsch\u00f6pfungsverlust wurde im Sommer teilweise wettgemacht, in \u00d6sterreich d\u00fcrfte die Wertsch\u00f6pfung im III. Quartal gegen\u00fcber dem Vorquartal um mehr als 10% gewachsen sein. Rund die H\u00e4lfte des krisenbedingten Anstieges der Arbeitslosigkeit wurde bis September abgebaut. Im IV. Quartal wird sich die Konjunkturdynamik aufgrund auslaufender Rebound-Effekte (L\u00f6sung des Konsumr\u00fcckstaus) und eines Anstieges der Infektionszahlen jedoch markant verlangsamen. F\u00fcr das Jahr 2020 wird insgesamt ein BIP-R\u00fcckgang von 6,8% gegen\u00fcber 2019 prognostiziert, f\u00fcr 2021 ein Anstieg von 4,4%. Ein neuerlicher Lockdown im Herbst k\u00f6nnte diese Raten um 2,5 bzw. 4,0 Prozentpunkte senken.","onlinedate":"2020-10-09 12:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20201001","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"34","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":411052,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"","monthly_report_pages":"","monthly_report_pages_sort":"0","issue":"","journal":"WIFO-Konjunkturprognose","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2020-10-09 12:00:00","types":[44368],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[3865],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3865,\"personName\":\"Stefan Schiman\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - 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