{"id":124080,"date":"2024-01-23T08:54:51","date_gmt":"2024-01-23T07:54:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/124080\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T05:31:23","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T04:31:23","slug":"maessiger-aufschwung-im-osten-neue-unsicherheiten-durch-geplanten-eu-austritt-grossbritanniens","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/124080\/","title":{"rendered":"Modest Recovery in the East \u2013 Envisaged EU Leave of UK Poses New Uncertainties"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-124080","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"The international environment for Central, East and Southeast Europe (CESEE) is affected by the weak recovery in the euro area. Over the medium term, we expect a GDP trend growth rate of up to 3 percent for CESEE. Household consumption will be an important component of economic growth, especially for the EU members in Central and Eastern Europe. In the countries of the Western Balkans investment and net exports will be important growth drivers. In the Commonwealth of Independent States and in Ukraine the economic downturn has bottomed out and, after a period of stagnation, slow growth may be expected there as well. The Austrian economy is still benefiting from its economic ties with CESEE. Direct effects of the envisaged EU leave of the UK on the region will be limited \u2013 indirect effects for the European economy as a whole may be considerable.","onlinedate":"2016-07-25 12:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20160701","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[\"Fiskalpolitik\",\"Internationale Finanzkrise\",\"Internationaler Handel\",\"Investitionen\",\"Konsum\",\"Makro\u00f6konomische Analyse\",\"Wettbewerbsf\u00e4higkeit\"]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":363631,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"89","monthly_report_pages":"489-497","monthly_report_pages_sort":"489","issue":"7","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2016-07-25 12:00:00","types":[44312],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[11851],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":11851,\"personName\":\"Mario Holzner\",\"organisationNames\":[\"The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies\"]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - 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