{"id":122656,"date":"2024-01-23T08:00:58","date_gmt":"2024-01-23T07:00:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/122656\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T05:18:35","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T04:18:35","slug":"aufwaertstendenz-im-westen-der-mosoel","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/122656\/","title":{"rendered":"Western CESEE in the Ascendant"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-122656","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"The outlook for GDP growth in the Central, East and Southeast Europe (CESEE) region is further diverging: we expect a gradual acceleration of GDP growth for most new EU member countries starting this year. For 2015 growth is expected to increase to 3 percent on average. The recovery comes a year earlier than expected mainly based on favourable developments in the euro area. In the Western Balkans growth prospects will also improve over the whole forecast period 2015-2017, though a bit less dynamically. However, 2015 growth performance in Belarus, Kazakhstan, Russia and Ukraine will be dismal and partly worse than expected; the medium-term outlook in these countries is also fairly uncertain with considerable downward risks.","onlinedate":"2015-07-23 12:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20150701","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[\"Internationale Finanzkrise\",\"Internationaler Handel\",\"Investitionen\",\"Konsum\",\"Makro\u00f6konomische Analyse\",\"Sparen\",\"Wettbewerbsf\u00e4higkeit\"]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":358902,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"88","monthly_report_pages":"573-580","monthly_report_pages_sort":"573","issue":"7","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2015-07-23 12:00:00","types":[44312],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[11851],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":11851,\"personName\":\"Mario Holzner\",\"organisationNames\":[\"The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies\"]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\">Holzner, M. (2015). <span>Aufw\u00e4rtstendenz im Westen der MOSOEL<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>88<\\\/em>(7), 573-580. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/58252\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/58252<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\">Holzner M. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Aufw\u00e4rtstendenz im Westen der MOSOEL<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 2015 Jul;88(7):573-580.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{4b148593dac243569b35e0d941d4d6fa,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Aufw{\\\\\\\"a}rtstendenz im Westen der MOSOEL\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"In den mittel-, ost- und s{\\\\\\\"u}dosteurop{\\\\\\\"a}ischen L{\\\\\\\"a}ndern (MOSOEL) klafft der Ausblick f{\\\\\\\"u}r das Wirtschaftswachstum weiterhin auseinander: In den meisten der neuen EU-Mitgliedsl{\\\\\\\"a}nder wird sich das BIP-Wachstum nicht wie erwartet erst 2016, sondern schon ab 2015 langsam beschleunigen (2015 +3\\\\%). Wesentlicher Faktor ist die bessere Entwicklung im Euro-Raum. Auch in der Westbalkanregion sind die Wachstumsaussichten im gesamten Prognosezeitraum 2015\\\/2017 g{\\\\\\\"u}nstiger. In Wei{\\\\ss}russland, Kasachstan, Russland und der Ukraine entwickelt sich die Wirtschaft 2015 zum Teil noch schlechter als bisher erwartet. F{\\\\\\\"u}r diese L{\\\\\\\"a}nder ist die mittelfristige Prognose auch mit substantiellen Risiken behaftet.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Internationale Finanzkrise, Internationaler Handel, Investitionen, Konsum, Makro{\\\\\\\"o}konomische Analyse, Sparen, Wettbewerbsf{\\\\\\\"a}higkeit, Internationale Finanzkrise, Internationaler Handel, Investitionen, Konsum, Makro{\\\\\\\"o}konomische Analyse, Sparen, Wettbewerbsf{\\\\\\\"a}higkeit\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Mario Holzner\\\",<\\\/div><div>  note     = \\\"Wirtschaft der MOSOEL\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2015\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = jul,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"88\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"573--580\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Aufw\u00e4rtstendenz im Westen der MOSOEL<\\\/p><p>AU  - Holzner, Mario<\\\/p><p>N1  - Wirtschaft der MOSOEL<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2015\\\/7<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2015\\\/7<\\\/p><p>N2  - In den mittel-, ost- und s\u00fcdosteurop\u00e4ischen L\u00e4ndern (MOSOEL) klafft der Ausblick f\u00fcr das Wirtschaftswachstum weiterhin auseinander: In den meisten der neuen EU-Mitgliedsl\u00e4nder wird sich das BIP-Wachstum nicht wie erwartet erst 2016, sondern schon ab 2015 langsam beschleunigen (2015 +3%). Wesentlicher Faktor ist die bessere Entwicklung im Euro-Raum. Auch in der Westbalkanregion sind die Wachstumsaussichten im gesamten Prognosezeitraum 2015\\\/2017 g\u00fcnstiger. In Wei\u00dfrussland, Kasachstan, Russland und der Ukraine entwickelt sich die Wirtschaft 2015 zum Teil noch schlechter als bisher erwartet. F\u00fcr diese L\u00e4nder ist die mittelfristige Prognose auch mit substantiellen Risiken behaftet.<\\\/p><p>AB  - In den mittel-, ost- und s\u00fcdosteurop\u00e4ischen L\u00e4ndern (MOSOEL) klafft der Ausblick f\u00fcr das Wirtschaftswachstum weiterhin auseinander: In den meisten der neuen EU-Mitgliedsl\u00e4nder wird sich das BIP-Wachstum nicht wie erwartet erst 2016, sondern schon ab 2015 langsam beschleunigen (2015 +3%). Wesentlicher Faktor ist die bessere Entwicklung im Euro-Raum. Auch in der Westbalkanregion sind die Wachstumsaussichten im gesamten Prognosezeitraum 2015\\\/2017 g\u00fcnstiger. In Wei\u00dfrussland, Kasachstan, Russland und der Ukraine entwickelt sich die Wirtschaft 2015 zum Teil noch schlechter als bisher erwartet. 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