{"id":122610,"date":"2024-01-23T07:58:58","date_gmt":"2024-01-23T06:58:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/122610\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T05:18:19","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T04:18:19","slug":"steuerreform-2015-16-und-kalte-progression-2010-2019-eine-mikrosimulationsanalyse-fuer-oesterreich","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/122610\/","title":{"rendered":"Tax Reform 2015-16 and Bracket Creep 2010-2019. A Microsimulation Analysis for Austria"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-122610","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"In applying the Austrian Tax Transfer Microsimulation Model ATTM we show that the wage and income tax reform of 2016, which will reduce yearly tax revenues by almost \u20ac 5 billion, will only partially compensate for the cumulated additional tax burden due to bracket creep since the previous tax reform in 2009-10. The temporary reduction of the tax burden in 2016 will evaporate in just a few years if the parameters of the tax system are not continuously adjusted to the inflation rate. Furthermore, bracket creep leads to possibly unintended negative distributional effects, increasing the relative tax burden in the lower and middle strata of the income distribution and reducing it in its upper part.","onlinedate":"2015-06-02 12:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20150501","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[\"Mikrosimulation\",\"Steuerreform\",\"Verteilungswirkungen\",\"kalte Progression\"]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":358799,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"88","monthly_report_pages":"425-430","monthly_report_pages_sort":"425","issue":"5","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2015-06-02 12:00:00","types":[44312],"research_groups":[3510,3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[4695,12461],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":4695,\"personName\":\"Viktor Steiner\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":12461,\"personName\":\"Florian Wakolbinger\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>Steiner, V.<\\\/span>, &amp; Wakolbinger, F. (2015). <span>Steuerreform 2015\\\/16 und kalte Progression 2010\\\/2019. Eine Mikrosimulationsanalyse f\u00fcr \u00d6sterreich<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>88<\\\/em>(5), 425-430. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/58173\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/58173<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>Steiner V<\\\/span>, Wakolbinger F. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Steuerreform 2015\\\/16 und kalte Progression 2010\\\/2019. Eine Mikrosimulationsanalyse f\u00fcr \u00d6sterreich<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 2015 May;88(5):425-430.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{7280b2fe152d42eea97dc2a29d6201f5,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Steuerreform 2015\\\/16 und kalte Progression 2010\\\/2019. Eine Mikrosimulationsanalyse f{\\\\\\\"u}r {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Wie die Mikrosimulation mit dem Austrian Tax Transfer Microsimulation Model (ATTM) zeigt, wird die f{\\\\\\\"u}r 2016 geplante Steuerreform mit einem j{\\\\\\\"a}hrlichen Entlastungsvolumen von knapp 5 Mrd. \u20ac die seit der Steuerreform 2009\\\/10 kumulierte zus{\\\\\\\"a}tzliche Steuerbelastung durch die kalte Progression nur zum Teil ausgleichen. Wird der Lohn- und Einkommensteuertarif nicht laufend an die f{\\\\\\\"u}r die n{\\\\\\\"a}chsten Jahre zu erwartende Inflation angepasst, dann d{\\\\\\\"u}rfte die Entlastung durch die Steuerreform bereits in wenigen Jahren wieder eliminiert sein. Dar{\\\\\\\"u}ber hinaus ist die kalte Progression mit m{\\\\\\\"o}glicherweise nicht intendierten Verteilungswirkungen verbunden, da sie die Steuerbelastung niedriger und mittlerer Einkommen gegen{\\\\\\\"u}ber jener der h{\\\\\\\"o}heren Einkommen verst{\\\\\\\"a}rkt.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Mikrosimulation, Steuerreform, Verteilungswirkungen, kalte Progression, Mikrosimulation, Steuerreform, Verteilungswirkungen, kalte Progression\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Viktor Steiner and Florian Wakolbinger\\\",<\\\/div><div>  note     = \\\"Kalte Progression: Mikrosimulationsanalyse\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2015\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = may,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"88\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"425--430\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Steuerreform 2015\\\/16 und kalte Progression 2010\\\/2019. Eine Mikrosimulationsanalyse f\u00fcr \u00d6sterreich<\\\/p><p>AU  - Steiner, Viktor<\\\/p><p>AU  - Wakolbinger, Florian<\\\/p><p>N1  - Kalte Progression: Mikrosimulationsanalyse<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2015\\\/5<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2015\\\/5<\\\/p><p>N2  - Wie die Mikrosimulation mit dem Austrian Tax Transfer Microsimulation Model (ATTM) zeigt, wird die f\u00fcr 2016 geplante Steuerreform mit einem j\u00e4hrlichen Entlastungsvolumen von knapp 5 Mrd. \u20ac die seit der Steuerreform 2009\\\/10 kumulierte zus\u00e4tzliche Steuerbelastung durch die kalte Progression nur zum Teil ausgleichen. Wird der Lohn- und Einkommensteuertarif nicht laufend an die f\u00fcr die n\u00e4chsten Jahre zu erwartende Inflation angepasst, dann d\u00fcrfte die Entlastung durch die Steuerreform bereits in wenigen Jahren wieder eliminiert sein. Dar\u00fcber hinaus ist die kalte Progression mit m\u00f6glicherweise nicht intendierten Verteilungswirkungen verbunden, da sie die Steuerbelastung niedriger und mittlerer Einkommen gegen\u00fcber jener der h\u00f6heren Einkommen verst\u00e4rkt.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Wie die Mikrosimulation mit dem Austrian Tax Transfer Microsimulation Model (ATTM) zeigt, wird die f\u00fcr 2016 geplante Steuerreform mit einem j\u00e4hrlichen Entlastungsvolumen von knapp 5 Mrd. \u20ac die seit der Steuerreform 2009\\\/10 kumulierte zus\u00e4tzliche Steuerbelastung durch die kalte Progression nur zum Teil ausgleichen. Wird der Lohn- und Einkommensteuertarif nicht laufend an die f\u00fcr die n\u00e4chsten Jahre zu erwartende Inflation angepasst, dann d\u00fcrfte die Entlastung durch die Steuerreform bereits in wenigen Jahren wieder eliminiert sein. Dar\u00fcber hinaus ist die kalte Progression mit m\u00f6glicherweise nicht intendierten Verteilungswirkungen verbunden, da sie die Steuerbelastung niedriger und mittlerer Einkommen gegen\u00fcber jener der h\u00f6heren Einkommen verst\u00e4rkt.<\\\/p><p>KW  - Mikrosimulation<\\\/p><p>KW  - Steuerreform<\\\/p><p>KW  - Verteilungswirkungen<\\\/p><p>KW  - kalte Progression<\\\/p><p>KW  - Mikrosimulation<\\\/p><p>KW  - Steuerreform<\\\/p><p>KW  - Verteilungswirkungen<\\\/p><p>KW  - kalte Progression<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 88<\\\/p><p>SP  - 425<\\\/p><p>EP  - 430<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Tax Reform 2015-16 and Bracket Creep 2010-2019. 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