{"id":122596,"date":"2024-01-23T07:58:32","date_gmt":"2024-01-23T06:58:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/122596\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T05:18:13","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T04:18:13","slug":"schaetzung-der-auswirkungen-der-steuerreform-2015-16-auf-die-wertschoepfung-mit-dem-modell-fidelio","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/122596\/","title":{"rendered":"Using the FIDELIO Model to Estimate the Effects of the Tax Reform 2015-16 on Net Output"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-122596","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"We estimate the effects of the Austrian tax reform of 2015-16 by using the econometric input-output model FIDELIO, which features an in-depth treatment of both private and public households' revenues, expenditures, budgets and consumption as well as price transmission. According to the simulations, the reform will, to some extent, succeed in boosting domestic demand, with private consumption rising by almost \u20ac 2.5 billion; both net output and GDP will rise perceptibly, by \u20ac 290 million and \u20ac 1.35 billion, respectively. Among the sectors that profit most from the proposed changes in the tax regime are those with high income elasticities (and low import shares): real estate activities, (retail) trade, financial services. The food production sector apart, manufacturing will experience very modest gains only, as a large share of its products is imported. High income elasticity, however, leads to moderate gains for hotels and restaurants, in spite of a higher value-added tax on hotel services and the upward pressure on prices due to fraud-preventing measures (especially the obligation to introduce cash registers).","onlinedate":"2015-06-02 12:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20150501","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":358832,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"88","monthly_report_pages":"417-424","monthly_report_pages_sort":"417","issue":"5","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2015-06-02 12:00:00","types":[44312],"research_groups":[3481],"collaboration":"","persons":[3879],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3879,\"personName\":\"Gerhard Streicher\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>Streicher, G.<\\\/span> (2015). <span>Sch\u00e4tzung der Auswirkungen der Steuerreform 2015\\\/16 auf die Wertsch\u00f6pfung mit dem Modell FIDELIO<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>88<\\\/em>(5), 417-424. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/58172\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/58172<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>Streicher G<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Sch\u00e4tzung der Auswirkungen der Steuerreform 2015\\\/16 auf die Wertsch\u00f6pfung mit dem Modell FIDELIO<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 2015 May;88(5):417-424.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{3bb4ab7e044a4534917ad8032eb3f8cc,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Sch{\\\\\\\"a}tzung der Auswirkungen der Steuerreform 2015\\\/16 auf die Wertsch{\\\\\\\"o}pfung mit dem Modell FIDELIO\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Die Simulation der Auswirkungen der Steuerreform 2015\\\/16 auf die {\\\\\\\"o}sterreichische Wirtschaft mit dem {\\\\\\\"o}konometrischen Input-Output-Modell FIDELIO ergibt (als {\\\\\\\"o}konomische Gleichgewichtsl{\\\\\\\"o}sung) eine Steigerung der privaten Nachfrage um knapp 2,5 Mrd. \u20ac, eine Ausweitung der Wertsch{\\\\\\\"o}pfung um 290 Mio. \u20ac und des Bruttoinlandsproduktes um 1,35 Mrd. \u20ac. Positive Effekte verzeichnen die Konsumbereiche mit hoher Einkommenselastizit{\\\\\\\"a}t: Wohnungswesen, Handel, Finanzdienstleistungen. Wegen der hohen Einkommenselastizit{\\\\\\\"a}t liefert die Modellsimulation auch f{\\\\\\\"u}r den Sektor {\\\"}Beherbergung und Gastronomie{\\\"} trotz Anhebung des Umsatzsteuersatzes und Registrierkassenpflicht keinen R{\\\\\\\"u}ckgang, sondern sogar einen m{\\\\\\\"a}{\\\\ss}igen Zugewinn. Aufgrund des hohen Importanteils ergeben sich in der Sachg{\\\\\\\"u}tererzeugung \u2013 mit Ausnahme des Nahrungsmittelbereichs \u2013 nur geringe positive Effekte.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Steuersimulation, Input-Output-Modell, Wertsch{\\\\\\\"o}pfung\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Gerhard Streicher\\\",<\\\/div><div>  note     = \\\"Wertsch{\\\\\\\"o}pfungseffekte\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2015\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = may,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"88\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"417--424\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Sch\u00e4tzung der Auswirkungen der Steuerreform 2015\\\/16 auf die Wertsch\u00f6pfung mit dem Modell FIDELIO<\\\/p><p>AU  - Streicher, Gerhard<\\\/p><p>N1  - Wertsch\u00f6pfungseffekte<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2015\\\/5<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2015\\\/5<\\\/p><p>N2  - Die Simulation der Auswirkungen der Steuerreform 2015\\\/16 auf die \u00f6sterreichische Wirtschaft mit dem \u00f6konometrischen Input-Output-Modell FIDELIO ergibt (als \u00f6konomische Gleichgewichtsl\u00f6sung) eine Steigerung der privaten Nachfrage um knapp 2,5 Mrd. \u20ac, eine Ausweitung der Wertsch\u00f6pfung um 290 Mio. \u20ac und des Bruttoinlandsproduktes um 1,35 Mrd. \u20ac. Positive Effekte verzeichnen die Konsumbereiche mit hoher Einkommenselastizit\u00e4t: Wohnungswesen, Handel, Finanzdienstleistungen. Wegen der hohen Einkommenselastizit\u00e4t liefert die Modellsimulation auch f\u00fcr den Sektor \\\"Beherbergung und Gastronomie\\\" trotz Anhebung des Umsatzsteuersatzes und Registrierkassenpflicht keinen R\u00fcckgang, sondern sogar einen m\u00e4\u00dfigen Zugewinn. Aufgrund des hohen Importanteils ergeben sich in der Sachg\u00fctererzeugung \u2013 mit Ausnahme des Nahrungsmittelbereichs \u2013 nur geringe positive Effekte.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Die Simulation der Auswirkungen der Steuerreform 2015\\\/16 auf die \u00f6sterreichische Wirtschaft mit dem \u00f6konometrischen Input-Output-Modell FIDELIO ergibt (als \u00f6konomische Gleichgewichtsl\u00f6sung) eine Steigerung der privaten Nachfrage um knapp 2,5 Mrd. \u20ac, eine Ausweitung der Wertsch\u00f6pfung um 290 Mio. \u20ac und des Bruttoinlandsproduktes um 1,35 Mrd. \u20ac. Positive Effekte verzeichnen die Konsumbereiche mit hoher Einkommenselastizit\u00e4t: Wohnungswesen, Handel, Finanzdienstleistungen. Wegen der hohen Einkommenselastizit\u00e4t liefert die Modellsimulation auch f\u00fcr den Sektor \\\"Beherbergung und Gastronomie\\\" trotz Anhebung des Umsatzsteuersatzes und Registrierkassenpflicht keinen R\u00fcckgang, sondern sogar einen m\u00e4\u00dfigen Zugewinn. Aufgrund des hohen Importanteils ergeben sich in der Sachg\u00fctererzeugung \u2013 mit Ausnahme des Nahrungsmittelbereichs \u2013 nur geringe positive Effekte.<\\\/p><p>KW  - Steuersimulation<\\\/p><p>KW  -  Input-Output-Modell<\\\/p><p>KW  -  Wertsch\u00f6pfung<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 88<\\\/p><p>SP  - 417<\\\/p><p>EP  - 424<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Using the FIDELIO Model to Estimate the Effects of the Tax Reform 2015-16 on Net Output - WIFO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/122596\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Using the FIDELIO Model to Estimate the Effects of the Tax Reform 2015-16 on Net Output\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/122596\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"WIFO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-11-07T04:18:13+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@WIFOat\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/122596\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/122596\\\/\",\"name\":\"Using the FIDELIO Model to Estimate the Effects of the Tax Reform 2015-16 on Net Output - 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