{"id":121940,"date":"2024-01-23T07:28:36","date_gmt":"2024-01-23T06:28:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/121940\/"},"modified":"2024-11-14T13:02:37","modified_gmt":"2024-11-14T12:02:37","slug":"bestimmung-einer-konjunkturampel-fuer-oesterreich-auf-basis-des-wifo-konjunkturtests","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/121940\/","title":{"rendered":"Traffic-light Indications for the State of the Austrian Economy Based on the WIFO Business Cycle Survey"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-121940","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"The WIFO Business Cycle Survey serves as an important early-indication tool for the economic situation in Austria. Using a Markov regime-switching model, it is possible to determine at an early point in time whether the business cycle is in its upward or downward mode. Regime probabilities are shown as red-yellow-green traffic-light indications and include additional information on the interpretation of the survey findings.","onlinedate":"2015-03-26 12:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20150301","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[\"Fr\u00fchindikatoren\",\"Konjunkturbeobachtung\",\"Konjunkturtest\",\"\u00d6sterreich KP_Berichte_Analysen\"]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":414454,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"88","monthly_report_pages":"175-183","monthly_report_pages_sort":"175","issue":"3","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2015-03-26 12:00:00","types":[44312],"research_groups":[3500,3491],"collaboration":"","persons":[3543,3607],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3543,\"personName\":\"Christian Glocker\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3607,\"personName\":\"Werner H\u00f6lzl\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>Glocker, C.<\\\/span><span>, &amp; H\u00f6lzl, W.<\\\/span> (2015). <span>Bestimmung einer Konjunkturampel f\u00fcr \u00d6sterreich auf Basis des WIFO-Konjunkturtests<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>88<\\\/em>(3), 175-183. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/57854\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/57854<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>Glocker C<\\\/span><span>, H\u00f6lzl W<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Bestimmung einer Konjunkturampel f\u00fcr \u00d6sterreich auf Basis des WIFO-Konjunkturtests<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 2015 Mar;88(3):175-183.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{61e53c4fb4444abb97b27953c54671dc,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Bestimmung einer Konjunkturampel f{\\\\\\\"u}r {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich auf Basis des WIFO-Konjunkturtests\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Der WIFO-Konjunkturtest ist ein wichtiges System von Fr{\\\\\\\"u}hindikatoren f{\\\\\\\"u}r die {\\\\\\\"o}sterreichische Konjunktur. Mit einem Markov-Regime-Switching-Modell kann der Konjunkturverlauf anhand dieser Indikatoren fr{\\\\\\\"u}hzeitig in Auf- und Abschwungregime klassifiziert werden. Die Regimewahrscheinlichkeiten k{\\\\\\\"o}nnen in Form einer Konjunkturampel dargestellt werden und bieten zus{\\\\\\\"a}tzliche Information zur Interpretation der Konjunkturtestergebnisse.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Fr{\\\\\\\"u}hindikatoren, Konjunkturbeobachtung, Konjunkturtest, {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich KP\\\\_Berichte\\\\_Analysen, Fr{\\\\\\\"u}hindikatoren, Konjunkturbeobachtung, Konjunkturtest, {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich KP\\\\_Berichte\\\\_Analysen\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Christian Glocker and Werner H{\\\\\\\"o}lzl\\\",<\\\/div><div>  note     = \\\"Konjunkturampel\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2015\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = mar,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"88\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"175--183\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Bestimmung einer Konjunkturampel f\u00fcr \u00d6sterreich auf Basis des WIFO-Konjunkturtests<\\\/p><p>AU  - Glocker, Christian<\\\/p><p>AU  - H\u00f6lzl, Werner<\\\/p><p>N1  - Konjunkturampel<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2015\\\/3<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2015\\\/3<\\\/p><p>N2  - Der WIFO-Konjunkturtest ist ein wichtiges System von Fr\u00fchindikatoren f\u00fcr die \u00f6sterreichische Konjunktur. Mit einem Markov-Regime-Switching-Modell kann der Konjunkturverlauf anhand dieser Indikatoren fr\u00fchzeitig in Auf- und Abschwungregime klassifiziert werden. Die Regimewahrscheinlichkeiten k\u00f6nnen in Form einer Konjunkturampel dargestellt werden und bieten zus\u00e4tzliche Information zur Interpretation der Konjunkturtestergebnisse.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Der WIFO-Konjunkturtest ist ein wichtiges System von Fr\u00fchindikatoren f\u00fcr die \u00f6sterreichische Konjunktur. Mit einem Markov-Regime-Switching-Modell kann der Konjunkturverlauf anhand dieser Indikatoren fr\u00fchzeitig in Auf- und Abschwungregime klassifiziert werden. Die Regimewahrscheinlichkeiten k\u00f6nnen in Form einer Konjunkturampel dargestellt werden und bieten zus\u00e4tzliche Information zur Interpretation der Konjunkturtestergebnisse.<\\\/p><p>KW  - Fr\u00fchindikatoren<\\\/p><p>KW  - Konjunkturbeobachtung<\\\/p><p>KW  - Konjunkturtest<\\\/p><p>KW  - \u00d6sterreich KP_Berichte_Analysen<\\\/p><p>KW  - Fr\u00fchindikatoren<\\\/p><p>KW  - Konjunkturbeobachtung<\\\/p><p>KW  - Konjunkturtest<\\\/p><p>KW  - \u00d6sterreich KP_Berichte_Analysen<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 88<\\\/p><p>SP  - 175<\\\/p><p>EP  - 183<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Traffic-light Indications for the State of the Austrian Economy Based on the WIFO Business Cycle Survey - 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