{"id":120042,"date":"2024-01-22T22:50:19","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T21:50:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/120042\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T05:10:41","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T04:10:41","slug":"leichte-aber-unsichere-erholung-prognose-fuer-2014-bis-2016","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/120042\/","title":{"rendered":"Tentative, But Fragile Recovery. Economic Outlook for 2014 to 2016"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-120042","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"After the stagnation prevailing since spring 2014, economic activity in Austria will remain subdued also in early 2015. Leading indicators have lately given no firm hopes for a cyclical rebound. From a short-term perspective, the conditions for a normal recovery of demand and output in Austria are hardly in place. Developments may turn more favourable only in 2016, when the weaker euro exchange rate, low commodity prices and a pick-up in global activity will give fresh momentum to the domestic economy. Austria's real GDP is projected to grow by 0.4 percent in 2014, 0.5 percent in 2015 and 1.1 percent in 2016.","onlinedate":"2015-01-28 12:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20150101","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":356235,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"88","monthly_report_pages":"3-15","monthly_report_pages_sort":"3","issue":"1","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2015-01-28 12:00:00","types":[44312],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[3543],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3543,\"personName\":\"Christian Glocker\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>Glocker, C.<\\\/span> (2015). <span>Leichte, aber unsichere Erholung. Prognose f\u00fcr 2014 bis 2016<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>88<\\\/em>(1), 3-15. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/50919\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/50919<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>Glocker C<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Leichte, aber unsichere Erholung. Prognose f\u00fcr 2014 bis 2016<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 2015 Jan;88(1):3-15.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{d24f02c123d249d885caa971d643e67d,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Leichte, aber unsichere Erholung. Prognose f{\\\\\\\"u}r 2014 bis 2016\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Nach einer Stagnation seit dem Fr{\\\\\\\"u}hjahr 2014 d{\\\\\\\"u}rfte sich die {\\\\\\\"o}sterreichische Volkswirtschaft auch Anfang 2015 nur sehr verhalten entwickeln. Die Vorlaufindikatoren geben derzeit keine nennenswerten Hinweise auf eine Konjunkturbelebung. In kurzfristiger Perspektive sind somit die Voraussetzungen f{\\\\\\\"u}r eine normale Erholung des Wirtschaftswachstums in {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich kaum gegeben. Erst im Jahr 2016 k{\\\\\\\"o}nnte eine etwas g{\\\\\\\"u}nstigere Entwicklung in Gang kommen. Neben der anziehenden Weltwirtschaft sollten sowohl die Euro-Schw{\\\\\\\"a}che als auch die niedrigen Rohstoffpreise der heimischen Wirtschaft wieder etwas Schwung verleihen. Nach einem Wachstum von 0,4\\\\% im Jahr 2014 d{\\\\\\\"u}rfte die {\\\\\\\"o}sterreichische Volkswirtschaft 2015 um 0,5\\\\% und 2016 um 1,1\\\\% expandieren.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Konjunkturprognose {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Christian Glocker\\\",<\\\/div><div>  note     = \\\"Konjunkturprognose\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2015\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = jan,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"88\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"3--15\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Leichte, aber unsichere Erholung. Prognose f\u00fcr 2014 bis 2016<\\\/p><p>AU  - Glocker, Christian<\\\/p><p>N1  - Konjunkturprognose<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2015\\\/1<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2015\\\/1<\\\/p><p>N2  - Nach einer Stagnation seit dem Fr\u00fchjahr 2014 d\u00fcrfte sich die \u00f6sterreichische Volkswirtschaft auch Anfang 2015 nur sehr verhalten entwickeln. Die Vorlaufindikatoren geben derzeit keine nennenswerten Hinweise auf eine Konjunkturbelebung. In kurzfristiger Perspektive sind somit die Voraussetzungen f\u00fcr eine normale Erholung des Wirtschaftswachstums in \u00d6sterreich kaum gegeben. Erst im Jahr 2016 k\u00f6nnte eine etwas g\u00fcnstigere Entwicklung in Gang kommen. Neben der anziehenden Weltwirtschaft sollten sowohl die Euro-Schw\u00e4che als auch die niedrigen Rohstoffpreise der heimischen Wirtschaft wieder etwas Schwung verleihen. Nach einem Wachstum von 0,4% im Jahr 2014 d\u00fcrfte die \u00f6sterreichische Volkswirtschaft 2015 um 0,5% und 2016 um 1,1% expandieren.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Nach einer Stagnation seit dem Fr\u00fchjahr 2014 d\u00fcrfte sich die \u00f6sterreichische Volkswirtschaft auch Anfang 2015 nur sehr verhalten entwickeln. Die Vorlaufindikatoren geben derzeit keine nennenswerten Hinweise auf eine Konjunkturbelebung. In kurzfristiger Perspektive sind somit die Voraussetzungen f\u00fcr eine normale Erholung des Wirtschaftswachstums in \u00d6sterreich kaum gegeben. Erst im Jahr 2016 k\u00f6nnte eine etwas g\u00fcnstigere Entwicklung in Gang kommen. Neben der anziehenden Weltwirtschaft sollten sowohl die Euro-Schw\u00e4che als auch die niedrigen Rohstoffpreise der heimischen Wirtschaft wieder etwas Schwung verleihen. Nach einem Wachstum von 0,4% im Jahr 2014 d\u00fcrfte die \u00f6sterreichische Volkswirtschaft 2015 um 0,5% und 2016 um 1,1% expandieren.<\\\/p><p>KW  - Konjunkturprognose \u00d6sterreich<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 88<\\\/p><p>SP  - 3<\\\/p><p>EP  - 15<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Tentative, But Fragile Recovery. Economic Outlook for 2014 to 2016 - WIFO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/120042\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Tentative, But Fragile Recovery. Economic Outlook for 2014 to 2016\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/120042\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"WIFO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-11-07T04:10:41+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@WIFOat\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/120042\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/120042\\\/\",\"name\":\"Tentative, But Fragile Recovery. Economic Outlook for 2014 to 2016 - WIFO\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-01-22T21:50:19+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-11-07T04:10:41+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/120042\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/120042\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/120042\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Startseite\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Tentative, But Fragile Recovery. Economic Outlook for 2014 to 2016\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/\",\"name\":\"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung\",\"description\":\"\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#organization\"},\"alternateName\":\"WIFO\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung\",\"alternateName\":\"WIFO\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/WIFO_kurz_rechts-2-1920x412.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/WIFO_kurz_rechts-2-1920x412.jpg\",\"width\":2000,\"height\":429,\"caption\":\"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.facebook.com\\\/WIFOat\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/WIFOat\",\"https:\\\/\\\/linkedin.com\\\/company\\\/wifoat\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.youtube.com\\\/@WIFO_at\"],\"description\":\"Das WIFO, 1927 von Friedrich August von Hayek und Ludwig von Mises zur Konjunkturanalyse gegr\u00fcndet, ist heute das f\u00fchrende Institut f\u00fcr angewandte empirische Wirtschaftsforschung in \u00d6sterreich mit starkem Engagement auf europ\u00e4ischer Ebene.\",\"email\":\"office@wifo.ac.at\",\"telephone\":\"+43 1 798 26 01 \u2013 0\",\"legalName\":\"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung\",\"foundingDate\":\"1927-01-02\",\"numberOfEmployees\":{\"@type\":\"QuantitativeValue\",\"minValue\":\"51\",\"maxValue\":\"200\"},\"publishingPrinciples\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/mission-und-strategie\\\/\",\"ownershipFundingInfo\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/organisation\\\/\",\"actionableFeedbackPolicy\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/aktuelles\\\/presse\\\/\",\"correctionsPolicy\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/kontakt\\\/\",\"ethicsPolicy\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/evidenzbasierung-transparenz-und-unabhaengigkeit\\\/\",\"diversityPolicy\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/gleichstellung\\\/\",\"diversityStaffingReport\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/gleichstellung\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Tentative, But Fragile Recovery. Economic Outlook for 2014 to 2016 - WIFO","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/120042\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Tentative, But Fragile Recovery. Economic Outlook for 2014 to 2016","og_url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/120042\/","og_site_name":"WIFO","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/","article_modified_time":"2024-11-07T04:10:41+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1920,"height":1280,"url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_site":"@WIFOat","schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/120042\/","url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/120042\/","name":"Tentative, But Fragile Recovery. Economic Outlook for 2014 to 2016 - WIFO","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#website"},"datePublished":"2024-01-22T21:50:19+00:00","dateModified":"2024-11-07T04:10:41+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/120042\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/120042\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/120042\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Startseite","item":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Tentative, But Fragile Recovery. Economic Outlook for 2014 to 2016"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/","name":"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#organization"},"alternateName":"WIFO","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#organization","name":"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung","alternateName":"WIFO","url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO_kurz_rechts-2-1920x412.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO_kurz_rechts-2-1920x412.jpg","width":2000,"height":429,"caption":"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/","https:\/\/x.com\/WIFOat","https:\/\/linkedin.com\/company\/wifoat\/","https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@WIFO_at"],"description":"Das WIFO, 1927 von Friedrich August von Hayek und Ludwig von Mises zur Konjunkturanalyse gegr\u00fcndet, ist heute das f\u00fchrende Institut f\u00fcr angewandte empirische Wirtschaftsforschung in \u00d6sterreich mit starkem Engagement auf europ\u00e4ischer Ebene.","email":"office@wifo.ac.at","telephone":"+43 1 798 26 01 \u2013 0","legalName":"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung","foundingDate":"1927-01-02","numberOfEmployees":{"@type":"QuantitativeValue","minValue":"51","maxValue":"200"},"publishingPrinciples":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/mission-und-strategie\/","ownershipFundingInfo":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/organisation\/","actionableFeedbackPolicy":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/aktuelles\/presse\/","correctionsPolicy":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/kontakt\/","ethicsPolicy":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/evidenzbasierung-transparenz-und-unabhaengigkeit\/","diversityPolicy":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/gleichstellung\/","diversityStaffingReport":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/gleichstellung\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication\/120042","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/publication"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication\/120042\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":356220,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication\/120042\/revisions\/356220"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person\/3543"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/research_group\/3500"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication_type\/44312"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=120042"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}