{"id":119928,"date":"2024-01-22T22:47:35","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T21:47:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/119928\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T05:09:39","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T04:09:39","slug":"der-wifo-konjunkturtest-methodik-und-prognoseeigenschaften","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/119928\/","title":{"rendered":"The \"WIFO-Konjunkturtest\": Methodology and Forecast Characteristics of the WIFO Business Cycle Survey"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-119928","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"WIFO has been conducting its Business Cycle Survey since 1954. Today, some 1,600 businesses, with altogether more than 200,000 employees, are participating in the survey. The findings of the survey are analysed to obtain leading indicators of the state of the Austrian economy. The analysis shows that the macroeconomic indices of the WIFO Business Cycle Survey provide a reliable tool for monitoring the current econmic situation and forecasting its short-term development. They precede indicators of the official statistics in availability, providing clear indications of changes in the state of the economy at an early date.","onlinedate":"2014-12-19 12:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20141201","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[\"Fr\u00fchindikatoren\",\"Konjunkturbeobachtung\",\"Konjunkturtest\",\"\u00d6sterreich\"]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":355800,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"87","monthly_report_pages":"835-850","monthly_report_pages_sort":"835","issue":"12","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2014-12-19 12:00:00","types":[44312],"research_groups":[3491],"collaboration":"","persons":[3607,3843],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3607,\"personName\":\"Werner H\u00f6lzl\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3843,\"personName\":\"Gerhard Schwarz\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>H\u00f6lzl, W.<\\\/span><span>, &amp; Schwarz, G.<\\\/span> (2014). <span>Der WIFO-Konjunkturtest: Methodik und Prognoseeigenschaften<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>87<\\\/em>(12), 835-850. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/50863\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/50863<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>H\u00f6lzl W<\\\/span><span>, Schwarz G<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Der WIFO-Konjunkturtest: Methodik und Prognoseeigenschaften<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 2014 Dec;87(12):835-850.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{7f14524c697e4b12ade5f761e4a012c9,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Der WIFO-Konjunkturtest: Methodik und Prognoseeigenschaften\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Der WIFO-Konjunkturtest wird vom WIFO seit 1954 durchgef{\\\\\\\"u}hrt. Heute nehmen rund 1.600 Unternehmen mit mehr als 200.000 Besch{\\\\\\\"a}ftigten am WIFO-Konjunkturtest teil. Aus den Ergebnissen dieser Unternehmensbefragung werden Fr{\\\\\\\"u}hindikatoren f{\\\\\\\"u}r die {\\\\\\\"o}sterreichische Konjunktur ermittelt. Die gesamtwirtschaftlichen Indizes des WIFO-Konjunkturtests liefern, wie die Analyse zeigt, ein zuverl{\\\\\\\"a}ssiges Instrument f{\\\\\\\"u}r die Konjunkturbeobachtung. Sie zeichnen sich durch erheblichen Vorlauf zur offiziellen Statistik aus und zeigen {\\\\\\\"A}nderungen des Konjunkturverlaufes fr{\\\\\\\"u}h und deutlich an.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Fr{\\\\\\\"u}hindikatoren, Konjunkturbeobachtung, Konjunkturtest, {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich, Fr{\\\\\\\"u}hindikatoren, Konjunkturbeobachtung, Konjunkturtest, {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Werner H{\\\\\\\"o}lzl and Gerhard Schwarz\\\",<\\\/div><div>  note     = \\\"WIFO-Konjunkturtest\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2014\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = dec,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"87\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"835--850\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Der WIFO-Konjunkturtest: Methodik und Prognoseeigenschaften<\\\/p><p>AU  - H\u00f6lzl, Werner<\\\/p><p>AU  - Schwarz, Gerhard<\\\/p><p>N1  - WIFO-Konjunkturtest<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2014\\\/12<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2014\\\/12<\\\/p><p>N2  - Der WIFO-Konjunkturtest wird vom WIFO seit 1954 durchgef\u00fchrt. Heute nehmen rund 1.600 Unternehmen mit mehr als 200.000 Besch\u00e4ftigten am WIFO-Konjunkturtest teil. Aus den Ergebnissen dieser Unternehmensbefragung werden Fr\u00fchindikatoren f\u00fcr die \u00f6sterreichische Konjunktur ermittelt. Die gesamtwirtschaftlichen Indizes des WIFO-Konjunkturtests liefern, wie die Analyse zeigt, ein zuverl\u00e4ssiges Instrument f\u00fcr die Konjunkturbeobachtung. Sie zeichnen sich durch erheblichen Vorlauf zur offiziellen Statistik aus und zeigen \u00c4nderungen des Konjunkturverlaufes fr\u00fch und deutlich an.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Der WIFO-Konjunkturtest wird vom WIFO seit 1954 durchgef\u00fchrt. Heute nehmen rund 1.600 Unternehmen mit mehr als 200.000 Besch\u00e4ftigten am WIFO-Konjunkturtest teil. Aus den Ergebnissen dieser Unternehmensbefragung werden Fr\u00fchindikatoren f\u00fcr die \u00f6sterreichische Konjunktur ermittelt. Die gesamtwirtschaftlichen Indizes des WIFO-Konjunkturtests liefern, wie die Analyse zeigt, ein zuverl\u00e4ssiges Instrument f\u00fcr die Konjunkturbeobachtung. Sie zeichnen sich durch erheblichen Vorlauf zur offiziellen Statistik aus und zeigen \u00c4nderungen des Konjunkturverlaufes fr\u00fch und deutlich an.<\\\/p><p>KW  - Fr\u00fchindikatoren<\\\/p><p>KW  - Konjunkturbeobachtung<\\\/p><p>KW  - Konjunkturtest<\\\/p><p>KW  - \u00d6sterreich<\\\/p><p>KW  - Fr\u00fchindikatoren<\\\/p><p>KW  - Konjunkturbeobachtung<\\\/p><p>KW  - Konjunkturtest<\\\/p><p>KW  - \u00d6sterreich<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 87<\\\/p><p>SP  - 835<\\\/p><p>EP  - 850<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The &quot;WIFO-Konjunkturtest&quot;: Methodology and Forecast Characteristics of the WIFO Business Cycle Survey - 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