{"id":119576,"date":"2024-01-22T22:36:32","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T21:36:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/119576\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T05:05:58","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T04:05:58","slug":"model-simulations-of-resource-use-scenarios-for-europe-wwwforeurope-deliverable-no-5","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/119576\/","title":{"rendered":"Model Simulations of Resource Use Scenarios for Europe. WWWforEurope Deliverable No. 5"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-119576","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"This paper describes the introduction of biophysical constraints into a disaggregated dynamic New Keynesian (DYNK) model using the example of different resource use scenarios for Europe, derived from global UNEP scenarios. The DYNK model covers 59 industries and five income groups of households and has features similar to a DSGE model (e.g., QUEST). The model solution converges towards a long-run full employment equilibrium, but exhibits short-run institutional rigidities (imperfect credit and capital markets, wage bargaining). The DYNK model links physical energy and material flow data to production and consumption activities. Different sources of technical change are modelled at the disaggregate level: TFP, factor-bias and material efficiency in production and energy efficiency in private consumption. These components of technical change drive \u2013 together with relative prices \u2013 economic growth and resource use and therefore decoupling. A scenario of modest resource use reduction (per capita) is implemented by shifting the bias of technological change from labour and capital saving to energy and resource saving. As one example for a scenario of radical reduction of resource use per capita, the radical reduction of energy demand and greenhouse gas emissions is analysed. The results show the various interlinkages between different categories of material flows, which lead to co-benefits of policies. Further policy options are discussed (re-use and recycling of material in key industries, structural change in agriculture) and shall be analysed in a follow-up of this paper.","onlinedate":"2014-09-01 02:00:00","lang":"English","publication_series":"WWWforEurope: Welfare, Wealth and Work for Europe","publication_date":"20140901","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"39","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":354409,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":false,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"","monthly_report_pages":"","monthly_report_pages_sort":"0","issue":"","journal":"","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":null,"types":[81966],"research_groups":[3655],"collaboration":"","persons":[3675,3743],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3675,\"personName\":\"Kurt Kratena\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3743,\"personName\":\"Mark Sommer\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[10692,10704,10722,32851],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_bookanthology rendering_apa rendering_bookanthology_apa\\\"><span>Kratena, K.<\\\/span><span>, &amp; Sommer, M.<\\\/span> (2014). <span><em>Model Simulations of Resource Use Scenarios for Europe. WWWforEurope Deliverable No. 5<\\\/em><\\\/span>. (WWWforEurope: Welfare, Wealth and Work for Europe). WIFO. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/47503\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/47503<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_bookanthology rendering_vancouver rendering_bookanthology_vancouver\\\"><span>Kratena K<\\\/span><span>, Sommer M<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Model Simulations of Resource Use Scenarios for Europe. WWWforEurope Deliverable No. 5<\\\/span><\\\/span>. WIFO; 2014.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_bookanthology rendering_bibtex rendering_bookanthology_bibtex\\\"><div>@book{89b13ade313547f78800a016ca440890,<\\\/div><div>  title     = \\\"Model Simulations of Resource Use Scenarios for Europe. WWWforEurope Deliverable No. 5\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract  = \\\"This paper describes the introduction of biophysical constraints into a disaggregated dynamic New Keynesian (DYNK) model using the example of different resource use scenarios for Europe, derived from global UNEP scenarios. The DYNK model covers 59 industries and five income groups of households and has features similar to a DSGE model (e.g., QUEST). The model solution converges towards a long-run full employment equilibrium, but exhibits short-run institutional rigidities (imperfect credit and capital markets, wage bargaining). The DYNK model links physical energy and material flow data to production and consumption activities. Different sources of technical change are modelled at the disaggregate level: TFP, factor-bias and material efficiency in production and energy efficiency in private consumption. These components of technical change drive \u2013 together with relative prices \u2013 economic growth and resource use and therefore decoupling. A scenario of modest resource use reduction (per capita) is implemented by shifting the bias of technological change from labour and capital saving to energy and resource saving. As one example for a scenario of radical reduction of resource use per capita, the radical reduction of energy demand and greenhouse gas emissions is analysed. The results show the various interlinkages between different categories of material flows, which lead to co-benefits of policies. Further policy options are discussed (re-use and recycling of material in key industries, structural change in agriculture) and shall be analysed in a follow-up of this paper.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author    = \\\"Kurt Kratena and Mark Sommer\\\",<\\\/div><div>  note      = \\\"Model Simulations of Resource Use Scenarios for Europe\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year      = \\\"2014\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month     = sep,<\\\/div><div>  language  = \\\"English\\\",<\\\/div><div>  series    = \\\"WWWforEurope: Welfare, Wealth and Work for Europe\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_bookanthology rendering_ris rendering_bookanthology_ris\\\"><p>TY  - BOOK<\\\/p><p>T1  - Model Simulations of Resource Use Scenarios for Europe. WWWforEurope Deliverable No. 5<\\\/p><p>AU  - Kratena, Kurt<\\\/p><p>AU  - Sommer, Mark<\\\/p><p>N1  - Model Simulations of Resource Use Scenarios for Europe<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2014\\\/9<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2014\\\/9<\\\/p><p>N2  - This paper describes the introduction of biophysical constraints into a disaggregated dynamic New Keynesian (DYNK) model using the example of different resource use scenarios for Europe, derived from global UNEP scenarios. The DYNK model covers 59 industries and five income groups of households and has features similar to a DSGE model (e.g., QUEST). The model solution converges towards a long-run full employment equilibrium, but exhibits short-run institutional rigidities (imperfect credit and capital markets, wage bargaining). The DYNK model links physical energy and material flow data to production and consumption activities. Different sources of technical change are modelled at the disaggregate level: TFP, factor-bias and material efficiency in production and energy efficiency in private consumption. These components of technical change drive \u2013 together with relative prices \u2013 economic growth and resource use and therefore decoupling. A scenario of modest resource use reduction (per capita) is implemented by shifting the bias of technological change from labour and capital saving to energy and resource saving. As one example for a scenario of radical reduction of resource use per capita, the radical reduction of energy demand and greenhouse gas emissions is analysed. The results show the various interlinkages between different categories of material flows, which lead to co-benefits of policies. Further policy options are discussed (re-use and recycling of material in key industries, structural change in agriculture) and shall be analysed in a follow-up of this paper.<\\\/p><p>AB  - This paper describes the introduction of biophysical constraints into a disaggregated dynamic New Keynesian (DYNK) model using the example of different resource use scenarios for Europe, derived from global UNEP scenarios. The DYNK model covers 59 industries and five income groups of households and has features similar to a DSGE model (e.g., QUEST). The model solution converges towards a long-run full employment equilibrium, but exhibits short-run institutional rigidities (imperfect credit and capital markets, wage bargaining). The DYNK model links physical energy and material flow data to production and consumption activities. Different sources of technical change are modelled at the disaggregate level: TFP, factor-bias and material efficiency in production and energy efficiency in private consumption. These components of technical change drive \u2013 together with relative prices \u2013 economic growth and resource use and therefore decoupling. A scenario of modest resource use reduction (per capita) is implemented by shifting the bias of technological change from labour and capital saving to energy and resource saving. As one example for a scenario of radical reduction of resource use per capita, the radical reduction of energy demand and greenhouse gas emissions is analysed. The results show the various interlinkages between different categories of material flows, which lead to co-benefits of policies. Further policy options are discussed (re-use and recycling of material in key industries, structural change in agriculture) and shall be analysed in a follow-up of this paper.<\\\/p><p>M3  - Study<\\\/p><p>T3  - WWWforEurope: Welfare, Wealth and Work for Europe<\\\/p><p>BT  - Model Simulations of Resource Use Scenarios for Europe. WWWforEurope Deliverable No. 5<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Model Simulations of Resource Use Scenarios for Europe. 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