{"id":118704,"date":"2024-01-22T22:08:29","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T21:08:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/118704\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T04:58:33","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T03:58:33","slug":"aufschwung-bleibt-wegen-konsumschwaeche-flach-prognose-fuer-2014-und-2015","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/118704\/","title":{"rendered":"Sluggish Private Consumption Holding Back the Pace of Recovery. Economic Outlook for 2014 and 2015"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-118704","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"Leading indicators are signalling an early revival of business activity in Austria, supported mainly by the catching up of investment so far withheld and by strengthening foreign demand from key destinations like Germany and the USA. Still, the momentum of the recovery remains muted as private consumption is constrained by modest wage gains, fragile labour market conditions and fiscal retrenchment. While inflation is set to ease slightly over the projection period, the rate of unemployment will edge up further in 2014.","onlinedate":"2014-01-24 01:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20140101","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[\"Konjunkturprognose \u00d6sterreich\"]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":351344,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"87","monthly_report_pages":"3-15","monthly_report_pages_sort":"3","issue":"1","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":null,"types":[44312],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[3865],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3865,\"personName\":\"Stefan Schiman\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>Schiman, S.<\\\/span> (2014). <span>Aufschwung bleibt wegen Konsumschw\u00e4che flach. Prognose f\u00fcr 2014 und 2015<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>87<\\\/em>(1), 3-15. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/47105\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/47105<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>Schiman S<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Aufschwung bleibt wegen Konsumschw\u00e4che flach. Prognose f\u00fcr 2014 und 2015<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 2014 Jan;87(1):3-15.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{b8963f82475c420ca9a950eb2bed28b3,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Aufschwung bleibt wegen Konsumschw{\\\\\\\"a}che flach. Prognose f{\\\\\\\"u}r 2014 und 2015\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Fr{\\\\\\\"u}hindikatoren signalisieren f{\\\\\\\"u}r {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich eine baldige Konjunkturbelebung. Diese wird vor allem durch Nachholinvestitionen und eine h{\\\\\\\"o}here Exportnachfrage aus wichtigen Ziell{\\\\\\\"a}ndern wie Deutschland und den USA gest{\\\\\\\"u}tzt. Der Konsum bleibt wegen der m{\\\\\\\"a}{\\\\ss}igen Lohnentwicklung, der angespannten Lage auf dem Arbeitsmarkt und der Konsolidierung der {\\\\\\\"o}ffentlichen Haushalte schwach, die Konjunkturdynamik daher eingeschr{\\\\\\\"a}nkt. Die Teuerung nimmt im Prognosezeitraum leicht ab, die Arbeitslosenquote erh{\\\\\\\"o}ht sich 2014 noch.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Konjunkturprognose {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich, Konjunkturprognose {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Stefan Schiman\\\",<\\\/div><div>  note     = \\\"Konjunkturprognose\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2014\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = jan,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"87\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"3--15\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Aufschwung bleibt wegen Konsumschw\u00e4che flach. Prognose f\u00fcr 2014 und 2015<\\\/p><p>AU  - Schiman, Stefan<\\\/p><p>N1  - Konjunkturprognose<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2014\\\/1<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2014\\\/1<\\\/p><p>N2  - Fr\u00fchindikatoren signalisieren f\u00fcr \u00d6sterreich eine baldige Konjunkturbelebung. Diese wird vor allem durch Nachholinvestitionen und eine h\u00f6here Exportnachfrage aus wichtigen Ziell\u00e4ndern wie Deutschland und den USA gest\u00fctzt. Der Konsum bleibt wegen der m\u00e4\u00dfigen Lohnentwicklung, der angespannten Lage auf dem Arbeitsmarkt und der Konsolidierung der \u00f6ffentlichen Haushalte schwach, die Konjunkturdynamik daher eingeschr\u00e4nkt. Die Teuerung nimmt im Prognosezeitraum leicht ab, die Arbeitslosenquote erh\u00f6ht sich 2014 noch.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Fr\u00fchindikatoren signalisieren f\u00fcr \u00d6sterreich eine baldige Konjunkturbelebung. Diese wird vor allem durch Nachholinvestitionen und eine h\u00f6here Exportnachfrage aus wichtigen Ziell\u00e4ndern wie Deutschland und den USA gest\u00fctzt. Der Konsum bleibt wegen der m\u00e4\u00dfigen Lohnentwicklung, der angespannten Lage auf dem Arbeitsmarkt und der Konsolidierung der \u00f6ffentlichen Haushalte schwach, die Konjunkturdynamik daher eingeschr\u00e4nkt. Die Teuerung nimmt im Prognosezeitraum leicht ab, die Arbeitslosenquote erh\u00f6ht sich 2014 noch.<\\\/p><p>KW  - Konjunkturprognose \u00d6sterreich<\\\/p><p>KW  - Konjunkturprognose \u00d6sterreich<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 87<\\\/p><p>SP  - 3<\\\/p><p>EP  - 15<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Sluggish Private Consumption Holding Back the Pace of Recovery. 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