{"id":118196,"date":"2024-01-22T20:56:25","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T19:56:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/118196\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T04:53:43","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T03:53:43","slug":"pro-kopf-wachstum-nur-in-den-usa-hoeher-als-vor-der-krise-mittelfristige-prognose-der-weltwirtschaft-bis-2018","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/118196\/","title":{"rendered":"Growth of Per-capita Income Only in the USA Higher than before the Crisis. Medium-term Forecast for the World Economy until 2018"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-118196","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"Several beneficial factors will enable the USA to enjoy the highest pace of growth among the industrialised economies in the years to come: lending behaviour has recovered from the financial market crisis and is working more smoothly nowadays than, for example, in the euro area. Investment is boosted by improving supply conditions for commodities, as shale gas and shale oil will have a major impact on energy markets. The labour force is growing rapidly and budgetary restrictions are expected to ease. While fiscal policy will turn less restrictive also in the euro area, the planned cuts in expenditure will largely occur in countries that are still struggling with the crisis and its repercussions (Portugal, Spain, Italy).","onlinedate":"2013-10-28 12:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20131001","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[\"Weltwirtschaft USA EU Euro-Raum Asien China Japan\"]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":349544,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"86","monthly_report_pages":"829-842","monthly_report_pages_sort":"829","issue":"10","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2013-10-28 12:00:00","types":[44312],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[3865],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3865,\"personName\":\"Stefan Schiman\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>Schiman, S.<\\\/span> (2013). <span>Pro-Kopf-Wachstum nur in den USA h\u00f6her als vor der Krise. Mittelfristige Prognose der Weltwirtschaft bis 2018<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>86<\\\/em>(10), 829-842. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/46976\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/46976<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>Schiman S<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Pro-Kopf-Wachstum nur in den USA h\u00f6her als vor der Krise. Mittelfristige Prognose der Weltwirtschaft bis 2018<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 2013 Oct;86(10):829-842.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{08d613e01f04427da8115acbe5db5d3f,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Pro-Kopf-Wachstum nur in den USA h{\\\\\\\"o}her als vor der Krise. Mittelfristige Prognose der Weltwirtschaft bis 2018\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Unter den hochentwickelten Wirtschaftsr{\\\\\\\"a}umen wird die Wirtschaft in den USA im Prognosezeitraum am st{\\\\\\\"a}rksten wachsen (+2,9\\\\% pro Jahr). Auch das um die Bev{\\\\\\\"o}lkerungsentwicklung bereinigte Wachstum f{\\\\\\\"a}llt in den USA h{\\\\\\\"o}her aus als in Gro{\\\\ss}britannien, im Euro-Raum oder in Japan. In China und Russland schw{\\\\\\\"a}cht sich die Expansion auf +7,4\\\\% bzw. +3,9\\\\% pro Jahr ab. In Indien und Brasilien entspricht sie aufgrund der anhaltenden Zunahme der Erwerbsbev{\\\\\\\"o}lkerung mit +6,7\\\\% bzw. +3,4\\\\% dem l{\\\\\\\"a}ngerfristigen Durchschnitt. Gemessen am BIP pro Kopf sch{\\\\\\\"o}pft Russland das Aufholpotential gegen{\\\\\\\"u}ber den Industriel{\\\\\\\"a}ndern aber besser aus als Indien oder Brasilien. Die weltweite Wirtschaftsleistung wird mittelfristig um 3,2\\\\% pro Jahr zunehmen.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Weltwirtschaft USA EU Euro-Raum Asien China Japan, Weltwirtschaft USA EU Euro-Raum Asien China Japan\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Stefan Schiman\\\",<\\\/div><div>  note     = \\\"Mittelfristige Prognose: Weltwirtschaft\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2013\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = oct,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"86\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"829--842\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Pro-Kopf-Wachstum nur in den USA h\u00f6her als vor der Krise. Mittelfristige Prognose der Weltwirtschaft bis 2018<\\\/p><p>AU  - Schiman, Stefan<\\\/p><p>N1  - Mittelfristige Prognose: Weltwirtschaft<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2013\\\/10<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2013\\\/10<\\\/p><p>N2  - Unter den hochentwickelten Wirtschaftsr\u00e4umen wird die Wirtschaft in den USA im Prognosezeitraum am st\u00e4rksten wachsen (+2,9% pro Jahr). Auch das um die Bev\u00f6lkerungsentwicklung bereinigte Wachstum f\u00e4llt in den USA h\u00f6her aus als in Gro\u00dfbritannien, im Euro-Raum oder in Japan. In China und Russland schw\u00e4cht sich die Expansion auf +7,4% bzw. +3,9% pro Jahr ab. In Indien und Brasilien entspricht sie aufgrund der anhaltenden Zunahme der Erwerbsbev\u00f6lkerung mit +6,7% bzw. +3,4% dem l\u00e4ngerfristigen Durchschnitt. Gemessen am BIP pro Kopf sch\u00f6pft Russland das Aufholpotential gegen\u00fcber den Industriel\u00e4ndern aber besser aus als Indien oder Brasilien. Die weltweite Wirtschaftsleistung wird mittelfristig um 3,2% pro Jahr zunehmen.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Unter den hochentwickelten Wirtschaftsr\u00e4umen wird die Wirtschaft in den USA im Prognosezeitraum am st\u00e4rksten wachsen (+2,9% pro Jahr). Auch das um die Bev\u00f6lkerungsentwicklung bereinigte Wachstum f\u00e4llt in den USA h\u00f6her aus als in Gro\u00dfbritannien, im Euro-Raum oder in Japan. In China und Russland schw\u00e4cht sich die Expansion auf +7,4% bzw. +3,9% pro Jahr ab. In Indien und Brasilien entspricht sie aufgrund der anhaltenden Zunahme der Erwerbsbev\u00f6lkerung mit +6,7% bzw. +3,4% dem l\u00e4ngerfristigen Durchschnitt. Gemessen am BIP pro Kopf sch\u00f6pft Russland das Aufholpotential gegen\u00fcber den Industriel\u00e4ndern aber besser aus als Indien oder Brasilien. Die weltweite Wirtschaftsleistung wird mittelfristig um 3,2% pro Jahr zunehmen.<\\\/p><p>KW  - Weltwirtschaft USA EU Euro-Raum Asien China Japan<\\\/p><p>KW  - Weltwirtschaft USA EU Euro-Raum Asien China Japan<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 86<\\\/p><p>SP  - 829<\\\/p><p>EP  - 842<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Growth of Per-capita Income Only in the USA Higher than before the Crisis. 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